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[amibroker] Re: Tillson and Jurik



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I'm sorry, Herman, I thought it was your code and I was surprised a 
bit.
Thank you for your prompt reply.
Dimitris Tsokakis
--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Herman van den Bergen" 
<psytek@xxxx> wrote:
> Hello DT,
> 
> you'll have to ask Steve, this is not own of my systems.
> 
> h
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS [mailto:TSOKAKIS@x...]
> Sent: Wednesday, September 03, 2003 2:27 AM
> To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: [amibroker] Re: Tillson and Jurik
> 
> 
> Herman,
> What was the purpose of the MA(C,21) additive conditions ?
> The simple system runs at +1170%[for your settings], the MA(C,21)
> conditions brings it below +500%...
> Dimitris Tsokakis
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Herman van den Bergen"
> <psytek@xxxx> wrote:
> > [Steve Karnish] Maybe he can post the equity graph for the 
group....
> >
> >
> > AmiBroker report attached.
> >
> >   -----Original Message-----
> >   From: CedarCreekTrading [mailto:kernish@x...]
> >   Sent: Tuesday, September 02, 2003 1:53 PM
> >   To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >   Subject: [amibroker] Tillson and Jurik
> >
> >
> >   Dave,
> >
> >   Although I have "knocked back beers" with Tim many times, he has
> never
> >   offered a systematic approach that incorporates the T3.  In 
fact,
> for much
> >   of the last 18 months, Tim has played with the StoRSI (which the
> Fort
> >   Collins group has tagged: "the Karnish System").  Loosely
> interpreted, it
> > is
> >   a stochastically modified,  momentum oscillator.  He spent a lot
> of time
> >   tweaking the variables of the formula and optimizing the trigger
> levels.
> >
> >   I have teased Tim and Dave during the last year and called them 
a
> bunch of
> >   "beer-guzzling, over-optimizers".  All in good fun.  They are 
much
> > brighter
> >   than I could ever aspire to.  In fact, Dave is going to speak
> this month,
> > to
> >   the Denver Trading Group, on the pitfalls of over-optimizing.  
He
> and Tim
> >   did exactly that with the simple StoRSI approach to the
> >   QQQ's...over-optimized.  They have taken the StoRSI and
> substituted
> >   optimized variables in the formula.
> >
> >   When I offered the StoRSI, systematic approach, to the their
> group, in
> >   December of '01, I suggested applying it to the QQQ's with a 13
> and 87
> >   trigger.  I also suggested applying a trend qualifier.
> >
> >   Recently, Herman sent me a nice "picture" of the results of this
> system
> > (on
> >   the QQQ's) with a 21sma as the trade qualifier.  Maybe he can
> post the
> >   equity graph for the group.  I think the AFL library has all the
> bloody
> >   details:
> >
> >    // Steve Karnish StoRSI
> >   StochRsi=EMA((RSI(8)-LLV(RSI(8),8))/(HHV(RSI(8),8)-LLV(RSI
> (8),8)),3)*100;
> >   Buy=Cross(17,StochRsi) AND Ref(MA(C,21),-1) < MA(C,21);;
> >   Sell=Cross(StochRsi,83);
> >   Short=Cross(StochRsi,83) AND Ref(MA(C,21),-1) > MA(C,21);
> >   Cover=Cross(17,StochRsi);
> >
> >   There seems to be a misconception among technical traders
> that "quicker
> > is,
> >   indeed, better".  Quicker is better only if it leads to a
> smoother and
> > safer
> >   equity curves.  There is no doubt that Tim and Jurik have
> developed some
> >   sensitive indicators.  Neither has incorporated them into 
trading
> systems
> >   (as far as I know).
> >
> >   As you are aware, many indicators are helpful in the hands of a
> > disciplined
> >   "artist" that can apply them to markets to make subjective
> decisions.
> > Since
> >   I don't trust myself to interpret "wiggles", I lean more toward
> formulae
> >   that can be slammed into objective approaches that can be
> backtested (in
> > and
> >   out of sample).
> >
> >   I appreciate vendors like Fitchen (Aberration) that can produce 
a
> >   independently, verifiable track record.  At least when you plunk
> your
> > money
> >   down, you know what has occurred during the last five years.  I
> am less
> >   excited about vendors who peddled subjective tools that are left
> to the
> >   buyers discretion (to be applied to markets).  $300 for a black
> box
> > formula
> >   is not something I'm going to spend my money for.
> >
> >   For that matter, I have 100 formulas that I will sell you for $3
> each (or
> > $3
> >   for all of them).  There's quite a difference between 
a "formula"
> and a
> >   "systematic approach".  Do you want "tools" or do you 
want "tools
> and
> >   rules"?  Building the "grail" starts with a reliable indicator
> (there are
> >   dozens).  This is only the starting point.  I get excited when
> someone
> >   builds the entire mousetrap.
> >
> >   I will contact Tim and ask him for examples (besides the public
> articles)
> > of
> >   how to incorporate the T3 into a trading approach.  Jurik's work
> is
> > floating
> >   around and I'm sure someone can comment on how to apply his
> indicators.
> > Try
> >   super-imposing a 10 period ema on top of the Jurik or Tillson
> work (hard
> > to
> >   tell the difference).  I believe Perry Kaufman turned me on to
> it.  Keep
> > in
> >   mind, there is a lot of good stuff for free.
> >
> >   Take care,
> >
> >   Steve
> >
> >
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> >
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> 
> 
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