[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: Money Management Stops



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Randy Harmelink writes:

> If the success rate is 70%, it's true that there is about a 99% chance of
> having 4 losing trades in a row.

Wouldn't that be (0.30)^4? Or did you mean a 99% chance of NOT having 4
losers in a row (which is 1 - (0.30^4))


> However, once you've already had 3 losing trades, the chance of the
> next trade being a success is still only 70%.

Right.