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Re: [amibroker] Re: any karnish watchers out there? For Steve



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Hi Dimitris,

Those settings increased my Return on Account to 295%...now i am only 55
percentage points from your total.

May I assume you were citing Return on Account when you mentioned +350%?

My results are the same with both MSN and Yahoo EOD data.

Any other thoughts on why we are still so different?

thanks again,

-john


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS" <TSOKAKIS@xxxxxxxxx>
To: <amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Monday, November 24, 2003 9:51 AM
Subject: [amibroker] Re: any karnish watchers out there? For Steve


> John,
> I used buy/sell/short/cover at +1 Open, commission 0.25%, all stops
> disabled.
> Dimitris Tsokakis
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "john gibb" <jgibb1@xxxx> wrote:
> > Dimitris, thanks for posting this!
> >
> > Like Dave, I couldn't get as good results as you got--with the
> regular Backtester, Yahoo EOD, and 4.49.0. (While close to you on
> drawdown and %winners, I got nowhere near 350% return (my Return on
> Account was 158%).
> >
> > I am attaching those results and my settings file, in the hopes
> that you can suggest how I can more closely replicate your return. (I
> suspect, like Dave, that it is a difference in commissions; I use
> 0.5%.)
> >
> > thanks
> >
> > -john
> >   ----- Original Message ----- 
> >   From: Dave Merrill
> >   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >   Sent: Monday, November 24, 2003 5:58 AM
> >   Subject: RE: [amibroker] Re: any karnish watchers out there? For
> Steve
> >
> >
> >   One further related question: You mention that this is "tuned to
> the bearish environment". Do you have an indicator that helps you
> know quantitatively when we're no longer in a bearish environment?
> >
> >   Thanks,
> >
> >   dave
> >     Dimitris, thanks for the ideas, I'll check it out. Besides a
> QQQ trading vehicle, I'm interested in the smoothing method you
> chose, and also your trend qualifier.
> >
> >     Just out of curiosity, what commission settings do you use? I'm
> at 1%, which is my usual, but if that's too stringent in this
> context, maybe that's why my initial results with this, and other
> things I've tried, aren't as spectacular.
> >
> >     I know some of what I'm about to ask has been discussed here in
> general, but let me ask it in this specific context anyway: There are
> a number of parameters here, either adjustable or built into the
> code. If we wanted to optimize for better performance in the current
> environment, what test period would you think would translate well to
> the future? Going forward, when would you think you'd want to
> optimize again? How would you suggest we distinguish a beautiful
> curve fit over the test period from settings likely to perform well
> in the future?
> >
> >     Please don't take those questions as anything other than what
> they are, a sincere desire to learn.
> >
> >     Dave
> >       Dave,
> >       It would be interesting to make your own study on the STORSI.
> >       Here is an example for QQQ.
> >       It was tuned to the bearish environement, the peak of the
> Equity is
> >       very close to the change of the trend.
> >
> >       // A STORSI example for QQQ
> >       SetBarsRequired(1000,1000);
> >       function IIR2( input, f0, f1, f2 )
> >       {
> >         result[ 0 ] = input[ 0 ];result[ 1 ] = input[ 1 ];
> >         for( i = 100; i < BarCount; i++ )
> >         {
> >           result[ i ] = f0 * input[ i ] + f1 * result[ i - 1 ] + f2
> * result
> >       [ i - 2 ];
> >         }
> >         return result;
> >       }
> >       x=DEMA(RSI(10),10);t=20;
> >       C1=100*(x-LLV(x,t))/(HHV(x,t)-LLV(x,t));Plot(C1,"STORSI",1,1);
> >       K=0.4;
> >       RD=IIR2( C1, 0.3, 1.6, -0.9);// SMOOTHED STOCHRSI
> >       Plot(RD,"["+WriteVal(10*K,1.0)+"]",4+10*K,1);
> >       TREND=LinearReg(DEMA(C,20),30);// TREND QUALIFIER
> >       Plot(TREND,"TREND",4,styleOwnScale);
> >       BLEVEL=Optimize("BL",-19,-30,-10,1);Plot(BLEVEL,"BLEVEL",1,1);
> >       SLEVEL=Optimize("SL",49,40,60,1);Plot(SLEVEL,"SLEVEL",1,1);
> >       Buy=Cross(RD,BLEVEL);Sell=Cross(RD,SLEVEL);
> >       Short=Cross(RD,SLEVEL) ;Cover=Buy;
> >
> >       It is a good point to start and tune it to the present
> conditions,
> >       add trend characteristics [I have added a TREND function, you
> may
> >       select yours] etc.
> >       From June2000 till now, no losing combinations, affordable
> drawdowns
> >       [less than 40%] and very good behavior when the bears define
> the
> >       game...
> >       Better than +350%, winners/losers ~2/1, not bad at all for
> QQQ.
> >       Of course it is not the only QQQ vehicle, it is just an
> example to
> >       begin with.
> >       Dimitris Tsokakis
> >
> >         Yahoo! Groups Sponsor
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> >
> >
> >
> >
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