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Re: Interpretation of ATR



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<DIV><FONT size=2>Gitanshu :</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Thanks a lot for your explanation !</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Theo Lockefeer.</FONT></DIV>
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<BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A title=OnWingsOfEagles@xxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:OnWingsOfEagles@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>Gitanshu Buch</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A title=metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, September 07, 2000 2:08 
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> RE: Interpretation of ATR</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>ATR is just like a 
  thermometer measuring a chart's temperature. By itself one ATR number tells 
  you nothing, it is when this number is put in the context of where it has been 
  in the past on the same chart that it starts having 
  meaning.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>By that definition, 
  </FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>Low ATR helps you trade a 
  larger size (or keep a tighter stop on same size).</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>High ATR tells you that your 
  stops need to be wider (or trade a smaller size &amp; expect frequent 
  stop-outs).</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>That is the trading 
  interpretation.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>The conceptual interpretation 
  is that volatility reverts to mean, so periods of historically low ATR will 
  likely not be sustained. Likewise, when ATR has been rising and stops rising, 
  you can expect range contraction to continue - until it 
  doesn't.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>But there are a multitude of 
  trading strategies and money mgt approaches that are built around the concept 
  of range expansion/contraction.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>This is how it is 
  interpreted/used, at least, by me.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2></FONT></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><SPAN class=840380312-07092000><FONT size=2>In the book, he basically 
  lists the calcs as a precursor to building the ADX.</FONT></SPAN></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Gitanshu</FONT><FONT 
size=2></FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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