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RE: [amibroker] Re: Good & Bad Re-Optimizations (for Dave)



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<SPAN 
class=731302913-30102003>herman's ideas, while very valuable, weren't 
mechanical enough for this area of my thinking. I wonder if anything mechanical 
like this can be truly useful.
<SPAN 
class=731302913-30102003>as I mentioned in my post to b, I also wonder why 
focusing on nice-performing adjecent parameter values helps response to the 
reality of the future, which is unpredictably changing data, not unpredictably 
changing parameters.
<SPAN 
class=731302913-30102003> 
<SPAN 
class=731302913-30102003>dave
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>Presactly 
  ...One of the problems !? for most is that checking for robustness 
  takes longer.  Eons ago Herman posted some fairly decent tools for 
  this which are along the lines of my own likings i.e. surface area 
  plots.  This is pretty simple to do with systems that have two 
  variables that are being optimized on and requires more effort for more 
  parameters but is still doable.  You can look at CAR or MDD or MAR or 
  whatever you like this way and get a good picture of where the cliffs 
  are.This shows pretty quickly where the most robust i.e. most likely 
  to succeed points ARE as opposed to the where the most profitable points 
  WERE.  It takes longer then just taking a gander at a list of numbers 
  but imho it's worth the trip.I liken the usage of where the most 
  profitable points WERE as chasing a constantly moving train that you'll 
  never catch up to.






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