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[amibroker] Re: Excellent ^N225 statistics



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Joe,
--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Joe Landry" <jelandry@xxxx> wrote:
> Great work and thanks for sharing (again).  Your note clipped the 
number of years on the 2nd to last line

My data is from Jan2000.
> of the email.  You tested for ? years.

It is not a mechanical trading system.
It is a way to check that prices will be lower 5-10 bars after the 
signal. I am interested for similar signals this period, I think it 
is important for one´s strategy to "know" if the prices will be +10% 
or -10% in the next 5-10 bars. The reason is simple : after the 
signal, a significant peak will often follow. The Volume will be 
increased, some people will sell [for the end of the trend], some 
other will buy [for the continuation]. In this critical day you may 
have the wrong decision. If you "know" that prices will be lower [no 
matter -2% or -10%], you have some reason to avoid the continuation 
scenario and save some money. 
  
> Two questions please if you have the time.
> 
> What's the complementary side of this routine? You gave the SHORT 
side. 

Although it is not my main interest now, I will try the complementary 
routine in some next post.
We are in a bullish period, the main question is the partial profit 
taking and the re-entry points.

> What indicators and parameters would you use for the LONG side? 
(Buy and Sell)
> Left to my own means I'd use a moving average and ADX (PDI/MDI 
cross) for 
> this type of swing trading. 
> 
> What proxy would you use to trade ^N225?  EWJ? 

I do not trade ^N225 [Yuki does]. This index is quite strange [for 
me], the % success of this code was a surprise and this was the 
reason of this presentation. There are some applications for the N100 
stocks, but I need to check some more details.

Dimitris
> 
> Best regards
> JOE 
> 
> 
> 
>   ----- Original Message ----- 
>   From: DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS 
>   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
>   Sent: Monday, November 15, 2004 3:03 AM
>   Subject: [amibroker] Excellent ^N225 statistics
> 
> 
> 
>   The
> 
>   y=StochD();
>   z=BarsSince(y<Ref(y,-1));
>   Short=z==5 AND y>Optimize("y",77,70,90,1);
>   d=Optimize("d",7,5,10,1);
>   Cover=Ref(Short,-d);
>   Plot(C,"",1,64);
>   PlotShapes(shapeDownArrow*Short,colorRed);
>   PlotShapes(shapeUpArrow*Cover,colorBrightGreen);
> 
>   gives excellent winners/losers ratio [12:2, 15:1 etc] for the 
last 
>   ^N225 years.
> 
>   Dimitris
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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> 
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