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[amibroker] Re: Trading mutual funds...



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Fred,

>From this, do I understand it correctly that one can't go
short on MF's? Why would one be sitting on cash otherwise?
Or may be I'm not following what you said below...

Jitu

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Fred" <fctonetti@xxxx> wrote:
> One other note regarding short term trading ... There are of course 
> ways to accomplish the same thing with out actually taking the 
short 
> term trades i.e. by hedging using a bear oriented fund leaving you 
> more or less market neutral during the period of time when you 
would 
> have been sitting in cash.
> 
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Fred" <fctonetti@xxxx> wrote:
> > See below ...
> > 
> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Chuck Rademacher" 
> > <chuck_rademacher@x> wrote:
> > > Maybe some of you guys (and gals) who trade mutual funds can 
> answer 
> > a couple
> > > of questions?
> > > 
> > > 1.  If there's no money to be made in (rotational trading of) 
> > ETF's, am I
> > > correct when I assume that there's no money to be made in the 
> Rydex-
> > like
> > > funds that only mimic an index?
> > > 
> > 
> > Rydex's funds are pretty much either index or sector oriented.  
> This 
> > is not the kind of thing I personally like to trade.  But for 
> example 
> > if you have a system that trades SPX, NDX or RUT well or is good 
at 
> > jumping on the sector that's likely to be hot next as opposed to 
> the 
> > one that just was then it would certainly work in this scenario.
> > 
> > > 2.  Based on current rules and redemption penalties, which 
> families 
> > of
> > > mutual funds can you recommend for rotational trading?
> > > 
> > 
> > I don't personally trade on what one would consider to be a 
> > rotational basis.  As I and Ken stated, erf's or the funds 
> management 
> > policies will eventually weed out most if not all the short term 
> > traders, especially the ones with large dollars.  So if you are 
> > looking to trade mf's with some sort of short term oriented 
> > rotational system as opposed to one that trades on an 
intermediate 
> > basis picking good candidates at the beginning of a market buy 
and 
> > for the most part holding them until a market sell then you are 
> going 
> > to find yourself pretty much limited to Rydex, ProFunds & Potomac.
> > 
> > > 3.  If most (or all) such families of funds charge early 
> redemption 
> > fees, is
> > > it safe to assume that you are trading these mid to long term?
> > > 
> > > There's no sense in me working on a system that appears to do 
> well, 
> > only to
> > > find that redemption fees are going to kill me.   Or, is it 
> > possible that
> > > there's enough money to be made that the fees are of little 
> > consequence?
> > > 
> > 
> > Most do NOT yet charge erf's and as you can see from prior posts 
> it's 
> > debatable as to whether or not they will and if so what the 
minimum 
> > holding periods will be to trigger those.  For short term 
oriented 
> > traders adding a 1-2% erf in a 7-14 day period would be enough to 
> > send them elsewhere or to a different methodology.  What the SEC 
or 
> > the fund companies themselves will do with this remains to be 
> seen.  
> > They really can't afford to be too outrageous with it as every 
> > 401k/IRA/VA account holder on the planet will be screaming bloody 
> > murder.
> > 
> > > Out of all of the above, I'm really interested in some 
> > recommendations on
> > > mutual fund families to trade.  I can then go do my own 
> > investigation as to
> > > their fees, etc and devise my own systems that will work with 
> those 
> > fees.
> > > 
> > 
> > I wouldn't think families as there is no real reason to just like 
> > there is no real reason to arbitrarilly limit ones trading in 
> stocks 
> > to some specific group based on whatever.
> > 
> > > Thanks


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