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WoodsonWaveReport-990812 (interim report)



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<P><FONT face=Arial size=2>Don't be too fooled by the&nbsp;in this Report used 
percentages for Retracement's ratio-factor, for as most<BR>targets mentioned 
here were either not hit or were well surpassed, eg 
when&nbsp;calculated&nbsp;via&nbsp;the&nbsp;also<BR>in this edition of the 
WW-Report used (and for&nbsp;standard over-fantasized)&nbsp;"old 
hat"&nbsp;fib-series for figures<BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial 
size=2>for&nbsp;retracement-ratio-factor.<BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial 
size=2><BR>The&nbsp;exact targets&nbsp;naturaly should be (and are far 
better)&nbsp;calculated using the Decimal System<BR>(eg the Fractal 
Retracements),&nbsp;for as this Decimal-system also naturaly represents this 
21st century's<BR>advanced methodologies far better than an&nbsp;in the 12th (?) 
century&nbsp;&lt;so called&gt; discovered "repetativeness"<BR></FONT><FONT 
face=Arial size=2>for one of the mother-nature's miracles, eg where it would 
take "one(1) to enable to tango"(something<BR></FONT><FONT face=Arial 
size=2>that is naturaly done by 2 (a pair) or more) eg a </FONT><FONT face=Arial 
size=2>narrow-minded, very-biast and very-monogamistic,<BR>very-fantastical-way 
(tho also part of mother nature laws,&nbsp;sure ain't the only one).<BR><BR>For 
that, I still cannot understand why so many &lt;modern day&gt; 
Analysts&nbsp;still let themselves in with this</FONT><FONT face=Arial 
size=2><BR>&lt;12 century's mumbo jumbo&gt;, eg it is not understandable why 
they, the modern day Technical Analysts<BR>(including this Report's writer) than 
seem to&nbsp;hang on to something (fib-theories) that have well been<FONT 
face=Arial size=2><BR></FONT>superseeded a long time ago, eg&nbsp;and in this 
instance and in this Century&nbsp;certainly by the above<FONT face=Arial 
size=2><BR></FONT>mentioned Decimal System (eg for&nbsp;also being its/the 
greater successor to many other odd but-now-died-out<FONT face=Arial 
size=2><BR></FONT>mathematical systems (Gallons, Miles, Pounds, Fractions in 
stocks quotations etc.).<FONT face=Arial size=2><BR></FONT>What will it be: 
-Clinging onto DOS v1.0/MetaStock v1.0 or enter the modern-day-society with 
Super<FONT face=Arial size=2><BR></FONT>Windows 2K(9x)/MetaStock v7.x ? 
-Twin-propellored/wooden airoplanes or Airbusses/JumboJets ?<FONT face=Arial 
size=2><BR></FONT>-Horse+wagons/A-Fords(T) or Scorpios/BMWs ?</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=Arial size=2>Anyway, it is&nbsp;the actual waves' pattern(s) and 
developements over/in time, eg the markets (repetitive) moves<BR>(that was so 
very well noted by)&nbsp;and the&nbsp;waves' </FONT><FONT face=Arial 
size=2>counts (according to) the in the after Ralph N. Elliott<BR>named Waves 
(and the by Charles H. Dow originated) market theory of "Trends as general 
buisiness conditions"<BR><A 
href="http://www.equis.com/free/taaz/elliotwavetheo.html";>http://www.equis.com/free/taaz/elliotwavetheo.html</A><BR><A 
href="http://www.equis.com/free/taaz/dowtheory.html/";>http://www.equis.com/free/taaz/dowtheory.html</A><BR></FONT><FONT 
face=Arial size=2>(for the markets' well being) that counts and </FONT><FONT 
face=Arial size=2>matters here, and not (for) the here too (somewhat 
very<BR>hypotheticaly and from the wrongly used retracements factor, than also 
not so important) found/calculated<BR>mathematical but highly virtual market 
targets.</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=Arial size=2>Regards,<BR>Ton Maas<BR><A 
href="mailto:ms-irb@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>ms-irb@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A><BR>Dismiss the 
".nospam" bit (including the dot) when replying.</FONT></P>
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  <BLOCKQUOTE style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
    <P><STRONG><FONT size=6>THE WOODSON WAVE REPORT</FONT></STRONG></P>
    <P align=left><STRONG><FONT size=6>SPECIAL INTERIM 
REPORT</FONT></STRONG></P>
    <P align=left><STRONG><FONT size=6>UPDATE AUGUST 12, 
    1999</FONT></STRONG></P></FONT><FONT face="Times New Roman">
    <P align=left><STRONG><A 
    href="http://www.galaxymall.com/finance/stockmarket";>http://www.galaxymall.com/finance/stockmarket</A></STRONG></P>
    <P align=left>&nbsp;</P></FONT><FONT face="Times New Roman">
    <P align=left><STRONG>FIRST WAVE TARGET ACHIEVED!</STRONG></P>
    <P align=left>&nbsp;</P></FONT><FONT face="Times New Roman">
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>Our "blueprint" for the current stock market 
    decline detailed in the August issue, remains</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>intact. In terms of time, we anticipated the 
    first wave decline to bottom on August 11,</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>1999. With the print low of the Dow of 10,549 
    registered on August 10, 1999 it appears</FONT></P><FONT size=4>
    <P align=left>that wave 1 down bottomed to </FONT><B><I><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman">within one day </B></FONT></I></FONT><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=4>of our forecast. The market is currently 
    in</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>wave 2 up. The Dow is tracing out some perfect 
    waves right now. Wave ii was a perfect</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>.382 of wave i. Wave iv was an exact .500 
    retracement of wave iii. On a price level, I</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>would have preferred wave v to bottom at the 10, 
    422 level. But pattern is of the utmost</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>importance. With the bottom registered on August 
    10, the first five waves down of</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>minute degree are complete ending minor wave 1 
    down.</FONT></P>
    <P align=left>&nbsp;</P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>Recall that we mentioned the 10,880 level as 
    being important resistance. Within the</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>internal structure of wave 1, wave iv had to hold 
    below the 10,880 level. It did. Wave iv</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>topped at 10,818 on 8/6/99 (see updated chart 
    next page). Therefore, with the bottom</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>achieved on August 10, our key resistance level 
    now becomes the all time high of 11,252.</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>The market is currently in wave 2 up. Remember, 
    wave 2 cannot retrace more than all of</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>wave 1. So if our count is correct, the high of 
    11,252 will not be broken. Where will</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>wave 2 end? The most likely fibonacci retracement 
    levels are: 10,817, 10,900 and 10,983.</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>As you know, 10,817 was surpassed. The high today 
    was right on the .50 retracement</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>level at 10,900. If the Dow tries to move higher 
    from here, it should find resistance at the</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>10,983 level, a .618 fibonacci 
    retracement.</FONT></P>
    <P align=left>&nbsp;</P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>If the 10,900 level is indeed the top of wave 2, 
    then wave 3 down is upon us. Third waves</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>are the strongest and most powerful. During the 
    third wave, there is no doubt about the</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>current trend. If a crash is to occur, it will 
    most likely happen at the bottom of the third</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>wave. At a minimum, we expect wave 3 reach a 
    fibonacci 1.618 multiple of wave 1 at</FONT></P><FONT size=4>
    <P align=left>Dow </FONT><B><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman">975</B></FONT></FONT><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=4>3. Remember from the August issue that a 
    .382 retracement of the entire rise</FONT></P><FONT size=4>
    <P align=left>from last fall gives us a target of </FONT><B><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman">978</B></FONT></FONT><FONT size=4><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman">0. Barring a crash, </FONT><B><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman">9753 - 9780 </B></FONT></FONT><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=4>should identify the</FONT></P><FONT 
    size=4>
    <P align=left>next low. Fifty five days from the closing high on the Dow 
    marks </FONT><B><FONT face="Times New Roman">9/9/99 </B></FONT></FONT><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=4>for the end of</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>wave 3 (see chart page 3 of August issue). For a 
    crash to be considered a possibility, the</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>Dow must come under great pressure and continued 
    weakness in the days before 9/9/99.</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>The market should make itself known in the next 
    couple of weeks. We, of course, will be</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>listening intently to what it tells us. 
    Alternately, any move (unexpected) above the 11,252</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>all time high negates this count.</FONT></P>
    <P align=left>&nbsp;</P>
    <P align=left><IMG align=baseline alt="" border=0 hspace=0 
    src="cid:005901beea8f$cb00c200$40b679c3@xxxxx";></P><FONT 
    face="Times New Roman">
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>Thank you for subscribing to The Woodson Wave 
    Report.</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>Dale Woodson, editor.</FONT></P>
    <P align=left><FONT size=4>Next monthly issue - September 3, 
1999.</FONT></P>
    <P align=left>NEWSLETTER $15 PER ISSUE OR, $165 YEARLY SUBSCRIPTION INCLUDES 
    12 MONTHLY<BR>ISSUES PLUS SPECIAL INTERIM REPORTS OR, $42 QUARTERLY 
    SUSCRIPTION INCLUDES<BR>3 MONTHLY ISSUES PLUS SPECIAL INTERIM 
    REPORTS.</P></FONT><FONT face="Times New Roman">
    <P align=left>Disclaimer: The Woodson Wave Report combines Elliott Wave 
    analysis and Fibonacci ratios to identify<BR>turning point targets in the 
    Dow, bond and gold markets with respect to both price and time.<BR>This 
    report is issued monthly and as targets are achieved. The information 
    contained in the report<BR>is prepared solely for informational purposes and 
    should not be taken as an offer to buy or sell<BR>any investment 
    vehicle.<BR>Past performance is no guarantee of future results, therefore 
    Woodson Wave Report is released from<BR>any and all 
  liabilities.</P></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></FONT></FONT></BODY></HTML>
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