| 
 Agreed, unless one is dealing with a very good 
derivative/leveraged trader who can consistently run along at much higher 
rates.  The ones that I know in this category use only the simplest TA 
(e.g., moving averages, trendlines, volume) and don't leave much room for 
things to go wrong (most important aspect).  It can be done, but it is 
fulltime job and most importantly one needs the right personality.  Few 
will fit into this box. 
  
Bill 
  ----- Original Message -----  
  
  
  Sent: Tuesday, February 26, 2008 4:52 
  AM 
  Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re: Absolute 
  value ATR?---> and some hope for building a system 
  
  Greetings all --
  Not to pour too much cold water on the 
  expectations of gain being mentioned here -- but ---
  A profit of 1% per 
  day, every trading day, grows so fast that the account balance is larger than 
  all the real estate in the US in just a few years.  
  Any time 
  someone suggests a growth of more than about 40% per year, take that with a 
  very large grain of salt.
  Thanks, Howard
 
  
  On Mon, Feb 25, 2008 at 6:24 PM, Louis Préfontaine 
  < rockprog80@xxxxxxxxx> 
  wrote:
   
    
    
    
    
    Hi Brian,
  I understand what you say: each has his own forces... 
    and weaknesses.  However, it seems to me that the best way to perform 
    (or should I say outperform) in the market is to be able to be "the" man who 
    is in charge.  My goal is to be able to build a code that is working, 
    experiment it, and making it better while experimenting with it.  I 
    want something that works.  
  Surely it must help to have a 
    friend like Tomasz who can help you learn, and I sure appreciate the advices 
    you give me.  However I have the feeling I start from scratch and it 
    will be more difficult without any "live" help.  The only thing that 
    can help me on that is that I learn very very fast and I did learn a lot of 
    things on my own.
  You talked about psychology; this is interesting 
    because this is probably half the reason why I want a system rather than 
    indicators which can be used with my own judgment.  Too often, I can 
    take bad decision because of a psychological bias (fear, greed, etc.) while 
    if I had a system I would be immune from this (as long as I would have 
    tested and retested the system long enough to have total faith in it).  
    Again, to me this is like chess: when you site in front of the chessboard 
    with a book you can take the best decisions; but in the middle of the action 
    sometimes you just don't make it.  This is why I want a system so 
    badly.
  I know me either that I was not born to be a programmer.  
    My real strenght (in everything) is to get the ideas; to "make something out 
    of something".  I sure like to do some programmation but this is not 
    the easiest part for me.  But if it was the same for you I guess I 
    could get the same results someday (assuming you get the results you wanted 
    to get).
  Thanks,
  Louis
 
 
 
 
  
    2008/2/25, brian_z111 <brian_z111@xxxxxxxxx>:
    
    
    
    
      
      
      
      
      Louis,
  I like your ideas very much.
  When you were beaten 
      you were beaten from within.
  You only didn't become even better 
      because you didn't believe you  could or because you didn't really want 
      it anymore.
  I think you will find a lot of chess players in this 
      forum or amongst  programmers (I bet Tomasz plays a fair game 
      too).
  > I see trading in the same way. My girlfriend's 
      sister husband is a > professional trader, trading with a 35% gain 
      per year for over 10  >years, and > he used to play chess. 
      However, how he trades is not possible for  >me; he is > a day 
      trader and I want to trade on slightly longer time frame  because 
      I > have other occupations and it's too much energy. This is why I 
      am  >lookingt > at a system. >  > Are you serious 
      it is possible to get 50% profit a year with such  >system? > 
      
  30% is quite easy for people who want to, or have to, go to 
      work, or  do something else all day, and then after tea spend a couple 
      of hours  updating data and scanning for their trades.
  Lots of 
      people automate their data update/scan then later on pick  their 
      stocks, or whatever, and enter a trade for the next day via  their 
      online brokers. 
  I don't know the answer to your question - it is 
      not relevant to me  as I am full time.
  Theoretically I think a 
      consistent 300-400% PA is possible - I  haven't done it yet 
      though.
  > You said you do some code but you prefer to work 
      with programmers  >as they > need you and you need them. Could 
      you develop a bit on that? Do  >you mean > that those 
      programmers lack the intuition and talent you have to 
       >recognize > profitable indicators and patterns and that you 
      lack the ability to  >program > as well as they 
      do?
  Know yourself!
  We are not complete on our own 
      (none of us). How could an intuitive like me go to the shops if the 
      engineers  didn't design and build the roads/bridges etc.
  I have 
      my function in society to perform - I know who I am and what  my role 
      is.
  I definitely wasn't born to write a computer program.
  I 
      joke that Tomasz is the head of my computing department.
  At a 
      trading level - I share trading ideas in the forum and help with 
       training for newcomers (two things I am good at) and in return I 
       learn programming/computers etc from Tomasz and the coders (they have 
       taken me a long way - to places I didn't think I would ever go - 
       maybe there is a couple of more quantum programming leaps ahead - it 
       is healthy for me to get pushed out of my comfort zone now and then - 
       they are stretching me and I am stretching them - ask Tomasz if he 
       thinks I don't put the stretch on him sometimes - when we have 
       constant exposure to things we are a little scared of our fear goes 
       away).
  My speciality is personal transformation (in a trading 
      environment  that is trading psychology). Occasionally, if some one is 
      interested,  I will do some for them, right out in the open, in full 
      public view  (only a little bit though because I don't want to abuse 
      the tolerance  of the forum).
  Subjective analysis is like the 
      herbs in cooking - I sprinkle it in  where it is 
      needed.
  > I wonder how far I can go without having to 
      become a > programmer and wasting too much time on this instead of 
      winning the  trade.
  All the way if you want 
      to.
  Since my secondary psychic function is logic I like the 
      analytical  side of rule based/objective trading. I am quite at home 
      there.
  I went looking for AB because I needed a good computing tool 
      to help  with my trading analysis.
  A word of caution.
  To 
      master anything you have to make constant love to it - whispering 
       sweet nothings to each other night and day. Every mistress I have 
      known was always a jealous mistress. I don't think a part time lover 
      makes a very good lover.
  Also, trading isn't the least bit 
      important.
  It is what Carlos Castenda called my "controlled 
      folly".
  brian_z
  --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Louis Préfontaine" 
       <rockprog80@xxx> wrote: > > Hi Brian, > 
      
  
      > From what I understand you look like someone who has 
      accomplised a  lot... > and not only in trading. As a personal 
      piece of wisdom I really  believe in > the virtue of establishing 
      goals and doing whatever one has to do  to reach > those goals. 
      And the important thing is that the path to reach  those goals > 
      must be nearly as enjoyable as the goal itself. >  > That was 
      how it was for chess to me. As you said about  programming, a 
      big > puzzle. I had so much fun looking at all those games, learning 
       every move > and every variation of a particular opening up to 
      the 16th move, or  learning > all the possibilities of an 
      Endgame, etc. I really like to play  with > concepts and to adapt 
      them to create something new. Somehow, I  always > played chess 
      like it was an art; an art of perfection where the  mind 
      created > something that didn't exist before. This is how I got a 
      draw at  my second > tournament game at 21 against an expert, and 
      this is how I defeated  several > masters and won some 
      tournaments. I always tried to surprise  myself and get > that 
      "ahah!" that made the game look beautiful to me. I think I  enjoyed 
      the > aesthetic of the game. >  > I see trading in the 
      same way. My girlfriend's sister husband is a > professional trader, 
      trading with a 35% gain per year for over 10  years, and > he 
      used to play chess. However, how he trades is not possible for  me; he 
      is > a day trader and I want to trade on slightly longer time frame 
       because I > have other occupations and it's too much energy. 
      This is why I am  lookingt > at a system. >  > Are 
      you serious it is possible to get 50% profit a year with such 
       system? >  > You are right about the possibility of been 
      too focused on the code  itself > to forget the trading activity. 
      I compare this again to ches when  I lost > some games because I 
      didn't want to give the fatal blow because I  was so > amazed 
      that my opponent had nothing to play because my position was 
       so > strong... Or some games I lost because I wanted so hard to 
      punish  my > opponent for getting out of theory, etc. Sometimes I 
      forgot that  the goal > was to win the game. >  > You 
      said you do some code but you prefer to work with programmers  as 
      they > need you and you need them. Could you develop a bit on that? 
      Do  you mean > that those programmers lack the intuition and 
      talent you have to  recognize > profitable indicators and 
      patterns and that you lack the ability to  program > as well as 
      they do? >  > What I really would like to do, for me, is to 
      build a system that  would > allow me to simply scan and 
      buy/sell/short/cover when I have to,  and that's > it. On a daily 
      basis and maybe later on a hourly basis. But it  seems like > a 
      long way and I wonder how far I can go without having to become a > 
      programmer and wasting too much time on this instead of winning the 
       trade. >  > Thanks, >  > Louis > 
      
  > 2008/2/25, brian_z111 <brian_z111@xxx>:
        > > > > Louis, > > > > I 
      guessed you were special - that is why I took some extra time to > 
      > help you. > > > > You have a lot of good qualities 
      that will hold you in good steed, > > anywhere. I tried to help 
      you focus on your weaker spots (I find  that > > we can make 
      faster gains by improving our weaknesses, since our  good > > 
      points are already close to maximized). > > > > When you 
      play a lot of chess like that one aspect of your mind > > becomes 
      highly developed at the expense of other parts (intense > > 
      academic study also does that). > > > > The other side 
      of life is also nice (art, music, daydreaming, al > > fresco 
      dining, a glass of wine etc). > > > > >I still 
      don't > > > understand if I should use ATR or StDev and what 
      is the  difference > > >between > > > 
      them, > > > > Don't worry. > > That is 
      normal. > > > > My teacher taught me that an apple 
      doesn't ripen overnight. > > > > Patience is a 
      virtue. > > > > Sometimes I just leave it a while and 
      move on - later I go back  to it > > or it suddenly starts to 
      click all by itself. > > > > The stockchart site at the 
      end of Thomas Ludwigs post is a very  good > > free site for 
      indicator definitions - it has survived for quite a > > while 
      also. > > > > Standard Deviation, and the bell curve, 
      are intrinsic to trading > > evaluation, although lots of 
      successful traders don't know the  first > > thing about it. 
      It is quite difficult to understand without  pictures > > and 
      a good deal of contemplation over time. > > > > This 
      won't mean anything to you now but in the shortest possible > > 
      terms: > > > > StDev and ATR are similar - they measure 
      the movement in the  stock - > > the main difference is that 
      StDev tells us how SIGNIFICANT the > > movement is (significance 
      is an important concept that you will  come > > across 
      later). > > > > > Tell me, what is your experience 
      with programming in AFL and did > > > you start from 
      scratch? > > > > Yes, I started from scratch. > 
      > > > I virtually had no programming experience before buying 
      AB approx  two > > years ago. > > > > I had 
      a good laymans knowledge of Excel, and Excel functions, and > > 
      that helped me a lot (AmiBroker is array programming and > > 
      arrays 'look' just like a row in Excel). > > > > The 
      example, on automating relative performance plots, that I gave > 
      > you is simple enough. The top programmers can go a lot further 
       than > > that. After the simple methods I use run out they 
      can go on and > > virtually automate anything they care to 
      (assuming it is worth the > > effort). > > > > 
      You don't have to be a programmer, as such, to be a good trader. > 
      > > > > As for me, I always achieve what I want to achieve. 
      I am 28,  and I > > >started > > > playing 
      chess seriously at 21, and I wanted to be an expert. At > > 
      >age 25 I > > > was expert. And now I want to build a nice 
      working code and even > > >if I knew > > > nothing 
      about coding one month ago I feel confident I will be  able > 
      > >to do it > > > before I turn 30. But you are right, 
      this is a lot of work! > > > > > > > Trading 
      is a huge field. > > No one can conquer it all. > > As 
      time goes on you start to specialize. > > I am now becoming an 
      expert (I know more and more about less and > > less). > 
      > > > I do set ambitious goals but I never put a time frame on 
      achieving > > them (I like to let the subjective mind decide what 
      path to take  and > > when to take it. I also allow the 
      subjective mind to suggest new > > goals, or adjustments to my 
      conscious objectives. I have trained > > myself to trust my 
      intuition because it always pays off). > > > > Yes, the 
      capacity to achieve goals and chess playing are a near > > 
      perfect background for a top trader (trading is a game and it is 
       all > > about strategies). > > > > You 
      should make an excellent programmer - look at the AFL 
       Reference > > manual - it is a kind of cryptic puzzle and the 
      function  definitions > > are the clues - it is good fun and a 
      challenge - you appear to  have > > the right wiring for the 
      job. > > > > Programming is like a puzzle - youi know 
      the start and the end but > > you have to put all of the pieces 
      in place to create the picture. > > > > I am actually 
      not the ideal type for programming. > > My primary psychic 
      function is intuition, with logic as my  secondary > > 
      function, so I tend to 'guess' the answer first and prove it 
       later. > > > > I can still program enough to get 
      by. > > > > I actually deliberately don't go all the 
      way. > > That is the coders turf. > > I need them, and 
      they need me, so I don't need to try to be what  I am > > 
      not. > > > > > But I have no background in 
      programming; do you think it is > > >possible with a > 
      > > lot of hard work to achieve something profitable? Did you build 
       a > > >system > > > that is working for 
      yourself? > > > > Yes, it is. > > > > 
      Like anything, a lot of people try but only a few become  brilliant 
      at > > it. > > There is no guarantee for anyone. > 
      > A lot of people who think they should be good at it aren't. > 
      > > > My personal opinion is that anyone, with average 
      intelligence, who > > perseveres WITH SELF HONESTY will succeed - 
      traders in the forum  in > > the past have said that >50% 
      PA is the norm for them. > > > > Certainly 20-30%PA is 
      easily attainable. > > > > IMO there is a catch to 
      trading - it seems so hard but actually  it is > > quite easy 
      once you can do it. It is so simple that people can't > > believe 
      that is possible and keep looking for the hard solutions. > 
      > > > When I first started I used Profit Factor as an easy 
      catch all > > measurement of a systems value. I read books by 
      traders who said  that > > they won't trade any system with 
      less than PF 2-3. > > I couldn't believe this - I thought it was 
      a lie because no matter > > how hard I tried I couldn't get above 
      1.6. > > > > It took me 3-4 years to start to find PF 3+ 
      trades. > > > > Yes, I have systems that work for 
      me. > > > > I think you have to be careful though 
      because AmiBroker is a > > seductive place - it can quickly start 
      to turn you into a > > programmer/developer rather than a 
      trader. > > > > Academics are obsessed with being 
      published in a journal. > > Mathmeticians are obsessed with 
      solving equations. > > Programmers are obsessed with writing 
      code. > > Brokers are obsessed with selling. > > 
      Investment professionals are obsessed with their careers. > 
      > > > Traders are obsessed with winning the game. > 
      > > > If you really want to be a programmer/developer fine - 
      it would  make > > a great career and it would be a lot of 
      fun. > > > > One tip for you: > > > > 
      The rules of the game aren't what'they' (non-traders) say they are > 
      > (99% of them are just myths). > > > > The real 
      rules of the game are unwritten secrets that you have to > > find 
      out for yourself (like the Matrix - "How deep does the rabbit > > 
      hole go?) > > > > A trader is a person who makes their 
      living by buying and selling. > > > > brian_z > 
      >
  > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <amibroker% 40yahoogroups.com>, 
      "Louis > > Préfontaine" > > <rockprog80@> 
      wrote: > > > > > > Hi Brian, > > 
      > 
      > > > Thanks for your last message. Somehow, it 
      inspired me. I still > > don't > > > understand if I 
      should use ATR or StDev and what is the  difference > > 
      between > > > them, but I feel confident I can learn how to 
      write better  codes in > > the > > > future. Tell 
      me, what is your experience with programming in AFL > > and 
      did > > > you start from scratch? > > > > 
      > > As for me, I always achieve what I want to achieve. I am 28, 
       and I > > started > > > playing chess seriously 
      at 21, and I wanted to be an expert. At > > age 25 I > > 
      > was expert. And now I want to build a nice working code and 
      even > > if I knew > > > nothing about coding one 
      month ago I feel confident I will be  able > > to do 
      it > > > before I turn 30. But you are right, this is a lot of 
      work! > > > > > > I will buy Howard Bandy's book 
      and I hope I will be able to  build > > something > > 
      > good. > > > > > > But I have no background in 
      programming; do you think it is > > possible with a > > 
      > lot of hard work to achieve something profitable? Did you build 
       a > > system > > > that is working for 
      yourself? > > > > > > Thanks, > > 
      > > > > > > > Louis > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > 2008/2/24, brian_z111 <brian_z111@>: > > > 
      > > > > > > I think I might confuse ATR and StDev. 
      What is the utility  of > > > > > each? > > 
      > > > > > > Yes, I think you are confusing them a 
      little. > > > > > > > > I'm sorry but there 
      is no way for any of us to avoid the  humdrum > > of > 
      > > > getting out the textbooks and doing our homework. > 
      > > > > > > > Genius is 99% perspiration and 1% 
      inspiration. > > > > > > > > Mark Knopfler 
      (Dire Staits) was a genuius rock musician - he  was > > 
      self > > > > taught and couldn't read music - he was an 
      exception. > > > > > > > > On the other 
      hand, Mozart, the greatest musician composer who  ever > > 
      > > lived, was tutored in the rudiments of music by his expert 
       father > > > > from the time he was an infant. > 
      > > > > > > > Understanding is a mysterious 
      quality. > > > > > > > > Can we buy 
      it? > > > > > > > > I don't know any short 
      cut to understanding, for the average > > person. > > 
      > > Only theory followed by practice followed by performance and 
       then > > > > (repetitively) back to theory again brings 
      understanding > > (fortunately > > > > at a point 
      we somehow make a quantum leap - no one knows how  that > > 
      > > happens). > > > > > > > > Isn't 
      StDev more flexible because you can modify it by > > > > 
      > changing it to 1, 2 or 3, etc.? > > > > > > 
      > > Yes, to me it is but I don't want to put you off ATR - ATR is 
       also > > > > good when used in the right time and 
      place. > > > > > > > > It is more flexible 
      because it is portable and also because  it is > > the > 
      > > > basis of volatility as used in other places in trading 
      e.g. > > options > > > > pricing. > > 
      > > > > > > How can I profit from each? > > 
      > > > > > > > See my previous post on stops for 
      examples on ways to use it. > > > > > > > > 
      Sorry but I am not a trading commentator and I don't give 
       advice > > on > > > > making profit as such - 
      only on how to use AB and the > > > > theory/philosophy 
      behind trading etc (I only post educational  and > > > > 
      resource material or enjoy friendly discussion with other > > 
      traders). > > > > > > > > > Thanks fvor 
      the suggestion about Howard Bandy's book. Is it > > 
      really > > > > > worth that 62$ I would spend to get it? 
      I mean: I looked at  some > > > > > extract and it 
      looks interesting but is it only another > > amibroker > 
      > > > > tutorial or would it actually help me to build my 
      system? > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > No one can answer this question except you. > > > 
      > It is a question of values - what we value is different for 
      us > > all. > > > > > > > > I like 
      the philosophy of Carlos Castaneda (Tales of Don Juan)  very > 
      > > > much. > > > > > > > > He 
      said: > > > > > > > > "For me there is only 
      the travelling on PATHS that have  heart, on > > any > 
      > > > PATH that may have heart. > > > > > 
      > > > There I travel, and the only worthwhile challenge is to 
       tranverse > > its > > > > full 
      length..... > > > > > > > > .....and there I 
      travel looking, looking, breathlessly". > > > > > 
      > > > For me Howard's book is cheap. > > > 
      > > > > > I always assumed he wasn't making a lot of 
      money out of it > > (there's > > > > no money in 
      books and training because the returns, for the  hours > > 
      > > that go into it, are a pittance). > > > > > 
      > > > The value is beyond money. > > > > > 
      > > > It is not the Holy Grail of trading, AB or system 
      design. > > > > Howard wouldn't say that it is 
      either. > > > > > > > > You have to learn 
      your evaluation somewhere. > > > > > > > > 
      When I started trading I made the mistake of playing around  on 
      my > > own > > > > too much (you need a 
      balance). > > > > > > > > I haven't been to 
      school/college, as such, since I was 16 (40 > > years > 
      > > > ago) and I had forgotten how to 'learn hard' (in Australia 
      we  say > > > > that I went to the 'University of Hard 
      Knocks'). > > > > > > > > When I started 
      'trading' I wasted years, and a few thousand > > dollars, > 
      > > > that I could have saved by reading three good trading 
      books > > > > thoroughly and carefully. > > > 
      > > > > > At the UKB I give a short list of the 3-4 best 
      system design  and > > > > trading books that I have 
      read so far. > > > > > > > > refer to 
      "Statistics Resources for Traders". > > > > > > 
      > > > BTW, what is the UKB? > > > > > > 
      > > http://www.amibroker.org/userkb/ > > > 
      > > > > > > p.s. I saw your answer about comparing 
      the market but I  wasn't > > sure > > > > > 
      I understood what you meant. So far I can say I am somehow > > 
      > > > satisfied having NYSE as the reference index since TSX and 
       comp^ > > > > > follows it anyway, but sure it would 
      be nice to be able to  have > > tsx > > > > 
      > for canadian stocks and comp for stocks on the nasdaq. > > 
      > > > > > > You 'saw' my answer but you didn't 
      understand it (to  understand we > > > > have to move it 
      from the eyes to the forebrain and then from  the > > > 
      > forebrain to the HEART). > > > > > > > 
      > It is very easy if you understand that basic example. > > 
      > > > > > > Then you can change the code to get 
      anything you want (within > > reason > > > > for a 
      'middle of the road' coder like me). > > > > > > 
      > > brian_z *:-) > > > > > > > > --- 
      In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      <amibroker%
  40yahoogroups.com><amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>,
        > > > > "louisprefontaine" 
      <rockprog80@> > > > > wrote: > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > Hi 
      Brian, > > > > > > > > > > I think I 
      might confuse ATR and StDev. What is the utility  of > > > 
      > > each? Isn't StDev more flexible because you can modify it 
      by > > > > > changing it to 1, 2 or 3, etc.? How can I 
      profit from each? > > > > > > > > > > 
      Thanks fvor the suggestion about Howard Bandy's book. Is it > > 
      really > > > > > worth that 62$ I would spend to get it? 
      I mean: I looked at  some > > > > > extract and it 
      looks interesting but is it only another > > amibroker > 
      > > > > tutorial or would it actually help me to build my 
      system? > > > > > > > > > > BTW, what 
      is the UKB? > > > > > > > > > > Thanks 
      a lot! > > > > > > > > > > 
      Louis > > > > > > > > > > p.s. I saw 
      your answer about comparing the market but I  wasn't > > 
      sure > > > > > I understood what you meant. So far I can 
      say I am somehow > > > > > satisfied having NYSE as the 
      reference index since TSX and  comp^ > > > > > 
      follows it anyway, but sure it would be nice to be able to 
       have > > tsx > > > > > for canadian stocks 
      and comp for stocks on the nasdaq. > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      <amibroker%
  40yahoogroups.com><amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>,
        > > > > "brian_z111" 
      <brian_z111@> > > > > > wrote: > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > Louis, > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > only thing I need to 
      know is simply to set the STdev at  2 > > or 3 > > 
      > > > (if > > > > > > it's what > > 
      > > > > > I want to do) and then automatically ATR will be 
      use  that > > new > > > > > StDev? > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > No. > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > ATR and StDev are both measures of volatility but 
      they > > measure it > > > > > in > > 
      > > > > different ways. Generally you would use one or the 
      other. > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      StDev has special uses. > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > If you want to use them it would pay off to study them 
       closely > > > > > first. > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > I like your idea to make two groups; one with high > > 
      volatility > > > > > and > > > > > 
      > one with > > > > > > > low volatility. Would 
      you consider it would be possible  to > > > > > 
      adjust > > > > > > the > > > > > 
      > > stop-loss differently for each group? > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > You could try it e.g. the stop 
      loss can be the close -  StDev > > > > (C,20). > 
      > > > > > You can vary the stop loss for one group by using 
      a > > multiplier so > > > > > the > > 
      > > > > stop loss could be close - StDev(C,20) * 1.5 for one 
       group and > > > > > close - > > > > 
      > > StDev(C,20) for the other. > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > And how do you filter the 
      top > > > > > > > performers? > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > It depends on what you 
      have chosen as your favourite  metric > > for > > 
      > > > > evaluating systems. As I said in an earlier post I 
      like  Power > > > > > Factor > > > > 
      > > (I will be explaining this at the UKB soon) but you would 
       be > > > > > better > > > > > > 
      served choosing your own. > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > If you are not sure on evaluation, and use of the 
      metrics, > > then > > > > > > Howard Bandy's 
      book is a good place to start. > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > Sorry, I can't help you any further with 
      this. > > > > > > I have a couple of posts for the 
      UKB I want to get  finished. > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > BTW did you see the answer I gave you yesterday 
       on "Trying to > > > > > compare > > > 
      > > > market and industry" ?. see message # 120270 > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > I hopoe that helps 
      you a little and good luck with your > > trading. > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > brian_z > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      <amibroker%
  40yahoogroups.com><amibroker%
        > > 40yahoogroups.com>, "Louis > > > > 
      Préfontaine" > > > > > > <rockprog80@> 
      wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > Hi Brian, > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > Thanks for those explanation. I will experiment 
      with  this > > > > > tonight > > > > 
      > > and > > > > > > > tomorrow. However, I 
      am not sure about something: are  you > > > > > 
      saying > > > > > > that the > > > > 
      > > > only thing I need to know is simply to set the STdev at 
       2 > > or 3 > > > > > (if > > > 
      > > > it's what > > > > > > > I want to 
      do) and then automatically ATR will be use  that > > 
      new > > > > > StDev? > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > I like your idea to make two 
      groups; one with high > > volatility > > > > > 
      and > > > > > > one with > > > > > 
      > > low volatility. Would you consider it would be possible 
       to > > > > > adjust > > > > > > 
      the > > > > > > > stop-loss differently for each 
      group? And how do you  filter > > > > the > > 
      > > > top > > > > > > > 
      performers? > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > As always, thanks for your help! > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > Louis > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > 2008/2/24, 
      brian_z111 <brian_z111@>: > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > Sorry Louis, a mistake 
      there. > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > I am getting my standard deviations mixed up 
      between > > programs. > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > In AB StDev is 1 by 
      default and is in $values. > > > > > > > > To 
      use AB's StDev at 2,3 deviations etc just multiply > > 
      StDev > > > > > (C,10) > > > > > > 
      * 2 > > > > > > > > etc > > > > 
      > > > > To use it as StDev% > > > > > > 
      > > StDevPercent = StDev(C,Periods)/MA(C,Periods) * 100; > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > For STANDARD measures of deviation use StDev. > > > > 
      > > > > For relative measures of deviation use ATR as % or 
       StDev > > as % > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > One example: > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      Say you want to compare the performance of a fast  horse > > 
      and a > > > > > slow > > > > > > 
      > > horse. If they both travel 1 StDev in the same time > > 
      (number of > > > > > > > > periods) their 
      performance is equal but the VALUE > > (QUALITY) > > 
      > > of > > > > > the > > > > > 
      > > > fast horses performance is higher - it's a grade one 
       horse > > > > > > compared > > > > 
      > > > > to the other horse, which is a grade 2 (using speed 
       as the > > > > > > criteria). > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > In 
      practice - profit/loss stops might be set at +- 1 > > 
      standard > > > > > > > > devation and then 
      filtered for the top performers.  The top > > > > > 
      > performers > > > > > > > > could then be 
      segregated into two watchlists - those  with > > 1 > 
      > > > > stdev > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > 2% (high volatility stocks) and those 
      with stdev <=2%  (low > > > > > > 
      volatility > > > > > > > > stocks) - this would 
      allow a comparison of the > > performance of > > > 
      > > that > > > > > > > > trading 
      signal/stop loss combination on high and low > > > > 
      volatility > > > > > > > > stocks. > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      brian_z > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <amibroker% 40yahoogroups.com><amibroker% > > 40yahoogroups.com><amibroker% > > > 
      > 40yahoogroups.com>, > > > > > > 
      > > "brian_z111" <brian_z111@> wrote: > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      Louis, > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > >Does anyone know if it is possible to 
      get an  absolute > > > > value > > > > 
      > > ATR? > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > The Abs() function serves that 
      purpose but I think  you > > mean > > > > > 
      > > > something > > > > > > > > > 
      else. > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > ATR is a measure of volatility and it is 
      specific  for > > each > > > > > > stock 
      (or > > > > > > > > > instrument). The whole 
      idea of it (AFAIK) is to use  it > > on an > > > 
      > > > > > > individual > > > > > > 
      > > > stock basis. > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > It can be useful to 
      compare volatility: > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > 1) internally e.g. 
      against an average of the last  (x) > > days > > > 
      > OR > > > > > > > > against > > 
      > > > > > > > the StDev (standard deviation) of the 
      volatility > > measure OR > > > > > > just 
      use > > > > > > > > > StDev of the Close etc 
      on its own. > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > StDev() function does allow to change 
      the setting > > between 1 > > > > > or > 
      > > > > > 2 etc > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > 2) externally to the 
      volatility of the market OR a > > sector > > > > 
      > that > > > > > > the > > > > > 
      > > > > stock is a member of OR compared to another stock 
       in the > > > > > same > > > > > 
      > sector > > > > > > > > > etc. > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > brian_z > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<amibroker% 40yahoogroups.com><amibroker% > > 40yahoogroups.com><amibroker% > > > 
      > > 40yahoogroups.com>, > > > > > > 
      Graham > > > > > > > > <kavemanperth@> 
      wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > you could try a percentage 
      type > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > ATR(10)/ref(c,-1)*100 > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > -- > > > > > > > > > 
      > Cheers > > > > > > > > > > Graham 
      Kav > > > > > > > > > > AFL Writing 
      Service > > > > > > > > > > http://www.aflwriting.com > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > On 24/02/2008, 
      louisprefontaine <rockprog80@>  wrote: > > > > 
      > > > > > > > Does anyone know if it is possible to 
      get an > > absolute > > > > > value > 
      > > > > > > > ATR? > > > > > > 
      > > > I > > > > > > > > > > > 
      already use the ATR, but it changes from stock  to > > 
      stock, > > > > > > > > > depending 
      on > > > > > > > > > > > the value of 
      the stock. Would it be possible to  get > > an > > 
      > > > > > > absolute > > > > > > 
      > > > value > > > > > > > > > > 
      > indicator, like CMF, RSI, etc.? Thanks! > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > Please note 
      that this group is for discussion > > between > > > 
      > > users > > > > > > > > only. > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > To get support from AmiBroker please 
      send an e- mail > > > > > > directly to > 
      > > > > > > > > > > SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > For NEW RELEASE ANNOUNCEMENTS and other news 
       always > > > > check > > > > > > 
      > > DEVLOG: > > > > > > > > > > 
      > http://www.amibroker.com/devlog/ > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > For other support material please check also: > 
      > > > > > > > > > > http://www.amibroker.com/support.html > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > > 
      > > > > > > > > > > > > 
       > > >
 
  
                     
  
    
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