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Short selling.
Although the article discuss INTC and TXN. It also has implications for
AMAT as well.
Harley
http://biz.yahoo.com/finance/980820/merrill_de_2.html<x-html><html><base href="http://biz.yahoo.com/"><title>Yahoo - Merrill details Intel , TI cuts</title><center><table cellpadding=2 cellspacing=0
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disclaimer</small></td></tr></table></table><b>Thursday August 20, 3:31 pm <small>Eastern Time</small></b><h2>Merrill details Intel , TI cuts</h2><!--finance|903652260-->
<!-- TextStart -->
NEW YORK, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Merrill Lynch analyst Thomas
Kurlak said Thursday he downgraded his long-term rating for
Intel Corp. because of a slower growth forecast.<p>Kurlak, one of Wall Street's most influential technology
analysts, cut Intel's long-term rating to neutral from
accumulate. He kept Intel's near-term rating of neutral.<p>He also trimmed his long-term rating for semiconductor
company Texas Instruments Inc. (news) to accumulate from buy.<p>Texas Instruments kept its near-term rating of neutral, but
Kurlak cut his estimates for 1998 and 1999 earnings per share.<p>In a report on Intel, Kurlak:
<p>-- said slower growth and falling pricing defeated the old
growth formula;<p>-- forecast a decline in average sales price of 33 percent
over the next five years, and a drop in margin of five
percentage points, to 45 percent;<p>-- said server processors were not expected to offset fully
falling personal computer processor prices;<p>-- forecast a nine-percent longer-term sales growth after
the ``current negative growth period'' ends, down from the
previous 15 percent estimate;<p>-- said the low-end personal computer mix continued to
grow;<p>-- and said shortages of low-priced microprocessors and
``ample supply of high-end'' imply third-quarter sales could fall
short of forecasts.<p>``At 32 times times our 1998 earnings estimate, Intel's
stock is rich relative to our estimated future earnings growth
rate of seven percent,'' Kurlak said.<p>``It is not rich relative to its past growth rate of 30
percent and, therefore, investors are re-entering the stock
expecting a resumption of the past trend in 1999.<p>``We do not believe that this expectation is well supported
by analysts and it ignores the reasons for Intel's current
malaise.''<p>On Texas Instruments, Kurlak said slow markets for products
using the company's chips clouded recovery products.<p>He added that the analogue market was flattening and the
market for modems and disks was weak. Distribution markets were
``not improving much.''<p>He cut its estimate of Texas Instruments' 1998 earnings a
share to $1.40 from $1.53. The forecast of 1999 earnings a
share was cut to $2 from $2.30.
<!-- TextEnd -->
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<!-- [0903641522-0000018687]
INTC.O => INTC: headline
TXN.N => TXN: headline, text
z0000: slug RCH, slug HOT
-->
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</x-html>From ???@??? Thu Aug 20 09:25:24 1998
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From: "Forrest Ho" <forrest2@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Date: Thu, 20 Aug 1998 21:31:55 +0000
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Subject: Re: VIDYA
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> Date: Tue, 18 Aug 1998 22:28:39 +0200
> To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> From: derksenf <derksenf@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Subject: Re: VIDYA
> Reply-to: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Dear Fran :
I can't do it as the result are all the same
percentage of profit ! I have Vidya in my formula
collection . Is it confused with the one of
your option one ??
> Enter long:
>
> Length:=opt1;
>
> Smooth:=5;
>
> AbsCMO:=(Abs(CMO(C,Length)))/100;
>
> SC:=2/(Smooth+1);
>
> VIDYA:=If(Cum(1)<=(Length+1),C,(SC*AbsCMO*CLOSE)+(1-(SC*AbsCMO))*PREV);
>
> Cross(C,VIDYA)
>
> Optimize: min2 max10 step1
>
> Here are the results for the Heng Seng Index:
> Points- and Long only test.
> Allowing 0.3 points for entry- and 0.3 points for exit commissions.
> Last 1250 periods (approximately 5yrs), after stopping out after 5 days:
>
> Test # Status Net Profit Percent Gain Total Trades Winning OPT 1:
> 2 OK 3480.9043 N/A 84 49 35 0.9190 3
> 1 OK 2554.6851 N/A 87 49 38 0.9259 2
> 4 OK 2417.3462 N/A 84 46 38 0.9960 5
> 6 OK 2229.3174 N/A 81 47 34 0.8615 7
> 3 OK 1562.1327 N/A 82 45 37 0.9265 4
> 7 OK 1541.7965 N/A 79 44 35 0.8985 8
> 8 OK 1485.5935 N/A 75 42 33 0.8894 9
> 9 OK 1122.3815 N/A 73 40 33 0.9071 10
> 5 OK 296.5579 N/A 83 45 38 0.8641 6
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