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Fw: stockpick : QTRN (17/04/2000) part 4.



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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>List,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Do not go long in&nbsp; a short market - not even 
in a beaten</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>down stock looks logical to me and that i did with 
QTRN.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>So : system ok : interpretation : 
brrrrrrr.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Ok do not have to tell you what happened Friday and 
the joiners (at least one i know of)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>got stopped out -if they were lucky-&nbsp;&nbsp; 
and i didnot get stopped</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>out ,even not at a intraday adjusted lower stoploss 
..............</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>On Datek last price was $13.00&nbsp; (anyone an 
explanation for that ? Reuters had $14.25 as the close)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>and after a difficult download weekend</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>(yes you know)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>and a war going on on this list hell looks like 
heaven these days :) :</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Peace Brothers Peace (in the long run we are all 
dead ok ?).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Anyway&nbsp; (as an american member of my family 
always says) :</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>where are we now ?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>1)&nbsp; NASDAQ gives again a buy. (do not laugh 
you fool).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; i do not think following 
scenario is that illogic :</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;next (2?) month's 
bottomforming situation.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; after that : not a strong 
bull as we have seen from october.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; but : i am not in the 
prediction business so leave it at this.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>2)&nbsp; the position : for those who still own it 
:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;strong oversold 
situation and we really have value in</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; this company.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; down 11% (from 15 
15/16).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; max acceptable loss : 15 
%&nbsp; so Stoploss :&nbsp; $13.50.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; If we do not get stopped 
out during the day :</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;sell immediately 
below this level.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Enough is 
enough.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; System tells we are still 
in a buy phase............</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<HR>

<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>QTRN :&nbsp; (14/04/2000)&nbsp; $ 
14.25</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>HOLD-7 is the situation. (Buy still possible but 
don't</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>wait another week ok ?).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>SL : $13.50&nbsp; (adjusted for a last 
chance).</FONT></DIV>
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<DIV><FONT color=#008080 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>Comments :&nbsp; 
Welcome.</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#008080 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>Anyone joined the club 
?</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#008000 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>Yes !&nbsp; my brother in law 
but he maybe got stopped out?</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#008000 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>We need luck and peace and 
hapiness on this one.......</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
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<DIV><FONT color=#008080 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>Theo 
Lockefeer</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
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</x-html>From ???@??? Mon Apr 17 07:49:30 2000
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From: "Theo E.M. Lockefeer" <sky40912@xxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <NBBBKFMIMHJOLMGOIJGNMENDEHAA.grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re:  CBRL
Date: Mon, 17 Apr 2000 14:20:38 +0200
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>17/4/2000</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#800080 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>Quick 
:</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#800080 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>CBRL&nbsp; is&nbsp; on my system 
at&nbsp; 14/4/00&nbsp;&nbsp; a SELL&nbsp; :</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#800080 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>so if you did catch this cycle 
(started 6/3/2000)</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#800080 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>SELL before it's too 
late.</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#800080 face=Arial><STRONG><EM>Theo 
Lockefeer</EM></STRONG></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
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<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>----- Original Message ----- </FONT>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>From: Guy Tann &lt;<A 
href="mailto:grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx";>grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>To: &lt;<A 
href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Sent: April 17, 2000 7:05 AM</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Subject: RE: New Buy Signal</FONT></DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>&gt; JimG<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; She came home 
from her office all excited on Friday.&nbsp; All the execs at work<BR>&gt; had 
the radio and TVs on watching the market and crying out loud.&nbsp; She 
on<BR>&gt; the other hand remembered we were short, so came home asking how much 
money<BR>&gt; we made.&nbsp; Near tears when I told her we went long that 
morning.<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; GLOBEX&nbsp; S&amp;P down 20 and the NASDAQ down 
90.&nbsp; Hold on tight.<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; Guy<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; 
-----Original Message-----<BR>&gt; From: <A 
href="mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> 
[<A 
href="mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>]On<BR>&gt; 
Behalf Of Jim Greening<BR>&gt; Sent: Saturday, April 15, 2000 11:18 AM<BR>&gt; 
To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx<BR>&gt; 
Subject: Re: New Buy Signal<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; Guy,<BR>&gt; 
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Tell your wife it's not what stocks do the day you get 
in that counts,<BR>&gt; it's where they are the day you get out &lt;G&gt;.&nbsp; 
I agree with you on CSCO and<BR>&gt; INTC.&nbsp; They are both on my "watch" 
list, but not on my "watch close" list<BR>&gt; because they are too far above 
any support.&nbsp; Of course the way the market is<BR>&gt; going it may not take 
them too long to get there &lt;G&gt;.<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; JimG<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; 
----- Original Message -----<BR>&gt; From: "Guy Tann" &lt;<A 
href="mailto:grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx";>grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR>&gt; To: &lt;<A 
href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR>&gt; 
Sent: Friday, April 14, 2000 9:48 PM<BR>&gt; Subject: RE: New Buy Signal<BR>&gt; 
<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; &gt; JimG<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; Did you get the number of 
that truck?<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; With the gap down this morning, the damage 
wasn't too great.... Cough,<BR>&gt; &gt; cough...<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; I 
think most of those stocks on the list are solid, good buys.&nbsp; At least 
I<BR>&gt; &gt; didn't buy them on margin and still kept almost half of my 
capital in<BR>&gt; cash.<BR>&gt; &gt; I will be looking for opportunities to add 
to my positions.&nbsp; Stocks that I<BR>&gt; &gt; really like are INTC and 
CSCO.&nbsp; Both are having record sales and earnings<BR>&gt; a<BR>&gt; &gt; la 
AMD.&nbsp; I don't know this one individual personally (he's a friend's<BR>&gt; 
&gt; neighbor), but he bought CSCO yesterday and today and will buy more 
on<BR>&gt; &gt; Monday and he works for them.&nbsp; Feels these are tremendous 
buying<BR>&gt; &gt; opportunities.&nbsp; If you stay away from the stocks with 
no business, no<BR>&gt; &gt; profits, etc., you should be all right, 
IMHO.<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; Meanwhile, we're licking our wounds and looking 
for an opportunity to buy<BR>&gt; &gt; more.<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; 
Meanwhile, how do I explain to my better half that the first 2 forays 
into<BR>&gt; &gt; equities from futures were on the two biggest down days on 
record. :)<BR>&gt; Talk<BR>&gt; &gt; about the kiss of death.<BR>&gt; 
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; Good luck,<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; Guy<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; 
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; -----Original Message-----<BR>&gt; &gt; From: <A 
href="mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A><BR>&gt; 
[<A 
href="mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>]On<BR>&gt; 
&gt; Behalf Of Jim Greening<BR>&gt; &gt; Sent: Friday, April 14, 2000 3:06 
PM<BR>&gt; &gt; To: <A 
href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A><BR>&gt; &gt; 
Subject: Re: New Buy Signal<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; Guy,<BR>&gt; 
&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; I don't know if we are in agreement or 
not.&nbsp; I got scared today when<BR>&gt; &gt; the NASDAQ plunged through the 
bottom of its Intermediate term up trend<BR>&gt; &gt; channel and closed all my 
high tech and finance type positions.&nbsp; I'm now<BR>&gt; &gt; only long CBRL 
and WMT (how's that for high flyers &lt;G&gt;).<BR>&gt; 
&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; However, I do like the stocks in your list 
and will be watching for<BR>&gt; &gt; good entry points.&nbsp; I'm just not 
going to rush back in at this point.&nbsp; I'd<BR>&gt; &gt; rather lick my 
wounds and wait for the dust to clear a little.<BR>&gt; 
&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; I've noticed that your signals are usually 
right on but sometimes a<BR>&gt; few<BR>&gt; &gt; days early so you probably 
will have a great position here.&nbsp; Besides you<BR>&gt; can<BR>&gt; &gt; add 
my caution to your list of contrary indicators &lt;G&gt;<BR>&gt; 
&gt;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Best of luck!<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; 
JimG<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; ----- Original Message -----<BR>&gt; 
&gt; From: "Guy Tann" &lt;<A 
href="mailto:grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx";>grt@xxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; To: 
"Metastock User Group" &lt;<A 
href="mailto:metastock-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR>&gt; 
&gt; Sent: Friday, April 14, 2000 12:26 AM<BR>&gt; &gt; Subject: New Buy 
Signal<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; List,<BR>&gt; &gt; 
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; I know that everyone has been waiting for this :) but 
we're going long<BR>&gt; on<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Friday.&nbsp; Ta Taaaaa<BR>&gt; 
&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Let the games begin.&nbsp; We'll be buying S&amp;P 
futures as well as the<BR>&gt; following<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; stocks.&nbsp; My 
brother and I spent 3 hours tonight picking these babies, so<BR>&gt; I<BR>&gt; 
&gt; &gt; hope they don't disappoint.&nbsp; We are not jumping in with both 
feet<BR>&gt; though.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Playing cautious.&nbsp; I originally 
started buying more, but went back and<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; changed my orders so 
that I will be only 25% invested (of available<BR>&gt; margin<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; 
funds).&nbsp; I figure, this way I limit my risk if my signal is wrong, 
and<BR>&gt; &gt; also<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; provide myself with an opportunity to 
buy more should the market look<BR>&gt; &gt; good.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; 
&gt; &gt; Here is the list of stocks we're buying:<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; 
&gt; &gt; TER<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; ATML<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; INTC<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; 
LLTC<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; HLIT<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; SFA<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; TXN<BR>&gt; 
&gt; &gt; QCOM<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; AMCC<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; ORCL<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; 
HWP<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; IBM<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; CSCO<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; 
&gt; We've tried to spread our exposure in those groups we're most<BR>&gt; 
comfortable<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; with.&nbsp; Heavy exposure to the semi conductors, 
etc.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Anyway, I would like to think that now 
that we're in agreement with<BR>&gt; Steve<BR>&gt; &gt; K.<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; and 
JimG, we're all in sync.&nbsp; Maybe working together we can stop this<BR>&gt; 
slid<BR>&gt; &gt; e,<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; at least for a while. :)<BR>&gt; &gt; 
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt; Guy<BR>&gt; &gt; 
&gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; &gt;<BR>&gt; 
&gt;<BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; <BR>&gt; </FONT></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Mon Apr 17 06:46:51 2000
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From: "Steve Karnish" <kernish@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <20000417050940.90516.qmail@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: Flip it good/flippant better.
Date: Mon, 17 Apr 2000 05:21:47 -0700
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Perry Kaufman's moving average:

Day:=Cum(1)+1;

Z:=Input("Periods",2,1000,5);

MV:=(1/Z);

If(Day<(Z+2),C,If(day=(Z+2),Mov(C,LastValue(Z),S),PREV+(MV*(C-PREV))))
----- Original Message ----- 
From: j seed <jseed_10@xxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Sunday, April 16, 2000 10:09 PM
Subject: Re: Flip it good/flippant better.


> Steve,
> Could we steal the PJ5 from you?
> 
> J.
> 
> >From: "Steve Karnish" <kernish@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
> >Reply-To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> >Subject: Re: Flip it good/flippant better.
> >Date: Sun, 16 Apr 2000 21:39:44 -0700
> >
> >Ton,
> >
> >I've STOLEN his PJ5 moving average.
> ______________________________________________________
> Get Your Private, Free Email at http://www.hotmail.com
> 
>