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Re: Trading The Trends



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Anyone out there have this expert adviser. I seem to be getting Bull all
the way.

Please E mail it to me if you can.

Rajesh

A.J. Maas wrote:

>
>
>      -------------------------------------------------------------
>                            NEW TECHNIQUES
>      -------------------------------------------------------------
>                          Trading The Trend
>      -------------------------------------------------------------
>                           by Andrew Abraham
>      -------------------------------------------------------------
>       Here's a volatility indicator, presented here with simple
>                trend rules for trading various markets.
>      -------------------------------------------------------------
>
>      New traders quickly become familar with two adages: "The
>      trend is your friend," and "Let your profits run and cut
>      your losses." Many of us, however, have learned the hard way
>      that these things are easier said than done. Why is that?
>      One reason is lack of recognition, since the trend itself is
>      rarely clarified and defined, let alone where it starts and
>      ends. So we need a clear explication of what a trend is as
>      well as where its beginning and its end are.
>
>
>      SIMPLE ENOUGH
>
>      Simply, if the trend is considered up, then the trend of
>      prices are composed of upwaves and the downwaves are
>      countertrend movements. Downward trends are the opposite,
>      seen as downwaves with countertrend upwaves. Using several
>      tools and functions, we can design a quantifiable approach
>      to defining these waves. My favorite is the volatility
>      indicator, which is a formula that measures the market
>      volatility by plotting a smoothed average of the true range.
>      The true range indicator originates from the work of J.
>      Welles Wilder Jr. from his New Concepts in Technical Trading
>      Systems. The definition of the true range is defined as the
>      largest of the following:
>
>         * The difference between today's high and today's low
>         * The difference between today's high and yesterday's
>           close, or
>         * The difference between today's low and yesterday's
>           close.
>
>      The calculation uses a 21-period weighted average of the
>      true range, giving higher weight to the true range of the
>      most recent bar. The final value is then multiplied by 3.
>
>      The volatility indicator is used as a stop-and-reverse
>      method. Let's say the market has been rising, then the
>      volatility indicator is calculated each day and subtracted
>      from the highest close during the rising market. The highest
>      close is always used, even if there has been a series of
>      lower closes since the highest close. If the market closes
>      below the volatility indicator, then for the next day, the
>      current reading of the volatility indicator is added to the
>      lowest close. This step is followed each day until the
>      market closes above the trailing volatility indicator.
>
>      We now have a definition of the trend. An upward trend
>      exists as long as the volatility indicator is below the
>      market and a downtrend is in force if the volatility
>      indicator is above the market. To visualize these waves, we
>      color-code the uptrends blue and the downtrends red (Figures
>      1 and 2).
>
>
>
>                                [Image]
>
> FIGURE 1: CHASE MANHATTAN BANK. Use the volatility indicator to signal
> the direction of the trend. Here, uptrends are in blue, and downtrends
>                              are in red.
> -----------------------------------------------------------------------
> Andrew Abraham is a trader and a Commodity Trading Advisor with Angus
>     Jackson. He may be reached via E-mail at info@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>      Excerpted from an article originally published in the
>      September1998 issue of Technical Analysis of STOCKS &
>      COMMODITIES magazine. All rights reserved. © Copyright 1998,
>      Technical Analysis, Inc.
>

<x-html><HTML>
<BODY BGCOLOR="#FFFFFF">
Anyone out there have this expert adviser. I seem to be getting Bull all
the way.

<P>Please E mail it to me if you can.

<P>Rajesh

<P>A.J. Maas wrote:
<BLOCKQUOTE TYPE=CITE>&nbsp;&nbsp;
<BLOCKQUOTE>
<CENTER>
<HR noShade SIZE=1><B><FONT SIZE=+1>NEW TECHNIQUES&nbsp;</FONT></B>
<HR></CENTER>

<CENTER></CENTER>

<CENTER><B><FONT SIZE=+4>Trading The Trend&nbsp;
<HR></FONT><I>by Andrew Abraham</I></B></CENTER>

<CENTER>
<HR><I><FONT SIZE=+1>Here's a volatility indicator, presented here with
simple trend rules for trading various markets.</FONT></I></CENTER>

<CENTER>
<HR></CENTER>


<P><FONT SIZE=+2>N</FONT>ew traders quickly become familar with two adages:
"The trend is your friend," and "Let your profits run and cut your losses."
Many of us, however, have learned the hard way that these things are easier
said than done. Why is that? One reason is lack of recognition, since the
trend itself is rarely clarified and defined, let alone where it starts
and ends. So we need a clear explication of what a trend is as well as
where its beginning and its end are.
<BR>&nbsp;

<P><B>SIMPLE ENOUGH</B>

<P>Simply, if the trend is considered up, then the trend of prices are
composed of upwaves and the downwaves are countertrend movements. Downward
trends are the opposite, seen as downwaves with countertrend upwaves. Using
several tools and functions, we can design a quantifiable approach to defining
these waves. My favorite is the volatility indicator, which is a formula
that measures the market volatility by plotting a smoothed average of the
true range. The true range indicator originates from the work of J. Welles
Wilder Jr. from his <I>New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems</I>. The
definition of the true range is defined as the largest of the following:
<UL>
<LI>
The difference between today's high and today's low</LI>

<LI>
The difference between today's high and yesterday's close, <I>or</I></LI>

<LI>
The difference between today's low and yesterday's close.</LI>
</UL>
The calculation uses a 21-period weighted average of the true range, giving
higher weight to the true range of the most recent bar. The final value
is then multiplied by 3.

<P>The volatility indicator is used as a stop-and-reverse method. Let's
say the market has been rising, then the volatility indicator is calculated
each day and subtracted from the highest close during the rising market.
The highest close is always used, even if there has been a series of lower
closes since the highest close. If the market closes below the volatility
indicator, then for the next day, the current reading of the volatility
indicator is added to the lowest close. This step is followed each day
until the market closes above the trailing volatility indicator.

<P>We now have a definition of the trend. An upward trend exists as long
as the volatility indicator is below the market and a downtrend is in force
if the volatility indicator is above the market. To visualize these waves,
we color-code the uptrends blue and the downtrends red (Figures 1 and 2).
<CENTER>&nbsp;</CENTER>

<CENTER>&nbsp;</CENTER>

<CENTER>&nbsp;</CENTER>

<CENTER></CENTER>

<CENTER><IMG SRC="cid:part1.35E0DB53.27F646B4@xxxxxxxx"; HEIGHT=359 WIDTH=480></CENTER>
</BLOCKQUOTE>

<CENTER></CENTER>

<CENTER><B>FIGURE 1: CHASE MANHATTAN BANK. </B><I>Use the volatility indicator
to signal the direction of the trend. Here, uptrends are in blue, and downtrends
are in red.</I></CENTER>

<CENTER>
<HR></CENTER>

<CENTER><I>Andrew Abraham is a trader and a Commodity Trading Advisor with
Angus Jackson. He may be reached via E-mail at info@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</I></CENTER>

<BLOCKQUOTE>
<H5>
<I>Excerpted from an article originally published in the September1998
issue of Technical Analysis of STOCKS &amp; COMMODITIES magazine. All rights
reserved. &copy; Copyright 1998, Technical Analysis, Inc.</I></H5>
</BLOCKQUOTE>
</BLOCKQUOTE>
&nbsp;
</BODY>
</HTML>
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