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[amibroker] Re: Backtest start point(s) (was various other subjects)



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That depends on the system.  

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Dave Merrill" <dmerrill@xxxx> 
wrote:
> isn't it possible that a system that can only have a finite number 
of
> positions open at once would make an entirely different sequence of 
trades,
> depending on when you started? the same trades would qualify as 
tradeable,
> but different ones could be entered. if the day you started, all 
open
> portfolio positions were filled with trades that held for a long 
period,
> locking out all other trades, the quality of those specific picks 
could
> matter a lot.
> 
> should it all even out after enough time? I'd think that overall 
performance
> should average out, since on average the return from the trades you 
entered
> and didn't enter should average out. but there's no inherent reason 
to think
> that the trade lists would converge over time.
> 
> dave
>   From: Chuck Rademacher [mailto:chuck_rademacher@x...]
>   Sent: Sunday, October 19, 2003 3:07 PM
>   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>   Subject: [amibroker] Backtest start point(s) (was various other 
subjects)
> 
> 
>   It's quite simple, really.   If you have a system that generates 
hundreds
> or thousands of trades and you remove (say) 1% of those trades, the 
equity
> curve is unlikely to be affected very much.   As Jitu says, the 
equity curve
> quickly "catches up".   If you have a system that doesn't trade 
very often
> and you remove 10% of the trades, the resulting equity curve could 
look
> quite different.   Also, if Murphy's Law played a hand and the 
trades you
> removed were all profitable, the effect on the rest of the equity 
curve
> could be significant.


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