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<I think the market got a curve ball (baseball pitch that doesn't fly
straight) from the Fed.>
Three months from now when we have all but forgotten what the Fed did
on Monday, we will look back at the charts and notice the low VIX
number prior to the selloff.
Some of us will then say Damn... shoulda, woulda, coulda.!
Others will say Damn that VIX is unreliable!
he he he...
Phsst
--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Yuki Taga <yukitaga@xxxx> wrote:
> Hi DIMITRIS,
>
> Thursday, January 29, 2004, 4:10:46 PM, you wrote:
>
> DT> Yuki, I wish you luck !! As you see, the market is prompt enough
> DT> to pay for the multiple divergence.
>
> I really disagree, but we'll never know. I think the market got a
> curve ball (baseball pitch that doesn't fly straight) from the Fed.
> If the Fed had not surprised, US would have been up today, and so
> would we. I suspect US will be up tonight, be we'll see.
>
> In any case, we closed very strong, almost getting back everything on
> the futures, which closed on the high. The Fed comments mean little,
> and the only negative for us is that there will NOT be tightening in
> the near future, leaving the yen to appreciate more.
>
> This time, I will say the multiple divergence got a gift. ^^_^^
>
> In any case, you have to fade an overreaction by the market. If you
> don't, you are left to play the same reaction the crowd plays. That
> is usually a mistake.
>
> We shall see. ^_-
>
> Yuki
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