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[amibroker] Re: Trading the equity curve



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Well, I'll just follow along while you guys discuss this.:)  What 
you're saying is over my head, I don't think I understand the 
distinctions you're making.


Sebastian

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "markhoff" <markhoff@xxx> wrote:
>
> 
> Sebastian,
> 
> if you are talking about the "System Equity Curve" (SEC) which you
> want to trade then your asumption is wrong, the SEC is 
the "untraded"
> reference curve with your system always in the market and unbiased.
> What is a straight line is the "Real Equity Curve" after you have
> traded the SEC.
> 
> Regards,
> Markus
> 
> 
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "sebastiandanconia"
> <sebastiandanconia@> wrote:
> >
> > I plot the portfolio equity curve as if I was always in.  But now 
> > that you bring it up, it does raise the question of whether this 
is 
> > equity curve trading or simply trading my own personal "index."  
Not 
> > sure if this is just a semantic issue or a real one, since, as 
you 
> > point out, if you're not in the market the curve is a straight 
line 
> > and how do you trade that?:)
> > 
> > 
> > Sebastian 
> > 
> > 
> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "droskill" <droskill@> wrote:
> > >
> > > Ok - got you - yes, I'm looking at the same thing.  So here's 
the
> > > question: if you're not in the market, isn't the curve just a 
> > straight
> > > line?  How are you altering your trading?
> > > 
> > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "sebastiandanconia"
> > > <sebastiandanconia@> wrote:
> > > >
> > > > Total portfolio equity is what I'm talking about.  Take a 
> > portfolio 
> > > > that you have, run a system-test, chart the equity curve, 
then 
> > drag-
> > > > and-drop a moving average on top of it.  That'll give you an 
> > example 
> > > > of what I'm looking at with equity curve.
> > > > 
> > > > 
> > > > S.
> > > > 
> > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "droskill" <droskill@> 
wrote:
> > > > >
> > > > > Sebastian - thanks for the response.  However, I think I'm 
> > talking
> > > > > about something different.  I'm talking about using the 
overall
> > > > > performance/equity curve of a portfolio to modify the rules 
> > > > associated
> > > > > with a trading system.  But maybe I'm wrong - what did you 
mean 
> > by:
> > > > > 
> > > > > "I swing in and out of the portfolio (long only) using a 
moving
> > > > > average of the equity as a "buy" area when the general 
market 
> > (SP500
> > > > > as proxy)"
> > > > > 
> > > > > When you say equity in this case, do you mean portfolio 
> > equity?  Or 
> > > > do
> > > > > you mean AN equity (as in a single stock)?
> > > > > 
> > > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "sebastiandanconia"
> > > > > <sebastiandanconia@> wrote:
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Coincidentally, I've just recently begun trading along 
these 
> > > > lines, 
> > > > > > with good success.  With AB's ability to test and track 
> > > > portfolios it's 
> > > > > > relatively easy.
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > My basic method:  First, I use a stock screener to locate 
> > CANSLIM-
> > > > style 
> > > > > > small-caps.  (MSN has an advanced one, free and 
powerful.  
> > Major 
> > > > > > brokerages have them, too, for customers.)  Second, I 
> > eliminate 
> > > > foreign 
> > > > > > issues from this list, keeping only domestic ones.  I 
> > > > also "eyeball" 
> > > > > > all the charts, eliminating stocks with uptrends that are 
> > > > > > clearly "broken" but somehow sneaked past the initial 
screen, 
> > > > anyway.   
> > > > > > Third, I *randomize* the list by putting it in 
alphabetical 
> > order 
> > > > by 
> > > > > > ticker symbol.  Finally, I choose the first 6 stocks on 
the 
> > list, 
> > > > and 
> > > > > > that's the portfolio I work with.  Each issue gets an 
equal 
> > > > dollar-
> > > > > > amount of money invested.
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > I swing in and out of the portfolio (long only) using a 
> > moving 
> > > > average 
> > > > > > of the equity as a "buy" area when the general market 
(SP500 
> > as 
> > > > proxy) 
> > > > > > is strong, and use a discretionary exit, i.e., I think 
the 
> > trade 
> > > > has 
> > > > > > made me as much as it's likely to on this particular 
upswing.
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > Since the beginning of the year I've hit three wins on 
three 
> > > > round-
> > > > > > trips, up about 14%.  (Not a brag, because humiliation is 
> > only 
> > > > one 
> > > > > > trade away for us all, just pointing out the potential, 
> > > > considering 
> > > > > > that the SP500 and other major indices are still down for 
the 
> > > > year.)
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > I don't do any position-sizing, and just trade the 
portfolio 
> > as 
> > > > if it 
> > > > > > was my own personal index.  Only having 6 stocks might 
not 
> > seem 
> > > > like 
> > > > > > enough diversification, but it works surprisingly well.
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > FWIW.
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > Sebastian
> > > > > > 
> > > > > >  
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > 
> > > > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "droskill" <droskill@> 
> > wrote:
> > > > > > >
> > > > > > > I was wondering if anyone has any experience with 
trading 
> > the 
> > > > equity
> > > > > > > curve itself as part of a system.  In particular, I was 
> > looking 
> > > > for
> > > > > > > feedback on approaches to being above or below the 
curve - 
> > did 
> > > > you
> > > > > > > reduce/increase position sizes or the number of 
positions?  
> > > > What have
> > > > > > > you found to be affective?
> > > > > > > 
> > > > > > > Any feedback greatly appreciated - obviously I don't 
want 
> > or 
> > > > expect
> > > > > > > anyone to give away a great system, but I thought it 
might 
> > be an
> > > > > > > interesting topic for a general discussion.
> > > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > >
> > > >
> > >
> >
>



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