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RE: [amibroker] The transcendental use of Data: An application



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Ken,

Right.  It’s not about inter-vehicle or transcendental signals i.e. use this to trade that.  This is common practice in today’s world although I’ve never thought to use it on stocks and this IS an interesting idea.

The danger I see is not in the system itself but in what is not seen as it hasn’t been tested.  As an example here’s a system that was optimized from the beginning of 2000 forward which looks pretty good followed by the OOS results prior to that.  In the late 90’s almost no one had a clue that the market was about to turn down for the next 3 years just as almost no one now has a clue as to whether we’ll be going down another 3 years or we’re about to go up or we have already turned the corner.  But in any case sooner or later the bear will morph into bull and when it does any system that hasn’t been sufficiently tested over some previously bullish time period is almost guaranteed to blow up.

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