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Re: [amibroker] Re: Sammy Chua



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I agree 100% that we work with what we have.  IMO, it's not nearly
worth the effort to pole vault over this mouse turd.  

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Howard Bandy" <howardbandy@xxxx>
wrote:
> Hi b -
> 
>  
> 
> We could ask Tomasz to provide these capabilities in AmiBroker.  
> 
>  
> 
> One, it would complicate his life significantly.  
> 
> Two, we would need a data vendor who provided accurate real time and
> historical data for all the fields we are tracking.  
> 
> Three, the companies reporting data would need to agree on the
methods they
> use so as to insure that we are able to work with consistent data.  
> 
> Four, eventually we get back to the existence of an unknown and
unknowable
> bias in any data released by any reporting agency which distorts
whatever
> numbers appear in the data stream.  
> 
>  
> 
> I recommend we work with what we already have, and be conservative
when
> examining back test results.
> 
>  
> 
> Howard
> 
>  
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: b [mailto:b519b@x...] 
> Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 7:22 AM
> To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: RE: [amibroker] dividend (more on the subject)
> 
>  
> 
> Chuck,
> 
> Thanks for the additional information. I get the point about large
price
> drops due
> to division spin offs. Back in the tech bubble, I was holding some
Bell
> Canada share
> when Bell decided to distribut its shares in Nortel (about 30% of
Nortel).
> The day
> the new Nortel shares got credited to my account, my Bell shares
dropped by
> more
> than 50%. And you are right, the indicator charts for Bell were
useless for
> many
> weeks. 
> 
> I had an idea while taking my morning shower. Whether the idea is a
bright
> one or I
> am just all wet, I do not know yet. But here is the idea.
> 
> If Amibroker had one more data field per bar, we could have the
following
> (assuming
> the API call to CSI could be explanded):
> 
> Date
> Open (adjusted for splits, but not for dividends)
> High (adjusted for splits, but not for dividends)
> Low (adjusted for splits, but not for dividends)
> Close (adjusted for splits, but not for dividends)
> Volume (actual trading volume, not adjusted for splits)
> OI (Actual Close *100, for use in price filters)
> NEW (Close adjusted for dividends and for splits)
> Alternatively NEW could be set to zero except for the dividend dates
when it
> would
> hold the actual dividend payment.
> 
> Using the NEW field, one could detect the when a dividend is paided
out (by
> comparing the daily change in the NEW field to that in the Close
field). 
> 
> What to do when a dividend is detected? Although I am still in a bit
of a
> fog (no
> time for breakfast juice), I do not see a simple way to work the
dividend
> change
> back into the various indicators and profit and loss calculations. 
> 
> Man, this dividend stuff is too complicated to tackle before
breakfast.
> 
> b
> 
> --- Chuck Rademacher <chuck_rademacher@xxxx> wrote:
> > G'day, b...
> > 
> > Another country heard from on the subject of dividends!
> > 
> > IMO, the BIG dividends could be considered to be rare.   However,
a
> dividend
> > of 10%, while not BIG, can still affect the P/L and indicator
> calculations.
> > Sometimes a company will float a division or subsidiary, issuing
stock in
> > the new company and reducing the price of the original stock by
the same
> > amount.   It is not unusual to see 50% falls in price arising from
> > situations like this.   I could run some stats for you, if you
feel it is
> > important to know that much about the scale of the problem.
> > 
> > I would hope that TJ might think this subject is important enough
to give
> > some consideration.   In order for that to happen, enough users
would have
> > to:
> > 
> > a.  understand the problem.
> > b.  believe that it is serious enough that it should be fixed
> > c.  convey that message to TJ.
> > 
> > If TJ was to address the problem, there still is the issue of how
the
> > information gets into the database.   I hate to bring up CSI
again, for
> fear
> > that users here will soon think that I have some sort of financial
> interest
> > in the company.  I can assure you that I cannot benefit in any
way by
> people
> > subscribing to CSI.
> > 
> > With that (hopefully) out of the way, let me describe how my own
trading
> > software works.   By the way, my software is not for sale, so
there is no
> > potential conflict in tellying you about it.
> > 
> > My database, thanks to CSI, has a record of every dividend and
dividend
> > date.   This information is available directly from CSI.  In fact,
with
> CSI
> > you can backadjust your data to include or exclude dividends. 
Obviously,
> > the difference is the amount of the dividend.   Backadjusting for
> dividends,
> > however, creates a new problem; prices can go negative when
backadjusting
> > over several years.   My method of getting around this problem is
to
> > backadjust over a moving window that is large enough to properly
calculate
> > the indicators being used by the system.   Since my database has
dividend
> > dates and amounts, I am able to do this backadjusting on the fly.
  Yes,
> it
> > slows things down.   No, I don't turn the feature "on" during
preliminary
> > research of new system(s) and/or parameter(s).   I only turn it on
in the
> > later stages of my research in order to get an accurate picture.
> > 
> > I hope that the above helps people to understand the significance
of the
> > problem.   I don't recall it every being mentioned on this or any
other
> > Yahoo board.   I can assure you, however, that the subject takes
up a lot
> of
> > my time and effort.
> >   -----Original Message-----
> >   From: b [mailto:b519b@x...]
> >   Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 1:59 AM
> >   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >   Subject: RE: [amibroker] dividend (more on the subject)
> > 
> > 
> >   Chuck,
> > 
> >   I am convinced. Dividends are bad news. And with recent US tax
changes
> > they will not
> >   be going away anytime soon.
> > 
> >   Are the big dividend payouts rare enough that they can be
ignored in
> > practice?
> > 
> >   I hope the answer is Yes, because I can not see any easy way to
> compensate
> > (other
> >   than manually checking all trade candidates for recent dividends
- too
> > much tedious
> >   work for my liking.)
> > 
> >   b
> > 
> >   --- Chuck Rademacher <chuck_rademacher@xxxx> wrote:
> >   > Another reason why I say that dividends are the BIGGEST
PROBLEM with
> > data is
> >   > that not only did $11 disappear in one day from the stock in
question
> >   > (causing a loss), it also severely distorts ALL technical
indicators.
> > Such
> >   > a move could look like a SERIOUS BREAKOUT when, in fact, it's
nothing
> > but a
> >   > dividend.
> >   >   -----Original Message-----
> >   >   From: indiana0352 [mailto:cs_winn@x...]
> >   >   Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 9:34 PM
> >   >   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >   >   Subject: [amibroker] dividend
> >   >
> >   >
> >   >   Does anyone know how I can compensate for large dividend
payments
> >   >   made by companies in the stock prices in AB??
> >   >
> >   >   eh  NCRX which paid out a $10.92 cash dividend on Dec 2,
shows in AB
> >   >   as dropping significantly that day when really it didn't.
> >   >
> >   >   The only way I could firgure it out would be to do a reverse
> >   >   division and calculate a split value which I enter.  Is
there an
> >   >   easier way?
> >   >
> >   >   TIA,
> >   >   Chris
> > 
> 
> 
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