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[amibroker] Re: Anyone actually making money?



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Please send me a personal email and I will describe its functions and 
the license fee. I don't want to use the forum for commercial 
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Thanks,
Barry

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "dingo" <dingo@xxx> wrote:
>
> Well now that you've said you sell a system - how much is it?
> 
> d 
> 
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
> > [mailto:amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Barry Scarborough
> > Sent: Thursday, July 31, 2008 2:46 PM
> > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > Subject: [amibroker] Re: Anyone actually making money?
> > 
> > I will let Tom answer this too but I would like to also. Auto 
trading 
> > takes the emotion out of trading. If you have nerves of steel, 
> > believe your system implicitly and act immediately, you can 
manual 
> > trade. I just can't do it. And you are not fast enough to catch 
the 
> > price when the signal appears, if you are watching the screen ALL 
the 
> > time. Then when you don't catch it right away what do you do? 
Wait 
> > and miss the trade, right. The AT part makes the trade in a 
fraction 
> > of a second after the signal. It has nerves of steel and no 
emotion. 
> > 
> > Then there are too many times I think the market is going to do 
this 
> > or that and I start second guessing the system. That is a killer. 
I 
> > did not understand that until I had a long sting of awful trades, 
> > quit trading and read Trading in the Zone but Mark Douglas, 
required 
> > reading for the novice as is High Probability Trading by Marcel 
Link. 
> > One point Douglas makes, and I can vouch for it, is that when you 
get 
> > an idea about what the market will do it skews your thinking and 
you 
> > will not see the parts of the chart that tell you to get out or 
not 
> > trade. You only see what reinforces your belief system. I made a 
> > really bad trade and reviewed it with my wife later. She is very 
good 
> > at picking stocks, looked at the charts and said, "What the !@#$ 
did 
> > you do that for??? Looking back after the emotion was gone I saw 
what 
> > I did not see during the heat of the moment, all the other stuff 
that 
> > screamed "Not here stupid!" Thinking you know what the market 
will do 
> > often does more harm than good.
> > 
> > Your point about futures is true and part of the clue to using 
them. 
> > When you are trading, small price moves make it hard for a system 
to 
> > make money. People that try to trade a 1 minute chart have to 
have a 
> > system that turns on a dime or the bid/ask slippage and 
commissions 
> > will eat your lunch. Now if you use an hour chart the bars are 
larger 
> > which makes it easier to catch a gain. Another reason is you can 
> > trade with a lot less money. If you system is good enough to 
trade 
> > stocks it is probably good enough for futures. 
> > 
> > Don't get the idea that futures are more volatile than stocks. 
Look 
> > at QQQQ and switch quickly to ER2, Russell 2000 e-mini. The 
charts 
> > are almost identical and the % volatility is about the same. The 
> > price range is very different. But you need a large price swing 
to 
> > make money. The reason people use day or week charts is to get 
the 
> > price range they need to make money. You can get that price 
variance 
> > in a few hours with futures. So you can make the same money in a 
> > shorter period of time using them, or lose a lot more if you 
system 
> > isn't any good.
> > 
> > Writing an auto trading program is a LOT of trouble, is not easy 
and 
> > you will need to dedicate a lot of time to write and test it and 
test 
> > it and test it. What the market does in real time will surprise 
you 
> > when comparing live trades to static charts or back test results 
> > where you use ExRem to filter all the signals out and make the 
charts 
> > all pretty. That doesn't work in the real world. You will get buy 
and 
> > sell conditions you will never see and you have to anticipate and 
> > manage them. To see what I mean watch a 1 minute chart when the 
> > market is changing trends, where two MAs are very close and 
changing 
> > many times a second. 
> > 
> > And things don't happen immediately. When you place a order it 
takes 
> > time to get a reply from TWS even when using MKT orders. They may 
not 
> > even fill if the market is thin. Then it takes some more time for 
the 
> > number of position to change, letting you know you really did 
trade 
> > something. Your signal can send hundreds of orders during that 
time, 
> > in only a few seconds, and you have to block them. When I was 
getting 
> > started I let my system run, simulation account, and when I came 
back 
> > an hour later it was long 300 futures contracts and was up 
75,000.00. 
> > Now why can't I make that mistake in my real account? But 300 
futures 
> > contracts? I can't afford that many. 
> > 
> > I do sell a system that will trade one security. I use it with 
> > futures but the auto trading part can be used with anything. Or 
as a 
> > basis for your own work. Your system/indicators drive the AT part 
and 
> > that has to work well or there is nothing the AT part can do to 
help. 
> > Your system is the key ingredient and it has to be a good one, 
also 
> > true with manual trading. The AT just places orders and manages 
the 
> > status, does the trade blocking, allows you to set profit and 
loss 
> > stops and talks to you when a trade is made or status is 
returned. It 
> > can also send email if you are away from your system. Tom uses 
his 
> > that way. The program is about 13 to 20 pages long depending on 
the 
> > level of function and the indicator part is about 1.5 pages. Not 
the 
> > one or two page example you see on the User's KB. Be ready to 
spend 
> > the time to develop something that is fairly comprehensive or it 
will 
> > not work well and you will get disgusted with it. It is a lot of 
work.
> > 
> > Learning to use it is the easy part. Once you get it working you 
can 
> > start it and just watch it make money, or not. Mine was up $1800 
the 
> > other day using 1 futures contract, more than 200% gain, in a 
day. 
> > Sadly it doesn't do that all the time. But you can make money 
using 
> > AB. 
> > 
> > Barry  
> > 
> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Louis P." <rockprog80@> wrote:
> > >
> > > Hi professor,
> > > 
> > > Is there a particular reason why you chose futures over stocks?
> > > 
> > > And why do you use IB automatic trading if trading delay is not 
a 
> > problem?
> > > It seemed to me that the more volatile a market is, the faster 
one 
> > must
> > > buy/sell.
> > > 
> > > I'm still thinking about trying IB automatic trading, but it 
just 
> > seems like
> > > a hell lot of trouble to learn how to use it.  Was it easy for 
you?
> > > 
> > > BTW, you said Barry helped you to write the code.  This must 
> > help! ;-)
> > > 
> > > Louis
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 
> > > 2008/7/31 <professor@>
> > > 
> > > >   
> > > > Louis,
> > > >
> > > > Since I only make trades 3 specific times a day, I don't 
worry 
> > about the
> > > > trade delay. I do use IB automatic trading. I have just 
finished 
> > testing it.
> > > > I would watch my auto trade and then trade it manually. Now I 
am 
> > switching
> > > > to auto trading completely. I had Barry write the trading 
program 
> > for me. It
> > > > seems to work great. However, my trading part may have a 
problem 
> > which
> > > > prevents a trade occasionally, but it doesn't prevent my 
trading 
> > from being
> > > > very profitable. I only trade gold futures which as you know 
as 
> > very
> > > > volitable.
> > > >
> > > > Tom
> > > >
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > *From:* Louis P. <rockprog80@>
> > > > *To:* amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > > > *Sent:* Thursday, July 31, 2008 9:48 AM
> > > > *Subject:* Re: [amibroker] Re: Anyone actually making money?
> > > >
> > > >  To Tom: Do you use IB automatic trading?  Is it possible to 
test 
> > such
> > > > feature?  I find that intraday trade delay is a major reason 
why 
> > I don't
> > > > make any money.  If I was faster I could do better.
> > > >
> > > > Thanks,
> > > >
> > > > Louis
> > > >
> > > > 2008/7/31 <professor@>
> > > >
> > > >>   > Is it not obvious to you that some people�s 
personality 
> > calls for a
> > > >> trading system, while others personality calls for a 
> > discretionary
> > > >> approach.
> > > >>
> > > >> I think that is the best thing that I've read on this thread!
> > > >>
> > > >> I agree. I have found that I am too emotional to try day 
trading 
> > because I
> > > >> make emotional decisions. That is why I developed an EOD 
program 
> > to trade.
> > > >> When that was very profitable,  I had my EOD program 
converted 
> > to a real
> > > >> time program and auto trade. I use a dat/night chart and 
only 
> > trade 3 times
> > > >> a day. Now I just watch to make sure the auto trade is 
working 
> > correctly.
> > > >>
> > > >> Tom
> > > >>
> > > >>  ----- Original Message -----
> > > >> *From:* tuzo_wilson <j.tuzo.wilson@>
> > > >> *To:* amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > > >>  *Sent:* Thursday, July 31, 2008 7:31 AM
> > > >> *Subject:* SV: [amibroker] Re: Anyone actually making money?
> > > >>
> > > >>  --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Jan Malmberg" <jan@> 
wrote:
> > > >>
> > > >> > Is it not obvious to you that some people�s personality 
> > calls for a
> > > >> trading system, while others personality calls for a 
> > discretionary
> > > >> approach.
> > > >>
> > > >> I think that is the best thing that I've read on this thread!
> > > >>
> > > >> Tuzo
> > > >>
> > > >>
> > > >  
> > > >
> > >
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > ------------------------------------
> > 
> > Please note that this group is for discussion between users only.
> > 
> > To get support from AmiBroker please send an e-mail directly to 
> > SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com
> > 
> > For NEW RELEASE ANNOUNCEMENTS and other news always check DEVLOG:
> > http://www.amibroker.com/devlog/
> > 
> > For other support material please check also:
> > http://www.amibroker.com/support.html
> > Yahoo! Groups Links
> > 
> > 
> >
>



------------------------------------

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