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[amibroker] Re: PositionScore Ideas



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If you think that was nice, you might find the following nicer:

I used the following for the PositionScore (modified) with MaxOpenPos 
= 5, MaxRisk = 0.1 and PositionSize = -100/MaxOpenPos, initial equity 
= $1000, MinShares = 100, Margin = 1, No commissions/slippage, No 
trade delays:

tr13 = 0.4 * (C - Ref(C, -63)) / Ref(C, -63) * 100;
tr26 = 0.3 * (C - Ref(C, -126)) / Ref(C, -126) * 100;
tr37 = 0.3 * (C - Ref(C, -189)) / Ref(C, -189) * 100;
tr52 = 0.3 * (C - Ref(C, -252)) / Ref(C, -252) * 100;
RSW = tr13 + tr26 + tr37 + tr52;
PositionScore = RSW;


Statistics | Charts | Trades | Formula | Settings | Symbols

Statistics 
  All trades Long trades Short trades 
Initial capital 1000.00 1000.00 1000.00 
Ending capital 11682.22 7056.75 5625.47 
Net Profit 10682.22 6056.75 4625.47 
Net Profit % 1068.22 % 605.67 % 462.55 % 
Exposure % 73.64 % 39.75 % 33.89 % 
Net Risk Adjusted Return % 1450.54 % 1523.54 % 1364.91 % 
Annual Return % 126.23 % 91.35 % 77.48 % 
Risk Adjusted Return % 171.41 % 229.80 % 228.62 % 

----------------------------------------------------------------------
----------
 
All trades 1246 626 (50.24 %) 620 (49.76 %) 
 Avg. Profit/Loss 8.57 9.68 7.46 
 Avg. Profit/Loss % 1.10 % 1.20 % 1.00 % 
 Avg. Bars Held 3.79 3.99 3.59 

----------------------------------------------------------------------
----------
 
Winners 1201 (96.39 %) 606 (48.64 %) 595 (47.75 %) 
 Total Profit 10819.18 6132.56 4686.62 
 Avg. Profit 9.01 10.12 7.88 
 Avg. Profit % 1.16 % 1.26 % 1.06 % 
 Avg. Bars Held 3.82 4.02 3.60 
 Max. Consecutive 232 122 174 
 Largest win 77.52 77.52 60.60 
 # bars in largest win 14 14 6 

----------------------------------------------------------------------
----------
 
Losers 45 (3.61 %) 20 (1.61 %) 25 (2.01 %) 
 Total Loss -136.96 -75.81 -61.15 
 Avg. Loss -3.04 -3.79 -2.45 
 Avg. Loss % -0.36 % -0.41 % -0.32 % 
 Avg. Bars Held 3.09 2.95 3.20 
 Max. Consecutive 3 2 3 
 Largest loss -21.17 -21.17 -17.19 
 # bars in largest loss 2 2 3 

----------------------------------------------------------------------
----------
 
Max. trade drawdown -60.60 -4.03 -60.60 
Max. trade % drawdown -5.98 % -0.83 % -5.98 % 
Max. system drawdown -60.40 -23.03 -37.37 
Max. system % drawdown -1.53 % -0.70 % -1.63 % 
Recovery Factor 176.86 262.99 123.78 
CAR/MaxDD 82.47 130.55 47.67 
RAR/MaxDD 111.99 328.40 140.68 
Profit Factor 79.00 80.89 76.64 
Payoff Ratio 2.96 2.67 3.22 
Standard Error 1161.89 657.70 505.32 
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.52 2.49 2.56 
Ulcer Index 0.10 0.06 0.13 
Ulcer Performance Index 1199.42 1449.04 539.46 
Sharpe Ratio of trades 10.41 10.85 10.07 
K-Ratio 2.19 2.17 2.23 

rgds, Pal

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Ken Close" <closeks@xxxx> wrote:
> If so, nice signals (:-)
> 
>  
> 
> Understatement!!!!!
> 
>  
> 
> Ken
> 
>  
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Dave Merrill [mailto:dmerrill@x...] 
> Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2003 6:07 PM
> To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: RE: [amibroker] Re: PositionScore Ideas
> 
>  
> 
> Do I have it right that there's other buy/sell signal code we're not
> seeing, and PositionScore is being used only for ranking when there 
are
> more buy signals than available positions? This isn't a rotational
> system using only PositionScore?
> 
>  
> 
> If so, nice signals (:-)
> 
>  
> 
> Dave
> 
>  
> 
> This backtest comparison is for illustrative purposes only. I make 
no
> claims regarding these test results other than the AFL and Setup
> criteria was identical for both tests. The only difference was the
> assignment of PositionScore = QRS versus PositionScore = RSW.
> 
> NOTE: 
> 
> // RSW = .4*(Total Return 13-Week)+.3*(Total Return 26-Week)+.3*
(Total
> Return 1-Year)
> tr13 = 0.4 * (C - Ref(C, -65)) / Ref(C, -65) * 100;
> tr26 = 0.3 * (C - Ref(C, -130)) / Ref(C, -130) * 100;
> tr52 = 0.3 * (C - Ref(C, -260)) / Ref(C, -260) * 100;
> RSW = tr13 + tr26 + tr52;
> PositionScore = RSW;
> 
> Date Range 6/1/1995 to Present (No QRS scores exist prior to this)
> 
> Direct comparison:
> 
>       RSW SCORE            QRS SCORE
>       Long trades            Long trades
> Initial capital      100000            100000
> Ending capital      22984180      190338380
> Net Profit      22884180      190238380
> Net Profit %      22884.18%      190238.38%
> Exposure %      94.25%            94.16%
> Net RAR %      24280.98%      202035.63%
> Annual Return %      89.07%              142.19%
> Risk Adj Retn %      94.50%            151.01%
>                   
> All trades      7431 (100.00 %)      7487 (100.00 %)
> Avg. Profit/Loss      3079.56 25409.16
> Avg. Profit/Loss %      -4.16%      -2.88%
> Avg. Bars Held               2.65      2.63
>                   
> Winners               3829 (51.53 %)      4066 (54.31 %)
> Total Profit      64437022.92      436648089.7
> Avg. Profit      16828.68      107390.09
> Avg. Profit %      3.10%            3.13%
> Avg. Bars Held      2.33            2.33
> Max. Consecutive      17      17
> Largest win      978262.15      7798920.06
> # bars in largest win      2      2
>                   
> Losers      3602 (48.47 %)            3421 (45.69 %)
> Total Loss      -41552842.92      -246409709.4
> Avg. Loss      -11536.05      -72028.56
> Avg. Loss %      -11.88%            -10.03%
> Avg. Bars Held      2.98            2.99
> Max. Consecutive      13      12
> Largest loss      -542767            -4301835.5
> # bars in largest loss      6      6
>                   
> Max. trade drawdown      -610851.92      -4864832.72
> Max. trade % drawdown      -98.69%            -99.67%
> Max. system drawdown      -2119041.36      -15587244.83
> Max. system % drawdown      -34.68%            -27.63%
> Recovery Factor      10.8            12.2
> CAR/MaxDD      2.57            5.15
> RAR/MaxDD      2.72            5.46
> Profit Factor      1.55            1.77
> Payoff Ratio      1.46            1.49
> Standard Error      2982472.3      25676798.01
> Risk-Reward Ratio      0.44      0.38
> Ulcer Index      12.1            7.64
> Ulcer Performance Index      6.92      17.9
> Sharpe Ratio of trades      -0.72      -0.86
> K-Ratio                       1.09      0.93
> 
> FWIW, I have some other systems / variations that I'll run a RSW vs.
> QRS comparison on. If there are any notable improvements to the RSW
> results, I'll post them.
> 
> Regards,
> 
> Phsst
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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