'No Free Lunch on WallStreet', Louis. So your idea
'Wouldn't it be better simply to scan and avoid
high volatily stocks to reduce the drawdown possibility? ' will indeed give you stocks with less risk ... but also a
lower return ...
Regards, Ton.
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, 2008 12:30
AM
Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re: Absolute
value ATR?
Hi,
Thanks for the suggestion. I must do something wrong
however because from the code I wrote
_SECTION_BEGIN("ATR"); periods =
Param( "Periods", 15, 1, 200, 1 ); Plot(
ATR(periods)/Ref(C,-1)*100 ,
_DEFAULT_NAME(), ParamColor( "Color", colorCycle ), ParamStyle("Style")
);
LongPer =
Param("Long Period", 50, 10, 100, 5 ); /* select periods with parameter
window */
MidPer =
Param("Mid Period", 20, 0, 50, 1); ShortPer =
Param("Short Period", 10, 3, 10, 1 );
LongEMA = EMA(
ATR(periods)/Ref(C,-1)*100, LongPer ); MidEMA =
EMA (ATR(periods)/Ref(C,-1)*100, MidPer); ShortEMA =
EMA( ATR(periods)/Ref(C,-1)*100, ShortPer );
_SECTION_END();
_SECTION_BEGIN("ema-ATR"); Plot(
LongEMA, "EMA(ATR(periods)/Ref(C,-1)*100,
"+WriteVal(LongPer,1)+")", colorBlue, styleLine|styleNoRescale ); Plot(
MidEMA, " EMA(ATR(periods)/Ref(C,-1)*100,
"+WriteVal(MidPer,1)+")", colorBrown, styleLine|styleNoRescale ); Plot(
ShortEMA, " EMA(ATR(periods)/Ref(C,-1)*100,
"+WriteVal(ShortPer,1)+")", colorGreen, styleLine|styleNoRescale );
_SECTION_END();
I get only results of ATR >
3-4. Only Indu.x is under 2; all the other one are over 3-4, and
sometimes 6-7 and more.
However, are you sure about the idea of
entering/exiting a stock when volatility gets too high? Wouldn't it be
better simply to scan and avoid high volatily stocks to reduce the drawdown
possibility?
Thanks,
Louis
2008/2/24, brian_z111 <brian_z111@xxxxxxcom>:
If you want a relative measure of range then you could use ATR%, as
suggested by Graham.
High volatility stocks would be filtered by
e.g. ATR% > 2 etc.
In that case your stops would be something
like:
ProfitStop = Ref(C,-1) * (1 + ATR%/100); StopLoss =
Ref(C,-1) * (1 - ATR%/100);
If you want to standardise range then you
could use:
StandardATR = StDev(ATR(1),Periods);
An
example of a stop would then be:
ProfitStop = Ref(C,-1) +
StDev(ATR(1),20);
Or maybe (for live work):
ProfitStop =
Ref(C,-1) + Ref(StDev(ATR(1),20),-1);
Or something like
that.
That is only one way of doing it.
You can try whatever
you like, within the boundaries of your knowledge (plus a little bit
more).
brian_z *;-)
--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxps.com, "brian_z111"
<brian_z111@x..> wrote: > > Louis, > >
> only thing I need to know is simply to set the STdev at 2 or 3 (if
> it's what > > I want to do) and then automatically ATR
will be use that new StDev? > > > > No. >
> ATR and StDev are both measures of volatility but they measure it
in > different ways. Generally you would use one or the
other. > > StDev has special uses. > > If you want
to use them it would pay off to study them closely first. >
> > > I like your idea to make two groups; one with high
volatility and > one with > > low volatility. Would you
consider it would be possible to adjust > the > >
stop-loss differently for each group? > > You could try it
e.g. the stop loss can be the close - StDev(C,20). > You can vary the
stop loss for one group by using a multiplier so the > stop loss
could be close - StDev(C,20) * 1.5 for one group and close - >
StDev(C,20) for the other. > > > > > And how
do you filter the top > > performers? > > It depends
on what you have chosen as your favourite metric for > evaluating
systems. As I said in an earlier post I like Power Factor > (I
will be explaining this at the UKB soon) but you would be better >
served choosing your own. > > If you are not sure on
evaluation, and use of the metrics, then > Howard Bandy's book is a
good place to start. > > Sorry, I can't help you any further
with this. > I have a couple of posts for the UKB I want to get
finished. > > BTW did you see the answer I gave you yesterday
on "Trying to compare > market and industry" ?. see message #
120270 > > I hopoe that helps you a little and good luck with
your trading. > > brian_z > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxps.com, "Louis Préfontaine"
> <rockprog80@> wrote: > > > > Hi
Brian, > > > > Thanks for those explanation. I will
experiment with this tonight > and > > tomorrow.
However, I am not sure about something: are you saying > that
the > > only thing I need to know is simply to set the STdev at 2
or 3 (if > it's what > > I want to do) and then
automatically ATR will be use that new StDev? > > > >
I like your idea to make two groups; one with high volatility and >
one with > > low volatility. Would you consider it would be
possible to adjust > the > > stop-loss differently for
each group? And how do you filter the top > >
performers? > > > > As always, thanks for your
help! > > > > Louis > > > > 2008/2/24,
brian_z111 <brian_z111@>: > > > > > > Sorry
Louis, a mistake there. > > > > > > I am getting my
standard deviations mixed up between programs. > > > >
> > In AB StDev is 1 by default and is in $values. > > >
To use AB's StDev at 2,3 deviations etc just multiply StDev (C,10)
> * 2 > > > etc > > > To use it as
StDev% > > > StDevPercent = StDev(C,Periods)/MA(C,Periods)
* 100; > > > > > > For STANDARD measures of
deviation use StDev. > > > For relative measures of deviation
use ATR as % or StDev as % > > > > > > One
example: > > > > > > Say you want to compare the
performance of a fast horse and a slow > > > horse. If they
both travel 1 StDev in the same time (number of > > > periods)
their performance is equal but the VALUE (QUALITY) of the > >
> fast horses performance is higher - it's a grade one horse >
compared > > > to the other horse, which is a grade 2 (using
speed as the > criteria). > > > > > > In
practice - profit/loss stops might be set at +- 1 standard > > >
devation and then filtered for the top performers. The top >
performers > > > could then be segregated into two watchlists -
those with 1 stdev > > > > > 2% (high volatility
stocks) and those with stdev <=2% (low > volatility > >
> stocks) - this would allow a comparison of the performance of
that > > > trading signal/stop loss combination on high and
low volatility > > > stocks. > > > > > >
brian_z > > > > > > > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxps.com
<amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>, > > > "brian_z111"
<brian_z111@> wrote: > > > > > > > >
Louis, > > > > > > > > >Does anyone know if
it is possible to get an absolute value > ATR? > > >
> > > > > The Abs() function serves that purpose but I
think you mean > > > something > > > >
else. > > > > > > > > ATR is a measure of
volatility and it is specific for each > stock (or > > >
> instrument). The whole idea of it (AFAIK) is to use it on an >
> > > individual > > > > stock basis. > >
> > > > > > It can be useful to compare
volatility: > > > > > > > > 1) internally e.g.
against an average of the last (x) days OR > > > against >
> > > the StDev (standard deviation) of the volatility measure OR
> just use > > > > StDev of the Close etc on its
own. > > > > > > > > StDev() function does
allow to change the setting between 1 or > 2 etc > >
> > > > > > 2) externally to the volatility of the
market OR a sector that > the > > > > stock is a
member of OR compared to another stock in the same > sector >
> > > etc. > > > > > > > >
brian_z > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxps.com <amibroker% 40yahoogroups.com>, > Graham > >
> <kavemanperth@> wrote: > > > > > > >
> > > you could try a percentage type > > > >
> > > > > > ATR(10)/ref(c,-1)*100 > >
> > > > > > > > -- > > > > >
Cheers > > > > > Graham Kav > > > > >
AFL Writing Service > > > > > http://www.aflwriting.com > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > On 24/02/2008,
louisprefontaine <rockprog80@> wrote: > > > > > >
Does anyone know if it is possible to get an absolute value > >
> ATR? > > > > I > > > > > > already
use the ATR, but it changes from stock to stock, > > > >
depending on > > > > > > the value of the stock. Would
it be possible to get an > > > absolute > > > >
value > > > > > > indicator, like CMF, RSI, etc.?
Thanks! > > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
Please note that this group is for discussion between users > >
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To get support from AmiBroker please send an e-mail > directly
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> >
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