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[amibroker] Re: AB and Neural Networks [was: The Transcendental use of Data in Optimizations]



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At 15.24 14/02/03 +0000, you wrote:

>I'd be happy to see the results on MIBTel.

here it is results for mib30 (the major 30 stocks on Italian Stock excanghe).
Settings are:

initial capital: 10000
long&shorts
open e close position at open of the day after the signal (TS is on daily 
basis)
commisions: 0.185%
no stop used
no optimization used
period: from 01/01/01 to 06/02/03


BR      43895.20        438.95% 
-0.6%   -38.5%  53      30      23      65605   -20418  98.49%  125.03% 
2.46    852.58  3.21
PBS     40901.62        409.02% 
-19.5%  -59.2%  53      28      25      58599   -17603  98.49%  118.95% 
2.97    773.51  3.33
BMA     36287.70        362.88% 
-2.4%   -41.6%  53      28      25      65348   -28625  98.49%  109.18% 
2.04    692.90  2.28
BNL     24556.96        245.57% 
-10.0%  -29.6%  53      30      23      40827   -16269  98.49%  81.79% 
1.92    463.35  2.51
STM     19632.46        196.32% 
-4.9%   -41.7%  53      23      30      42751   -22973  98.49%  68.84% 
2.43    373.19  1.86
SIF     18625.81        186.26% 
-9.5%   -27.6%  53      21      32      32516   -13524  98.49%  66.06% 
3.66    358.35  2.40
OL      16479.92        164.80% 
-5.6%   -36.7%  53      26      27      32572   -15781  98.49%  59.95% 
2.14    316.82  2.06
MED     15917.25        159.17% 
-4.5%   -43.7%  53      22      31      43270   -26489  98.49%  58.31% 
2.30    316.61  1.63
P       15775.12        157.75% 
-12.7%  -33.6%  53      25      28      32189   -15943  98.49%  57.89% 
2.26    306.54  2.02
F       14122.56        141.23% 
-0.1%   -27.3%  53      26      27      26078   -11504  98.49%  52.93% 
2.35    274.97  2.27
SPM     10139.05        101.39% 
-11.2%  -26.1%  53      27      26      18588   -8259   98.49%  40.20% 
2.17    194.88  2.25
MEDIA   9714.52 
97.15%  -5.6%   -42.7%  53      19      34      27106   -16868  98.49% 
38.77%  2.88    193.16  1.61
MB      9232.98 
92.33%  -2.7%   -34.9%  53      20      33      21090   -11656  98.49% 
37.13%  2.99    178.01  1.81
BMPS    8564.38 
85.64%  -1.1%   -21.9%  53      25      28      20711   -11793  98.49% 
34.81%  1.97    168.26  1.76
BAV     7458.16 
74.58%  -10.0%  -35.8%  53      21      32      24351   -16406  98.49% 
30.88%  2.26    149.90  1.48
AUP     5258.95 
52.59%  -1.9%   -26.6%  53      24      29      11160   -5823   98.49% 
22.65%  2.32    100.69  1.92
PRF     5025.20 
50.25%  -10.3%  -23.1%  53      28      25      14147   -9200   98.49% 
21.74%  1.37    93.34   1.54
CIT     2355.55 
23.56%  -8.6%   -40.5%  53      22      31      12386   -9783   98.49% 
10.77%  1.78    49.11   1.27
AL      2085.37 
20.85%  -11.0%  -31.6%  53      22      31      13559   -11259  98.49% 
9.59%   1.70    43.39   1.20
NTV     811.90  8.12%   0.0%    -22.8%  12      8       4       3167 
-1796   55.34%  18.13%  0.88    114.26  1.76
SPTO    791.22  7.91%   -23.4%  -48.2%  53      20      33      13360 
-12181  98.49%  3.75%   1.81    22.24   1.10
BPVN    0.00    0.00%   0.0%    0.0%    0       0       0       0       0 
     0.00%     N/A    N/A      N/A    N/A
R       -190.69 
-1.91%  -12.4%  -48.6%  53      22      31      11896   -12004  98.49% 
-0.93%  1.40    -2.03   0.99
ENEL    -209.60 
-2.10%  -16.9%  -41.9%  53      21      32      9035    -9301   98.49% 
-1.02%  1.48    -5.03   0.97
ENI     -492.81 
-4.93%  -9.0%   -44.3%  53      25      28      9046    -9536   98.49% 
-2.42%  1.06    -9.23   0.95
G       -1114.39        -11.14% 
-18.7%  -39.5%  53      19      34      9711    -10646  98.49%  -5.56% 
1.63    -17.63  0.91
SEAT    -2177.02        -21.77% 
-39.6%  -57.0%  53      19      34      11132   -13195  98.49%  -11.21% 
1.51    -38.93  0.84
STE     -2289.17        -22.89% 
-27.6%  -43.9%  53      18      35      7215    -9479   98.49%  -11.83% 
1.48    -42.71  0.76
SRG     -2540.63        -25.41% 
-29.0%  -34.1%  20      6       14      1091    -3689   68.49%  -32.29% 
0.69    -129.91 0.30
TIM     -2727.87        -27.28% 
-33.6%  -45.1%  53      22      31      8032    -10674  98.49%  -14.30% 
1.06    -49.86  0.75


and these are the results on all my historical data (in this case, there 
are data used to train NN):

PBS     980467.13       9804.67%        -1.3%   -59.2%  116     58      58 
     1401856 -394307 80.32%  139.29% 3.56    8685.77 3.56
SIF     252731.90       2527.32%        -0.2%   -33.7%  118     57      61 
     437763  -179896 80.38%  87.81%  2.60    2185.31 2.43
BMA     246375.97       2463.76%        -24.0%  -41.7%  118     57      61 
     422389  -175539 80.35%  86.99%  2.58    2091.95 2.41
OL      160632.00       1606.32%        -13.6%  -46.5%  118     51      67 
     314535  -154834 80.39%  73.35%  2.67    1353.40 2.03
MED     143016.55       1430.17%        -10.9%  -43.7%  118     50      68 
     334300  -189541 80.35%  69.89%  2.40    1226.78 1.76
BR      100612.39       1006.12%        -3.1%   -38.5%  118     61      57 
     153318  -51823  80.34%  59.87%  2.76    860.13  2.96
STM     85061.78        850.62% 
-5.8%   -53.6%  104     44      60      203683  -116006 
92.26%  66.80%  2.39    843.06  1.76
SEAT    37793.21        377.93% 
-5.9%   -57.0%  118     46      72      173451  -135343 
80.40%  36.22%  2.01    322.95  1.28
MEDIA   34052.02        340.52% 
-30.9%  -45.0%  118     38      80      91575   -57582  80.35%  34.12% 
3.35    288.08  1.59
MB      31281.53        312.82% 
-2.3%   -42.1%  118     45      73      83754   -51509  80.35%  32.44% 
2.64    273.26  1.63
F       20814.48        208.14% 
-10.6%  -43.1%  118     54      64      49063   -27430  80.32%  25.13% 
2.12    183.33  1.79
BNL     19906.59        199.07% 
-25.1%  -46.4%  103     52      51      42923   -22848  91.73%  30.80% 
1.84    194.91  1.88
STE     18737.52        187.38% 
-9.4%   -44.9%  116     44      72      84251   -65294  80.31%  23.44% 
2.11    163.42  1.29
P       17773.11        177.73% 
-9.4%   -44.6%  118     54      64      49924   -32202  80.35%  22.61% 
1.84    150.18  1.55
BAV     17505.96        175.06% 
-0.9%   -35.8%  118     50      68      61229   -43469  80.35%  22.37% 
1.92    150.51  1.41
BMPS    10508.27        105.08% 
-14.5%  -23.0%  85      40      45      28573   -17722  90.02%  24.20% 
1.81    127.66  1.61
SPM     2107.41 
21.07%  -46.9%  -52.9%  118     52      66      20389   -18415  80.35% 
3.95%   1.41    16.73   1.11
R       1822.51 
18.23%  -1.9%   -59.9%  118     47      71      37050   -35120  80.35% 
3.45%   1.59    16.36   1.05
PRF     1166.00 
11.66%  -42.9%  -55.0%  118     56      62      19394   -17854  80.35% 
2.26%   1.20    13.05   1.09
AUP     648.27  6.48%   -36.6%  -53.6%  118     44      74      19542 
-18885  80.34%  1.28%   1.74    5.57    1.03
TIM     478.17  4.78%   -17.4%  -61.4%  116     41      75      32986 
-32412  80.31%  0.95%   1.86    4.95    1.02
BPVN    0.00    0.00%   0.0%    0.0%    0       0       0       0       0 
     0.00%     N/A    N/A      N/A    N/A
NTV     -59.00  -0.59%  -1.2%   -27.2%  13      8       5       3167 
-3136   56.40%  -1.25%  0.63    2.43    1.01
AL      -376.44 
-3.76%  -39.8%  -56.1%  118     44      74      21029   -21284  80.34% 
-0.78%  1.66    -2.16   0.99
G       -465.88 
-4.66%  -7.7%   -44.9%  118     41      77      24421   -24725  80.35% 
-0.97%  1.85    -2.57   0.99
ENI     -550.13 
-5.50%  -19.3%  -44.3%  118     47      71      18680   -19064  80.35% 
-1.15%  1.48    -3.25   0.98
SPTO    -1528.66        -15.29% 
-39.3%  -60.1%  118     44      74      24131   -25417  80.34%  -3.33% 
1.60    -10.91  0.95
CIT     -2639.55        -26.40% 
-44.7%  -74.8%  118     46      72      21763   -24346  80.35%  -6.08% 
1.40    -21.89  0.89
SRG     -2639.76        -26.40% 
-29.0%  -34.1%  21      6       15      1091    -3764   69.02%  -32.85% 
0.72    -127.28 0.29
ENEL    -2776.50        -27.76% 
-36.9%  -41.9%  77      28      49      7925    -10632  88.93%  -10.59% 
1.30    -35.16  0.75


regards
Buttha


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