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[amibroker] Re: DT's Ct prediction for the Ti3



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Herman,
The formula is correct and gives the next bar close Ct as a function 
of tomorrow´s Ti3Ct.
When Ti3Ct value is known [or equal to another function] then Ct is 
calculated.  
For a simple verification, set 
Ti3Ct=Ref(Ti3C,1);
and then Ct will be EXACTLY the Ref(C,1).

Plot(C,"C",colorBlack,1);
 periods=5;s=0.7;f=2/(periods+1);R=1-f;
//the Ti3C
price=C;
e1C=EMA(price,periods);
e2C=EMA(e1C,Periods);
e3C=EMA(e2C,Periods);
e4C=EMA(e3C,Periods);
e5C=EMA(e4C,Periods);
e6C=EMA(e5C,Periods);
c1=-s*s*s;
c2=3*s*s+3*s*s*s;
c3=-6*s*s-3*s-3*s*s*s;
c4=1+3*s+s*s*s+3*s*s;
Ti3C=c1*e6C+c2*e5C+c3*e4C+c4*e3C;
Ti3Ct=Ref(Ti3C,1);// condition
//the Ct as a function of Ti3Ct
Ct=(Ti3Ct-R*(c1*(f^5*e1C+f^4*e2C+f^3*e3C+f^2*e4C+f*e5C+e6C)+c2*
(f^4*e1C+f^3*e2C+f^2*e3C+f*e4C+e5C)+c3*(f^3*e1C+f^2*e2C+f*e3C+e4C)+c4*
(f^2*e1C+f*e2C+e3C)))/(C1*f^6+C2*f^5+C3*f^4+C4*f^3) ;
Plot(Ref(Ct,-1),"Ct",colorRed,8);

Dimitris


--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Herman van den Bergen" 
<psytek@xxxx> wrote:
> Hello DT,
> 
> I really appreciate your help with this however is that your 
solution looks
> somewhat the same but isn't accurate...perhaps you misunderstood 
and are
> calculating something else...
> 
> The best way for me to illustrate my need is with a generic 
iterative
> solution. Sorry to impose on you DT but to see how the result 
differs you
> have to display both your solution and mine. When you have loaded 
the demo
> code below, click on any bar and open the Param() window. Then 
apply an
> offset to the selected close price until you see the two T3s (white 
and
> black) cross, at that point the C price is exactly on the Predicted 
Close
> price (Red). This is not the case with your formula. Note that I 
moved the
> Red predicted value forward one bar to allow easier comparison to 
the Close
> and show a little square when the target is hit. The key 
requirement of
> course it that C falls exactly on the predicted value when the T3s 
cross -
> this doesn't happen with your indicator.
> 
> With EOD data and restricting the calculation to the display area 
only, my
> solutions works OK, but i need a continuous indicator for the 
entire data RT
> history, this means about 100K bars. If your formula worked it 
would enable
> me to do that!!!
> 
> Any change of making your solution match mine?
> 
> thanks again DT,
> herman.
> 
> 
> --------------------------------------------------------------------
--------
> ----
> 
> SetBarsRequired(1000000,1000000);
> 
> function Ti3(array,p,s)
>  {
>  f=2/(p+1);
>  e1=EMA(array,p);
>  e2=EMA(e1,p);
>  e3=EMA(e2,p);
>  e4=EMA(e3,p);
>  e5=EMA(e4,p);
>  e6=EMA(e5,p);
>  c1=-s*s*s;
>  c2=3*s*s+3*s*s*s;
>  c3=-6*s*s-3*s-3*s*s*s;
>  c4=1+3*s+s*s*s+3*s*s;
>  T3=c1*e6+c2*e5+c3*e4+c4*e3;
>  return T3;
>  }
> 
> function ReferenceFunction( ReferenceArray )
>  {
>  global T3Periods, T3Sensitivity, ResetReference;
>  R = Ti3( ReferenceArray, T3Periods ,T3Sensitivity);
>  return R;
>  }
> 
> function TestFunction( TestArray )
>  {
>  global T3Periods, T3Sensitivity, ResetReference;
>  R = Ti3( TestArray, T3Periods ,T3Sensitivity);
>  return R;
>  }
> 
> function GetTriggerPrice( ReferenceArray, TestArray, TestBarNum, 
T3Period,
> T3Sensitivity )
>  {
>  Precision  = 0.0001;
> 
>  RefArray  = ReferenceFunction( ReferenceArray );
>  RefValue  = RefArray[TestBarNum ];
> 
>  TestValue = TestArray[TestBarNum];
>  TestIncr  = TestValue/3;
> 
>  do {
>   TestArray[TestBarNum ]  = TestValue;
>   T3t     = TestFunction( TestArray);
>   TodaysT3   = T3t[TestBarNum ];
>   if( abs(TodaysT3-RefValue) < Precision );
>   else if(TodaysT3< RefValue) TestValue= TestValue+ TestIncr ;
>   else TestValue= TestValue- TestIncr ;
>   TestIncr = TestIncr /2;
>   Error = abs(TodaysT3- RefValue);
>   } while ( Error > Precision );
> 
>  return TestArray[TestBarNum ];
>  }
> 
> PriceOffSet = Param("Price offset",0,-2,2,0.001);
> BarNum = SelectedValue(BarIndex());
> CursorBar = BarNum == BarIndex();
> ParamPrice = C + PriceOffSet;
> C = IIf(CursorBar, ParamPrice, C);
> ReferenceArray = Ref(H,-1);
> TestArray = C;
> T3Periods = 3;
> T3Sensitivity = 0.7;
> 
> FirstVisibleBar = Status( "FirstVisibleBar");
> Lastvisiblebar = Status("LastVisibleBar");
> TP=Null;
> for( b = Firstvisiblebar; b < Lastvisiblebar AND b < BarCount; b++)
>  {
>  TP[b] = GetTriggerPrice( ReferenceArray, TestArray, b, T3Periods,
> T3Sensitivity );
>  }
> 
> TargetHit = IIf(abs(C-TP) < 0.01,1,Null);
> Plot(C,"C",1,128);
> Plot(Ti3( ReferenceArray, 
T3Periods ,T3Sensitivity),"ReferenceArray",1,1);
> Plot(Ti3( TestArray, T3Periods ,T3Sensitivity),"TestArray",2,1);
> PlotShapes(TargetHit*shapeHollowSquare,9,0,TP,0);
> Plot(TP,"TP",4,1);
> 
> --------------------------------------------------------------------
--------
> ----
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
>   -----Original Message-----
>   From: DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS [mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]
>   Sent: Monday, October 25, 2004 3:04 PM
>   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>   Subject: [amibroker] Re: DT's Ct prediction for the Ti3
> 
> 
> 
>   Herman,
>   As I wrote in previous post, Ct is a function of Ti3Ct [and vice
>   versa]
>   In your example, Ti3C and Ti3H should be calculated separately, to
>   avoid any confusion.
>   The expected next bar Close Ct would be
> 
>   Plot(C,"C",colorBlack,8);
>   periods=5;s=0.7;f=2/(periods+1);R=1-f;
>   //the Ti3H
>   price=H;
>   e1H=EMA(price,periods);
>   e2H=EMA(e1H,Periods);
>   e3H=EMA(e2H,Periods);
>   e4H=EMA(e3H,Periods);
>   e5H=EMA(e4H,Periods);
>   e6H=EMA(e5H,Periods);
>   c1=-s*s*s;
>   c2=3*s*s+3*s*s*s;
>   c3=-6*s*s-3*s-3*s*s*s;
>   c4=1+3*s+s*s*s+3*s*s;
>   Ti3H=c1*e6H+c2*e5H+c3*e4H+c4*e3H;
>   //Plot(Ti3H,"Ti3H",1,1);
>   //the Ti3C
>   price=C;
>   e1C=EMA(price,periods);
>   e2C=EMA(e1C,Periods);
>   e3C=EMA(e2C,Periods);
>   e4C=EMA(e3C,Periods);
>   e5C=EMA(e4C,Periods);
>   e6C=EMA(e5C,Periods);
>   Ti3C=c1*e6C+c2*e5C+c3*e4C+c4*e3C;
>   //Plot(Ti3C,"Ti3C",2,1);
>   Ti3Ct=Ti3H;//your condition:the next bar Ti3C is equal to todays 
Ti3H
>   //the Ct as a function of Ti3Ct
>   Ct=(Ti3Ct-R*(c1*(f^5*e1C+f^4*e2C+f^3*e3C+f^2*e4C+f*e5C+e6C)+c2*
>   (f^4*e1C+f^3*e2C+f^2*e3C+f*e4C+e5C)+c3*(f^3*e1C+f^2*e2C+f*e3C+e4C)
+c4*
>   (f^2*e1C+f*e2C+e3C)))/(C1*f^6+C2*f^5+C3*f^4+C4*f^3) ;
>   Plot(Ct,"Ct",colorRed,8);
> 
>   For periods>10 the condition is quite rare.
>   Dimitris
>   --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Herman van den Bergen"
>   <psytek@xxxx> wrote:
>   > In my requirements there is only one unknown, the next day Ct as
>   the other
>   > Ti3 was using the previous bar's value. The equation is 
solvable by
>   > iteration however it is too slow for Real Time data, where in a
>   backtests i
>   > want to process 100,000 bars. The problem could also be stated,
>   since both
>   > Ti3s have the same value when crossing, and assigning arbitrary
>   familiar
>   > price arrays to Array1 and Array2, as:
>   >
>   > Ti3( ref(H,-1), period, sensitivity )  =  Ti3( C, period,
>   sensitivity )
>   >
>   > and solving for C. In this equation C is the only unknown 
because H
>   is
>   > yesterday's known value. Your earlier solutions are close to 
this
>   but i
>   > haven't been able to modify them to this requirement. Note that
>   periods and
>   > sensitivities are the same on both sides of the equation.
>   >
>   > Best regards,
>   > herman
>   >
>   >
>   >   -----Original Message-----
>   >   From: DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS [mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]
>   >   Sent: Monday, October 25, 2004 6:58 AM
>   >   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>   >   Subject: [amibroker] Re: DT's Ct prediction for the Ti3
>   >
>   >
>   >
>   >   To be more specific:
>   >   Ti3t, the next bar Ti3 of an array, is ALWAYS a [known] 
function
>   of
>   >   the next bar array value arrayt.
>   >   Arrayt is NOT ALWAYS a [known] function of the next bar Close 
Ct.
>   >   Dimitris
>   >   PS : If you could be more specific about array1, array2 we 
could
>   >   probably come to some result...
>   >   --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Herman van den Bergen"
>   >   <psytek@xxxx> wrote:
>   >   > Thank you Dt.
>   >   >
>   >   > herman
>   >   >   -----Original Message-----
>   >   >   From: DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS [mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]
>   >   >   Sent: Monday, October 25, 2004 6:41 AM
>   >   >   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>   >   >   Subject: [amibroker] Re: DT's Ct prediction for the Ti3
>   >   >
>   >   >
>   >   >
>   >   >   Herman,
>   >   >   There is no answer for this general question.
>   >   >   Some arrays may be RevEnged [RSI, Ti3], some others not
>   [StochD].
>   >   >   The next bar RSI is a function of the next bar Close Ct, 
the
>   next
>   >   bar
>   >   >   StochD is [unfortunately] a function of Ht, Lt and Ct.
>   >   >   Dimitris
>   >   >   --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Herman van den Bergen"
>   >   >   <psytek@xxxx> wrote:
>   >   >   > Thank you DT, I tried this code but it requires that pb 
is
>   >   greater
>   >   >   than pa
>   >   >   > and also it uses C in both Ti3s. I am looking for a 
sulution
>   >   where
>   >   >   pa==pb
>   >   >   > and we use different price arrays.
>   >   >   >
>   >   >   > best regards,
>   >   >   > herman
>   >   >   >
>   >   >   >
>   >   >   >
>   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   -----Original Message-----
>   >   >   >   From: DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS [mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]
>   >   >   >   Sent: Monday, October 25, 2004 1:57 AM
>   >   >   >   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>   >   >   >   Subject: [amibroker] Re: DT's Ct prediction for the 
Ti3
>   >   >   >
>   >   >   >
>   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Herman van den 
Bergen"
>   >   >   >   <psytek@xxxx> wrote:
>   >   >   >   > DT, I am not sure i understand the Ti3t... what i am
>   trying
>   >   to
>   >   >   find
>   >   >   >   out is
>   >   >   >   > what tomorrows closing price would be to cause the
>   crossing
>   >   of
>   >   >   two
>   >   >   >   Ti3
>   >   >   >   > functions.
>   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   Herman,
>   >   >   >   this specific question is already in
>   >   >   >   http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker-
>   ts/files/A%
>   >   20Ti3%
>   >   >   >   20application/
>   >   >   >   "Cross(Ti3a,Ti3b) predictions.txt"
>   >   >   >   Dimitris
>   >   >   >   For example:
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   > F1 = T3( Array1, 3, 0.8 );
>   >   >   >   > F2 = T3( ref(Array2,-1), 3, 0.8 );
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   > Array1 and Array2 are two different arrays and 
could be
>   any
>   >   >   type of
>   >   >   >   > indicator array. For development you can plug in 
any of
>   the
>   >   OHLC
>   >   >   >   arrays, but
>   >   >   >   > you cannot use the same price array for both 
function
>   >   calles.
>   >   >   >   > The Periods and Sensitivities are the same for both 
T3
>   >   function
>   >   >   >   calls.
>   >   >   >   > F2 is based on yesterdays values, F1 is based on 
todays
>   >   values.
>   >   >   >   > I would like to calculate tomorrows value for Array1
>   that
>   >   would
>   >   >   >   cause the
>   >   >   >   > two functions to cross: cross(F1, F2).
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   > Do you think this is possible?
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   > thanks for you help DT!
>   >   >   >   > herman
>   >   >   >   >   -----Original Message-----
>   >   >   >   >   From: DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS [mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]
>   >   >   >   >   Sent: Saturday, October 23, 2004 5:34 AM
>   >   >   >   >   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>   >   >   >   >   Subject: [amibroker] Re: DT's Ct prediction for 
the
>   Ti3
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >   Herman,
>   >   >   >   >   Ti3t (the next bar Ti3) is a direct function of 
the
>   next
>   >   bar
>   >   >   >   Close Ct.
>   >   >   >   >   Ti3t=
>   >   >   >   >   c1*(f*(f*(f*(f*(f*(f*Ct+(1-f)*e1)+
>   >   >   >   >   (1-f)*e2)+(1-f)*e3)+(1-f)*e4)+(1-f)*e5)+(1-f)*e6)+
>   >   >   >   >   c2*(f*(f*(f*(f*(f*Ct+(1-f)*e1)+(1-f)*e2)+(1-f)*e3)
+
>   >   >   >   >   (1-f)*e4)+(1-f)*e5)+
>   >   >   >   >   c3*(f*(f*(f*(f*Ct+(1-f)*e1)+(1-f)*e2)+(1-f)*e3)+
(1-f)
>   *e4)+
>   >   >   >   >   c4*(f*(f*(f*Ct+(1-f)*e1)+(1-f)*e2)+(1-f)*e3);
>   >   >   >   >   If I understand your question, you want to solve 
Ct
>   for
>   >   any
>   >   >   given
>   >   >   >   >   Ti3t.
>   >   >   >   >   Let me know and I will do it.
>   >   >   >   >   Dimitris
>   >   >   >   >   --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Herman van den
>   Bergen"
>   >   >   >   >   <psytek@xxxx> wrote:
>   >   >   >   >   > Hello,
>   >   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >   > 'been looking at DT's Ct formula (nice work!) to
>   predict
>   >   >   where
>   >   >   >   >   tomorrow's
>   >   >   >   >   > Close will touch the Ti3 - see code below. Can
>   anybody
>   >   see a
>   >   >   >   way to
>   >   >   >   >   use this
>   >   >   >   >   > formula to predict the Close of tomorrow needed 
to
>   have
>   >   the
>   >   >   Ti3
>   >   >   >   >   touch any
>   >   >   >   >   > arbitrary point? For example a point on another
>   >   indicator.
>   >   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >   > My math is not up to this, any help would be
>   >   appreciated!
>   >   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >   > herman.
>   >   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >   > p=3;s=0.84;f=2/(p+1);
>   >   >   >   >   > // Ti3
>   >   >   >   >   > e1=EMA(C,p);
>   >   >   >   >   > e2=EMA(e1,p);
>   >   >   >   >   > e3=EMA(e2,p);
>   >   >   >   >   > e4=EMA(e3,p);
>   >   >   >   >   > e5=EMA(e4,p);
>   >   >   >   >   > e6=EMA(e5,p);
>   >   >   >   >   > c1=-s*s*s;
>   >   >   >   >   > c2=3*s*s+3*s*s*s;
>   >   >   >   >   > c3=-6*s*s-3*s-3*s*s*s;
>   >   >   >   >   > c4=1+3*s+s*s*s+3*s*s;
>   >   >   >   >   > Ti3=c1*e6+c2*e5+c3*e4+c4*e3;
>   >   >   >   >   > //The value of tomorrow´s Close Ct that touches
>   >   tomorrow´s
>   >   >   Ti3
>   >   >   >   is
>   >   >   >   >   > Ct=
>   >   >   >   >   > (1-f)*((c1*f^5+c2*f^4+c3*f^3+c4*f^2)*e1+
>   >   >   >   (c1*f^4+c2*f^3+c3*f^2+c4*f)
>   >   >   >   >   *e2+(c1*f
>   >   >   >   >   > ^3+c2*f^2+c3*f+c4*1)*e3+(c1*f^2+c2*f+c3*1)*e4+
>   >   (c1*f+c2*1)
>   >   >   >   *e5+c1*e6)/
>   >   >   >   >   (1-(C1*f
>   >   >   >   >   > ^6+C2*f^5+C3*f^4+C4*f^3)) ;//relation III
>   >   >   >   >   > Plot(C,"Close",1,128);
>   >   >   >   >   > Plot(Ti3,"Ti3",4,1);
>   >   >   >   >   > Plot(Ct,"Ct",2,1);
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >
>   >   >   >   >
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