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[amibroker] Re: Trade Analysis



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Fred,

Perhaps the term "extremely tight stops" means different things to
different people.

What kind of stop loss stradegy do you prefer?

Phsst

--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Fred" <fctonetti@xxxx> wrote:
> Phsst,
> 
> I disagree. It is not practical in the real world to use extremely 
> tight stops.  When you place stop loss orders the specialists by 
> definition must know where they are and it's very easy for them to 
> take the price of the stock down to where you order is, stop you out 
> and then continue on.  This is how they make their living. 
> 
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "phsst" <phsst@xxxx> wrote:
> > Fred,
> > 
> > You are correct.
> > 
> > And while I did not articulate it very well, dd info in AB should 
> not
> > be taken for granted.
> > 
> > The most accurate trading systems developed in AB are those which
> > include STOPS so tight that the intra-trade variations in price are
> > accounted for in the exit stradegy.
> > 
> > Regards,
> > 
> > Phsst
> > 
> > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Fred Tonetti <ftonetti@xxxx> 
> wrote:
> > > Phsst & Others interested in this subject,
> > > 
> > > One of the problems with taking information from even a detailed 
> report
> > > in AB and exporting it to a CSV and then in turn importing into 
> Excel is
> > > that although it will properly show the Entry Date & Price and 
> Exit Date
> > > & Price, it does not show prices of whatever it is that's being 
> traded
> > > during the bars in between the entry and exit, therefore there is 
> no way
> > > using a methodology like that to come up with semi-accurate 
> numbers for
> > > drawdowns .
> > > 
> > > Example .
> > > 
> > > For simplicity I used Pring's KST system trading AA i.e. only one 
> stock
> > > ...
> > > 
> > > As one can see from the report below there was a 7.1% CAR and 
> 36.71%
> > > drawdown on a close to close basis.
> > > 
> > > In looking at the Equity Line in the graph (attached)  one can 
> see here
> > > too that there were the same results.
> > >  
> > > But if one does a copy of the actual detail trade information and 
> paste
> > > into Excel (See Attached) and adds columns for max equity and 
> drawdown%
> > > and then at the bottom of the column takes the maximum of 
> drawdown%, the
> > > result shows an incorrectly low 27.67%.  The reason of course is 
> that
> > > the detailed report from AB and thus Excel does not show what 
> happened
> > > during the course of time that individual trades were being held.
> > > 
> > > In looking at what is in the AB reports when multiple stocks are 
> traded
> > > some of which could be simultaneously or overlapping investments 
> there
> > > are several problems.
> > > 
> > > 1.	AB apparently assumes that one must have enough capital to buy
> > > say $10k of every stock in the run and so it forces initial 
> equity to be
> > > higher then it needs to be.
> > > 2.	AB reports as MaxDD what is the MaxDD for one stock trade and
> > > although in some way this may be useful information it overstates 
> what
> > > MaxDD is for the account.  Beyond this though and given what 
> information
> > > is available in the detailed report trading only one stock, it 
> would not
> > > be possible to export all the trades for multiple stocks and get 
> a semi
> > > clear picture of what Returns or MaxDD for the system is.  This 
> would
> > > have to be done using a different methodology, probably utilizing 
> an
> > > exploration.


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