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RE: Interpretation of ATR



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<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>ATR is just like a thermometer 
measuring a chart's temperature. By itself one ATR number tells you nothing, it 
is when this number is put in the context of where it has been in the past on 
the same chart that it starts having meaning.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>By that definition, 
</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>Low ATR helps you trade a 
larger size (or keep a tighter stop on same size).</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>High ATR tells you that your 
stops need to be wider (or trade a smaller size &amp; expect frequent 
stop-outs).</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>That is the trading 
interpretation.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>The conceptual interpretation 
is that volatility reverts to mean, so periods of historically low ATR will 
likely not be sustained. Likewise, when ATR has been rising and stops rising, 
you can expect range contraction to continue - until it 
doesn't.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>But there are a multitude of 
trading strategies and money mgt approaches that are built around the concept of 
range expansion/contraction.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>This is how it is 
interpreted/used, at least, by me.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>In the book, he basically lists 
the calcs as a precursor to building the ADX.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Gitanshu</FONT><FONT 
size=2></FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
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