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Al Taglavore and A.J. Maas



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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>Thank you for your recent responses 
to my folder viewing problem. I wanted to keep the initial post short and did 
not elaborate but both methods you guys suggested were tried before my first 
post. Neither worked. The problem began when my system started hanging up after 
the installation of a Netgear network card. It never did cooperate and in fact 
ended up corrupting some of my files. The card has been removed and the computer 
otherwise works fine. Mr Maas' response leads me to believe that possibly the 
Win-Registry file is damaged. Would you guys agree? Again it just will not hold 
the view settings by name, only date. What next step would you recommend? Thanks 
again.</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Apr 11 11:36:11 1999
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From: "Tom" <tuva1@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <002101be8432$dd764720$111f78cc@xxxxx>
Subject: Re: Trading Strategies:  CPQ
Date: Sun, 11 Apr 1999 13:32:17 -0400
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Thanks to each of you for your knowledgeable input.

Because Compaq "sandbagged"
(http://www.thestreet.com/comment/wrongrear/734887.html) analysts, it is
going to be tough to go long if a buy signal is triggered next week.  But as
the mantra goes, execute your technical system no matter what.......

Regards


----- Original Message -----
From: Michael Robb <mrobb@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Sunday, April 11, 1999 11:49 AM
Subject: Re: Trading Strategies: CPQ


> Very interesting comments. Sounds like good advice. Apparently the voice
of
> experience.
>
> One possible addition might be the Gann type of claim that there exists
> "natural" support/resistance at 25 and to a lesser extent, 23 1/2 - 7/16
> etc. as minor 1/8 points.
>
> M. R.
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Gitanshu Buch <OnWingsofEagles@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Date: Sunday, April 11, 1999 7:53 AM
> Subject: Re: Trading Strategies: CPQ
>
>
> >>Does anyone have experience/advice in trading large gapping stocks (as
> >>expected from Compaq on Monday)?  I am currently short the stock but not
> >>sure if I should cover at the open or wait until the end of the day.  I
> >>would appreciate any suggested technical indicators for these type of
> >>'gapping' stocks.
> >
> >
> >
> >Here is how I trade 'em:
> >
> >a/ The open is the best time to cover a short like you have. It
represents
> >the peak of fear and the maximum imbalance between buyers and sellers, so
> >the specialists take them down as much as it takes to find other buyers
at
> >some price level to help them share their burden of making the market in
> the
> >stock.
> >
> >b/ By "the open" I mean the first 10 minutes of trading. The stock will
> >open - say at 26 and trade down to 24 in 3 minutes. All these orders
> getting
> >filled will be pre-existing orders on the specialists' system and it will
> be
> >virtually impossible to trade off the screen since the fills get reported
> >late on days like this. You are therefore better off having a GTC limit
> >order to buy at 1 buck above whatever the opening indication looks like,
> and
> >be sure to have your order logged before 9:30 regardless of opening delay
> on
> >the stock. Once the limit is hit it turns into a market order, and you
will
> >be given a lower fill if price gaps through your target. Thus it is
almost
> >immaterial where your limit price to buy is on CPQ, a 30 or a 28 or a 25
or
> >a Market order will get you the same fill if it gaps open to 22.
> >
> >I would do the above on at least 50% of the position.
> >
> >For the balance, here is what I do since I am never really sure if the
> >opening gap is filled by a retracement on the same day:
> >
> >There normally is buying pressure immediately after the open. This lifts
> the
> >stock up a couple of bucks, and this gap also lets the bottom fishers
come
> >in and buy - who think they are getting what was once a $50 stock for
half
> >that value due to a temporary "Wall St Knee-jerk". All this combines to
> >bring the stock back up for 2 or 3 days - maybe for CPQ may also be a
week
> >since it is already so low.
> >
> >My trailing stop on the remaining position is therefore 1 buck above
Friday
> >close - if you still want to be strategically bearish and ride the
> downtrend
> >and have half a position.
> >
> >Equities like CPQ almost never make a V bottom. There usually a retest of
> >the new lows (within about 1 dollar) a few days or a couple of weeks
later,
> >at which point  I re-evaluate whether a double bottom is being formed or
> >should I ride the trend.
> >
> >Here are a few examples whose daily charts you could pull up to see what
> >happened. The only difference between these and CPQ is that they were
> riding
> >bull trends when they gapped down open, and CPQ has already been in an
> >established downtrend. Given that, one HAS to respect the fact that this
> may
> >be an exhaustion gap happening on Monday.
> >
> >PMTC - Parametric Technology
> >CA - Computer Associates.
> >
> >I no longer have intraday charts on these but the dailies convey the
> >picture.
> >
> >Most technical indicators I know of fail, due to the largeness of the
gap.
> >The only reference points therefore are prior support levels and intraday
> >price action on a 5 to 15 minute chart.
> >
> >Regards
> >Gitanshu
> >
> >
> >
>