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Re: [amibroker] Re: Expectancy - and related



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> The K-ratio isn't worth the space it takes up: RRR is simpler.

care to elaborate?

gerryjoz wrote:
> In an earlier post, expectancy was associated with profit factor. 
> It is more closely related to payoff ratio.
> In Van Tharp's book, 2nd edition, "Trade your way...", page 204 et
> seq, he calculates 
> Expectancy = average profit/ # trades
>   divided by average loss.
> Payoff ratio is average profit/average loss,
> so 
> Expectancy = payoff ratio/# trades.
> --which can give very low numbers, and makes the concept rather
> dubious if you are using it as an absolute value for comparing systems
> with different numbers of trades. It might be better to use trades per
> annum.
> To be fair Van Tharp only gives that way of calculating expectancy as
> a default if the risk of a trade isn't able to be calculated taking
> into account a pre-determined proportion of equity. For that, you need
> to read the whole chapter.
> Personally i find CAR/MDD, RRR more relevant, along with the raw
> Payoff ratio.
>   
> The K-ratio isn't worth the space it takes up: RRR is simpler.
> 
> regards 
> Gerry
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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