Agreed, unless one is dealing with a very good
derivative/leveraged trader who can consistently run along at much higher
rates. The ones that I know in this category use only the simplest TA
(e.g., moving averages, trendlines, volume) and don't leave much room for
things to go wrong (most important aspect). It can be done, but it is
fulltime job and most importantly one needs the right personality. Few
will fit into this box.
Bill
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, 2008 4:52
AM
Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re: Absolute
value ATR?---> and some hope for building a system
Greetings all --
Not to pour too much cold water on the
expectations of gain being mentioned here -- but ---
A profit of 1% per
day, every trading day, grows so fast that the account balance is larger than
all the real estate in the US in just a few years.
Any time
someone suggests a growth of more than about 40% per year, take that with a
very large grain of salt.
Thanks, Howard
On Mon, Feb 25, 2008 at 6:24 PM, Louis Préfontaine
< rockprog80@xxxxxxxxx>
wrote:
Hi Brian,
I understand what you say: each has his own forces...
and weaknesses. However, it seems to me that the best way to perform
(or should I say outperform) in the market is to be able to be "the" man who
is in charge. My goal is to be able to build a code that is working,
experiment it, and making it better while experimenting with it. I
want something that works.
Surely it must help to have a
friend like Tomasz who can help you learn, and I sure appreciate the advices
you give me. However I have the feeling I start from scratch and it
will be more difficult without any "live" help. The only thing that
can help me on that is that I learn very very fast and I did learn a lot of
things on my own.
You talked about psychology; this is interesting
because this is probably half the reason why I want a system rather than
indicators which can be used with my own judgment. Too often, I can
take bad decision because of a psychological bias (fear, greed, etc.) while
if I had a system I would be immune from this (as long as I would have
tested and retested the system long enough to have total faith in it).
Again, to me this is like chess: when you site in front of the chessboard
with a book you can take the best decisions; but in the middle of the action
sometimes you just don't make it. This is why I want a system so
badly.
I know me either that I was not born to be a programmer.
My real strenght (in everything) is to get the ideas; to "make something out
of something". I sure like to do some programmation but this is not
the easiest part for me. But if it was the same for you I guess I
could get the same results someday (assuming you get the results you wanted
to get).
Thanks,
Louis
2008/2/25, brian_z111 <brian_z111@xxxxxxxxx>:
Louis,
I like your ideas very much.
When you were beaten
you were beaten from within.
You only didn't become even better
because you didn't believe you could or because you didn't really want
it anymore.
I think you will find a lot of chess players in this
forum or amongst programmers (I bet Tomasz plays a fair game
too).
> I see trading in the same way. My girlfriend's
sister husband is a > professional trader, trading with a 35% gain
per year for over 10 >years, and > he used to play chess.
However, how he trades is not possible for >me; he is > a day
trader and I want to trade on slightly longer time frame because
I > have other occupations and it's too much energy. This is why I
am >lookingt > at a system. > > Are you serious
it is possible to get 50% profit a year with such >system? >
30% is quite easy for people who want to, or have to, go to
work, or do something else all day, and then after tea spend a couple
of hours updating data and scanning for their trades.
Lots of
people automate their data update/scan then later on pick their
stocks, or whatever, and enter a trade for the next day via their
online brokers.
I don't know the answer to your question - it is
not relevant to me as I am full time.
Theoretically I think a
consistent 300-400% PA is possible - I haven't done it yet
though.
> You said you do some code but you prefer to work
with programmers >as they > need you and you need them. Could
you develop a bit on that? Do >you mean > that those
programmers lack the intuition and talent you have to
>recognize > profitable indicators and patterns and that you
lack the ability to >program > as well as they
do?
Know yourself!
We are not complete on our own
(none of us). How could an intuitive like me go to the shops if the
engineers didn't design and build the roads/bridges etc.
I have
my function in society to perform - I know who I am and what my role
is.
I definitely wasn't born to write a computer program.
I
joke that Tomasz is the head of my computing department.
At a
trading level - I share trading ideas in the forum and help with
training for newcomers (two things I am good at) and in return I
learn programming/computers etc from Tomasz and the coders (they have
taken me a long way - to places I didn't think I would ever go -
maybe there is a couple of more quantum programming leaps ahead - it
is healthy for me to get pushed out of my comfort zone now and then -
they are stretching me and I am stretching them - ask Tomasz if he
thinks I don't put the stretch on him sometimes - when we have
constant exposure to things we are a little scared of our fear goes
away).
My speciality is personal transformation (in a trading
environment that is trading psychology). Occasionally, if some one is
interested, I will do some for them, right out in the open, in full
public view (only a little bit though because I don't want to abuse
the tolerance of the forum).
Subjective analysis is like the
herbs in cooking - I sprinkle it in where it is
needed.
> I wonder how far I can go without having to
become a > programmer and wasting too much time on this instead of
winning the trade.
All the way if you want
to.
Since my secondary psychic function is logic I like the
analytical side of rule based/objective trading. I am quite at home
there.
I went looking for AB because I needed a good computing tool
to help with my trading analysis.
A word of caution.
To
master anything you have to make constant love to it - whispering
sweet nothings to each other night and day. Every mistress I have
known was always a jealous mistress. I don't think a part time lover
makes a very good lover.
Also, trading isn't the least bit
important.
It is what Carlos Castenda called my "controlled
folly".
brian_z
--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Louis Préfontaine"
<rockprog80@xxx> wrote: > > Hi Brian, >
> From what I understand you look like someone who has
accomplised a lot... > and not only in trading. As a personal
piece of wisdom I really believe in > the virtue of establishing
goals and doing whatever one has to do to reach > those goals.
And the important thing is that the path to reach those goals >
must be nearly as enjoyable as the goal itself. > > That was
how it was for chess to me. As you said about programming, a
big > puzzle. I had so much fun looking at all those games, learning
every move > and every variation of a particular opening up to
the 16th move, or learning > all the possibilities of an
Endgame, etc. I really like to play with > concepts and to adapt
them to create something new. Somehow, I always > played chess
like it was an art; an art of perfection where the mind
created > something that didn't exist before. This is how I got a
draw at my second > tournament game at 21 against an expert, and
this is how I defeated several > masters and won some
tournaments. I always tried to surprise myself and get > that
"ahah!" that made the game look beautiful to me. I think I enjoyed
the > aesthetic of the game. > > I see trading in the
same way. My girlfriend's sister husband is a > professional trader,
trading with a 35% gain per year for over 10 years, and > he
used to play chess. However, how he trades is not possible for me; he
is > a day trader and I want to trade on slightly longer time frame
because I > have other occupations and it's too much energy.
This is why I am lookingt > at a system. > > Are
you serious it is possible to get 50% profit a year with such
system? > > You are right about the possibility of been
too focused on the code itself > to forget the trading activity.
I compare this again to ches when I lost > some games because I
didn't want to give the fatal blow because I was so > amazed
that my opponent had nothing to play because my position was
so > strong... Or some games I lost because I wanted so hard to
punish my > opponent for getting out of theory, etc. Sometimes I
forgot that the goal > was to win the game. > > You
said you do some code but you prefer to work with programmers as
they > need you and you need them. Could you develop a bit on that?
Do you mean > that those programmers lack the intuition and
talent you have to recognize > profitable indicators and
patterns and that you lack the ability to program > as well as
they do? > > What I really would like to do, for me, is to
build a system that would > allow me to simply scan and
buy/sell/short/cover when I have to, and that's > it. On a daily
basis and maybe later on a hourly basis. But it seems like > a
long way and I wonder how far I can go without having to become a >
programmer and wasting too much time on this instead of winning the
trade. > > Thanks, > > Louis >
> 2008/2/25, brian_z111 <brian_z111@xxx>:
> > > > Louis, > > > > I
guessed you were special - that is why I took some extra time to >
> help you. > > > > You have a lot of good qualities
that will hold you in good steed, > > anywhere. I tried to help
you focus on your weaker spots (I find that > > we can make
faster gains by improving our weaknesses, since our good > >
points are already close to maximized). > > > > When you
play a lot of chess like that one aspect of your mind > > becomes
highly developed at the expense of other parts (intense > >
academic study also does that). > > > > The other side
of life is also nice (art, music, daydreaming, al > > fresco
dining, a glass of wine etc). > > > > >I still
don't > > > understand if I should use ATR or StDev and what
is the difference > > >between > > >
them, > > > > Don't worry. > > That is
normal. > > > > My teacher taught me that an apple
doesn't ripen overnight. > > > > Patience is a
virtue. > > > > Sometimes I just leave it a while and
move on - later I go back to it > > or it suddenly starts to
click all by itself. > > > > The stockchart site at the
end of Thomas Ludwigs post is a very good > > free site for
indicator definitions - it has survived for quite a > > while
also. > > > > Standard Deviation, and the bell curve,
are intrinsic to trading > > evaluation, although lots of
successful traders don't know the first > > thing about it.
It is quite difficult to understand without pictures > > and
a good deal of contemplation over time. > > > > This
won't mean anything to you now but in the shortest possible > >
terms: > > > > StDev and ATR are similar - they measure
the movement in the stock - > > the main difference is that
StDev tells us how SIGNIFICANT the > > movement is (significance
is an important concept that you will come > > across
later). > > > > > Tell me, what is your experience
with programming in AFL and did > > > you start from
scratch? > > > > Yes, I started from scratch. >
> > > I virtually had no programming experience before buying
AB approx two > > years ago. > > > > I had
a good laymans knowledge of Excel, and Excel functions, and > >
that helped me a lot (AmiBroker is array programming and > >
arrays 'look' just like a row in Excel). > > > > The
example, on automating relative performance plots, that I gave >
> you is simple enough. The top programmers can go a lot further
than > > that. After the simple methods I use run out they
can go on and > > virtually automate anything they care to
(assuming it is worth the > > effort). > > > >
You don't have to be a programmer, as such, to be a good trader. >
> > > > As for me, I always achieve what I want to achieve.
I am 28, and I > > >started > > > playing
chess seriously at 21, and I wanted to be an expert. At > >
>age 25 I > > > was expert. And now I want to build a nice
working code and even > > >if I knew > > > nothing
about coding one month ago I feel confident I will be able >
> >to do it > > > before I turn 30. But you are right,
this is a lot of work! > > > > > > > Trading
is a huge field. > > No one can conquer it all. > > As
time goes on you start to specialize. > > I am now becoming an
expert (I know more and more about less and > > less). >
> > > I do set ambitious goals but I never put a time frame on
achieving > > them (I like to let the subjective mind decide what
path to take and > > when to take it. I also allow the
subjective mind to suggest new > > goals, or adjustments to my
conscious objectives. I have trained > > myself to trust my
intuition because it always pays off). > > > > Yes, the
capacity to achieve goals and chess playing are a near > >
perfect background for a top trader (trading is a game and it is
all > > about strategies). > > > > You
should make an excellent programmer - look at the AFL
Reference > > manual - it is a kind of cryptic puzzle and the
function definitions > > are the clues - it is good fun and a
challenge - you appear to have > > the right wiring for the
job. > > > > Programming is like a puzzle - youi know
the start and the end but > > you have to put all of the pieces
in place to create the picture. > > > > I am actually
not the ideal type for programming. > > My primary psychic
function is intuition, with logic as my secondary > >
function, so I tend to 'guess' the answer first and prove it
later. > > > > I can still program enough to get
by. > > > > I actually deliberately don't go all the
way. > > That is the coders turf. > > I need them, and
they need me, so I don't need to try to be what I am > >
not. > > > > > But I have no background in
programming; do you think it is > > >possible with a >
> > lot of hard work to achieve something profitable? Did you build
a > > >system > > > that is working for
yourself? > > > > Yes, it is. > > > >
Like anything, a lot of people try but only a few become brilliant
at > > it. > > There is no guarantee for anyone. >
> A lot of people who think they should be good at it aren't. >
> > > My personal opinion is that anyone, with average
intelligence, who > > perseveres WITH SELF HONESTY will succeed -
traders in the forum in > > the past have said that >50%
PA is the norm for them. > > > > Certainly 20-30%PA is
easily attainable. > > > > IMO there is a catch to
trading - it seems so hard but actually it is > > quite easy
once you can do it. It is so simple that people can't > > believe
that is possible and keep looking for the hard solutions. >
> > > When I first started I used Profit Factor as an easy
catch all > > measurement of a systems value. I read books by
traders who said that > > they won't trade any system with
less than PF 2-3. > > I couldn't believe this - I thought it was
a lie because no matter > > how hard I tried I couldn't get above
1.6. > > > > It took me 3-4 years to start to find PF 3+
trades. > > > > Yes, I have systems that work for
me. > > > > I think you have to be careful though
because AmiBroker is a > > seductive place - it can quickly start
to turn you into a > > programmer/developer rather than a
trader. > > > > Academics are obsessed with being
published in a journal. > > Mathmeticians are obsessed with
solving equations. > > Programmers are obsessed with writing
code. > > Brokers are obsessed with selling. > >
Investment professionals are obsessed with their careers. >
> > > Traders are obsessed with winning the game. >
> > > If you really want to be a programmer/developer fine -
it would make > > a great career and it would be a lot of
fun. > > > > One tip for you: > > > >
The rules of the game aren't what'they' (non-traders) say they are >
> (99% of them are just myths). > > > > The real
rules of the game are unwritten secrets that you have to > > find
out for yourself (like the Matrix - "How deep does the rabbit > >
hole go?) > > > > A trader is a person who makes their
living by buying and selling. > > > > brian_z >
>
> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <amibroker% 40yahoogroups.com>,
"Louis > > Préfontaine" > > <rockprog80@>
wrote: > > > > > > Hi Brian, > >
>
> > > Thanks for your last message. Somehow, it
inspired me. I still > > don't > > > understand if I
should use ATR or StDev and what is the difference > >
between > > > them, but I feel confident I can learn how to
write better codes in > > the > > > future. Tell
me, what is your experience with programming in AFL > > and
did > > > you start from scratch? > > > >
> > As for me, I always achieve what I want to achieve. I am 28,
and I > > started > > > playing chess seriously
at 21, and I wanted to be an expert. At > > age 25 I > >
> was expert. And now I want to build a nice working code and
even > > if I knew > > > nothing about coding one
month ago I feel confident I will be able > > to do
it > > > before I turn 30. But you are right, this is a lot of
work! > > > > > > I will buy Howard Bandy's book
and I hope I will be able to build > > something > >
> good. > > > > > > But I have no background in
programming; do you think it is > > possible with a > >
> lot of hard work to achieve something profitable? Did you build
a > > system > > > that is working for
yourself? > > > > > > Thanks, > >
> > > > > > > Louis > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > >
> > 2008/2/24, brian_z111 <brian_z111@>: > > >
> > > > > > I think I might confuse ATR and StDev.
What is the utility of > > > > > each? > >
> > > > > > Yes, I think you are confusing them a
little. > > > > > > > > I'm sorry but there
is no way for any of us to avoid the humdrum > > of >
> > > getting out the textbooks and doing our homework. >
> > > > > > > Genius is 99% perspiration and 1%
inspiration. > > > > > > > > Mark Knopfler
(Dire Staits) was a genuius rock musician - he was > >
self > > > > taught and couldn't read music - he was an
exception. > > > > > > > > On the other
hand, Mozart, the greatest musician composer who ever > >
> > lived, was tutored in the rudiments of music by his expert
father > > > > from the time he was an infant. >
> > > > > > > Understanding is a mysterious
quality. > > > > > > > > Can we buy
it? > > > > > > > > I don't know any short
cut to understanding, for the average > > person. > >
> > Only theory followed by practice followed by performance and
then > > > > (repetitively) back to theory again brings
understanding > > (fortunately > > > > at a point
we somehow make a quantum leap - no one knows how that > >
> > happens). > > > > > > > > Isn't
StDev more flexible because you can modify it by > > > >
> changing it to 1, 2 or 3, etc.? > > > > > >
> > Yes, to me it is but I don't want to put you off ATR - ATR is
also > > > > good when used in the right time and
place. > > > > > > > > It is more flexible
because it is portable and also because it is > > the >
> > > basis of volatility as used in other places in trading
e.g. > > options > > > > pricing. > >
> > > > > > How can I profit from each? > >
> > > > > > > See my previous post on stops for
examples on ways to use it. > > > > > > > >
Sorry but I am not a trading commentator and I don't give
advice > > on > > > > making profit as such -
only on how to use AB and the > > > > theory/philosophy
behind trading etc (I only post educational and > > > >
resource material or enjoy friendly discussion with other > >
traders). > > > > > > > > > Thanks fvor
the suggestion about Howard Bandy's book. Is it > >
really > > > > > worth that 62$ I would spend to get it?
I mean: I looked at some > > > > > extract and it
looks interesting but is it only another > > amibroker >
> > > > tutorial or would it actually help me to build my
system? > > > > > > > > > > >
> > No one can answer this question except you. > > >
> It is a question of values - what we value is different for
us > > all. > > > > > > > > I like
the philosophy of Carlos Castaneda (Tales of Don Juan) very >
> > > much. > > > > > > > > He
said: > > > > > > > > "For me there is only
the travelling on PATHS that have heart, on > > any >
> > > PATH that may have heart. > > > > >
> > > There I travel, and the only worthwhile challenge is to
tranverse > > its > > > > full
length..... > > > > > > > > .....and there I
travel looking, looking, breathlessly". > > > > >
> > > For me Howard's book is cheap. > > >
> > > > > I always assumed he wasn't making a lot of
money out of it > > (there's > > > > no money in
books and training because the returns, for the hours > >
> > that go into it, are a pittance). > > > > >
> > > The value is beyond money. > > > > >
> > > It is not the Holy Grail of trading, AB or system
design. > > > > Howard wouldn't say that it is
either. > > > > > > > > You have to learn
your evaluation somewhere. > > > > > > > >
When I started trading I made the mistake of playing around on
my > > own > > > > too much (you need a
balance). > > > > > > > > I haven't been to
school/college, as such, since I was 16 (40 > > years >
> > > ago) and I had forgotten how to 'learn hard' (in Australia
we say > > > > that I went to the 'University of Hard
Knocks'). > > > > > > > > When I started
'trading' I wasted years, and a few thousand > > dollars, >
> > > that I could have saved by reading three good trading
books > > > > thoroughly and carefully. > > >
> > > > > At the UKB I give a short list of the 3-4 best
system design and > > > > trading books that I have
read so far. > > > > > > > > refer to
"Statistics Resources for Traders". > > > > > >
> > > BTW, what is the UKB? > > > > > >
> > http://www.amibroker.org/userkb/ > > >
> > > > > > p.s. I saw your answer about comparing
the market but I wasn't > > sure > > > > >
I understood what you meant. So far I can say I am somehow > >
> > > satisfied having NYSE as the reference index since TSX and
comp^ > > > > > follows it anyway, but sure it would
be nice to be able to have > > tsx > > > >
> for canadian stocks and comp for stocks on the nasdaq. > >
> > > > > > You 'saw' my answer but you didn't
understand it (to understand we > > > > have to move it
from the eyes to the forebrain and then from the > > >
> forebrain to the HEART). > > > > > > >
> It is very easy if you understand that basic example. > >
> > > > > > Then you can change the code to get
anything you want (within > > reason > > > > for a
'middle of the road' coder like me). > > > > > >
> > brian_z *:-) > > > > > > > > ---
In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
<amibroker%
40yahoogroups.com><amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>,
> > > > "louisprefontaine"
<rockprog80@> > > > > wrote: > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > Hi
Brian, > > > > > > > > > > I think I
might confuse ATR and StDev. What is the utility of > > >
> > each? Isn't StDev more flexible because you can modify it
by > > > > > changing it to 1, 2 or 3, etc.? How can I
profit from each? > > > > > > > > > >
Thanks fvor the suggestion about Howard Bandy's book. Is it > >
really > > > > > worth that 62$ I would spend to get it?
I mean: I looked at some > > > > > extract and it
looks interesting but is it only another > > amibroker >
> > > > tutorial or would it actually help me to build my
system? > > > > > > > > > > BTW, what
is the UKB? > > > > > > > > > > Thanks
a lot! > > > > > > > > > >
Louis > > > > > > > > > > p.s. I saw
your answer about comparing the market but I wasn't > >
sure > > > > > I understood what you meant. So far I can
say I am somehow > > > > > satisfied having NYSE as the
reference index since TSX and comp^ > > > > >
follows it anyway, but sure it would be nice to be able to
have > > tsx > > > > > for canadian stocks
and comp for stocks on the nasdaq. > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
<amibroker%
40yahoogroups.com><amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>,
> > > > "brian_z111"
<brian_z111@> > > > > > wrote: > > >
> > > > > > > > > Louis, > > >
> > > > > > > > > > only thing I need to
know is simply to set the STdev at 2 > > or 3 > >
> > > (if > > > > > > it's what > >
> > > > > I want to do) and then automatically ATR will be
use that > > new > > > > > StDev? >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > No. > > > > > > > >
> > > > ATR and StDev are both measures of volatility but
they > > measure it > > > > > in > >
> > > > different ways. Generally you would use one or the
other. > > > > > > > > > > > >
StDev has special uses. > > > > > > > > >
> > > If you want to use them it would pay off to study them
closely > > > > > first. > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> I like your idea to make two groups; one with high > >
volatility > > > > > and > > > > >
> one with > > > > > > > low volatility. Would
you consider it would be possible to > > > > >
adjust > > > > > > the > > > > >
> > stop-loss differently for each group? > > > >
> > > > > > > > You could try it e.g. the stop
loss can be the close - StDev > > > > (C,20). >
> > > > > You can vary the stop loss for one group by using
a > > multiplier so > > > > > the > >
> > > > stop loss could be close - StDev(C,20) * 1.5 for one
group and > > > > > close - > > > >
> > StDev(C,20) for the other. > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > And how do you filter the
top > > > > > > > performers? > > >
> > > > > > > > > It depends on what you
have chosen as your favourite metric > > for > >
> > > > evaluating systems. As I said in an earlier post I
like Power > > > > > Factor > > > >
> > (I will be explaining this at the UKB soon) but you would
be > > > > > better > > > > > >
served choosing your own. > > > > > > > >
> > > > If you are not sure on evaluation, and use of the
metrics, > > then > > > > > > Howard Bandy's
book is a good place to start. > > > > > > >
> > > > > Sorry, I can't help you any further with
this. > > > > > > I have a couple of posts for the
UKB I want to get finished. > > > > > > >
> > > > > BTW did you see the answer I gave you yesterday
on "Trying to > > > > > compare > > >
> > > market and industry" ?. see message # 120270 > >
> > > > > > > > > > I hopoe that helps
you a little and good luck with your > > trading. > >
> > > > > > > > > > brian_z > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
<amibroker%
40yahoogroups.com><amibroker%
> > 40yahoogroups.com>, "Louis > > > >
Préfontaine" > > > > > > <rockprog80@>
wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > Hi Brian, > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > Thanks for those explanation. I will experiment
with this > > > > > tonight > > > >
> > and > > > > > > > tomorrow. However, I
am not sure about something: are you > > > > >
saying > > > > > > that the > > > >
> > > only thing I need to know is simply to set the STdev at
2 > > or 3 > > > > > (if > > >
> > > it's what > > > > > > > I want to
do) and then automatically ATR will be use that > >
new > > > > > StDev? > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > I like your idea to make two
groups; one with high > > volatility > > > > >
and > > > > > > one with > > > > >
> > low volatility. Would you consider it would be possible
to > > > > > adjust > > > > > >
the > > > > > > > stop-loss differently for each
group? And how do you filter > > > > the > >
> > > top > > > > > > >
performers? > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > As always, thanks for your help! > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > Louis > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > 2008/2/24,
brian_z111 <brian_z111@>: > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > Sorry Louis, a mistake
there. > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > I am getting my standard deviations mixed up
between > > programs. > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > In AB StDev is 1 by
default and is in $values. > > > > > > > > To
use AB's StDev at 2,3 deviations etc just multiply > >
StDev > > > > > (C,10) > > > > > >
* 2 > > > > > > > > etc > > > >
> > > > To use it as StDev% > > > > > >
> > StDevPercent = StDev(C,Periods)/MA(C,Periods) * 100; >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> For STANDARD measures of deviation use StDev. > > > >
> > > > For relative measures of deviation use ATR as % or
StDev > > as % > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > One example: > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
Say you want to compare the performance of a fast horse > >
and a > > > > > slow > > > > > >
> > horse. If they both travel 1 StDev in the same time > >
(number of > > > > > > > > periods) their
performance is equal but the VALUE > > (QUALITY) > >
> > of > > > > > the > > > > >
> > > fast horses performance is higher - it's a grade one
horse > > > > > > compared > > > >
> > > > to the other horse, which is a grade 2 (using speed
as the > > > > > > criteria). > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > In
practice - profit/loss stops might be set at +- 1 > >
standard > > > > > > > > devation and then
filtered for the top performers. The top > > > > >
> performers > > > > > > > > could then be
segregated into two watchlists - those with > > 1 >
> > > > stdev > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > 2% (high volatility stocks) and those
with stdev <=2% (low > > > > > >
volatility > > > > > > > > stocks) - this would
allow a comparison of the > > performance of > > >
> > that > > > > > > > > trading
signal/stop loss combination on high and low > > > >
volatility > > > > > > > > stocks. > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
brian_z > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <amibroker% 40yahoogroups.com><amibroker% > > 40yahoogroups.com><amibroker% > > >
> 40yahoogroups.com>, > > > > > >
> > "brian_z111" <brian_z111@> wrote: > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
Louis, > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > >Does anyone know if it is possible to
get an absolute > > > > value > > > >
> > ATR? > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > The Abs() function serves that
purpose but I think you > > mean > > > > >
> > > something > > > > > > > > >
else. > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > ATR is a measure of volatility and it is
specific for > > each > > > > > > stock
(or > > > > > > > > > instrument). The whole
idea of it (AFAIK) is to use it > > on an > > >
> > > > > > individual > > > > > >
> > > stock basis. > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > It can be useful to
compare volatility: > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > 1) internally e.g.
against an average of the last (x) > > days > > >
> OR > > > > > > > > against > >
> > > > > > > the StDev (standard deviation) of the
volatility > > measure OR > > > > > > just
use > > > > > > > > > StDev of the Close etc
on its own. > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > StDev() function does allow to change
the setting > > between 1 > > > > > or >
> > > > > 2 etc > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > 2) externally to the
volatility of the market OR a > > sector > > > >
> that > > > > > > the > > > > >
> > > > stock is a member of OR compared to another stock
in the > > > > > same > > > > >
> sector > > > > > > > > > etc. >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > brian_z > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<amibroker% 40yahoogroups.com><amibroker% > > 40yahoogroups.com><amibroker% > > >
> > 40yahoogroups.com>, > > > > > >
Graham > > > > > > > > <kavemanperth@>
wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > you could try a percentage
type > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > ATR(10)/ref(c,-1)*100 > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > -- > > > > > > > > >
> Cheers > > > > > > > > > > Graham
Kav > > > > > > > > > > AFL Writing
Service > > > > > > > > > > http://www.aflwriting.com > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > On 24/02/2008,
louisprefontaine <rockprog80@> wrote: > > > >
> > > > > > > Does anyone know if it is possible to
get an > > absolute > > > > > value >
> > > > > > > ATR? > > > > > >
> > > I > > > > > > > > > > >
already use the ATR, but it changes from stock to > >
stock, > > > > > > > > > depending
on > > > > > > > > > > > the value of
the stock. Would it be possible to get > > an > >
> > > > > > absolute > > > > > >
> > > value > > > > > > > > > >
> indicator, like CMF, RSI, etc.? Thanks! > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > Please note
that this group is for discussion > > between > > >
> > users > > > > > > > > only. >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > To get support from AmiBroker please
send an e- mail > > > > > > directly to >
> > > > > > > > > > SUPPORT {at} amibroker.com > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > For NEW RELEASE ANNOUNCEMENTS and other news
always > > > > check > > > > > >
> > DEVLOG: > > > > > > > > > >
> http://www.amibroker.com/devlog/ > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > For other support material please check also: >
> > > > > > > > > > http://www.amibroker.com/support.html > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > >
> > >
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