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Re: Oversold and Overbought Time



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Dear M.R.
Thank you very much for search & info

Best Regards
Dimitris Tsokakis
--- In amibroker@xxxx, MLRobb@xxxx wrote:
> Dimitris,
> 
> Here is the address for back issues of conference tapes, and 
printed 
> material; Tim Slater is the director.
> 
> Telerate Seminars, 701 Poydras, Suite 3900, New Orleans, LA 70139-
3901
> FAX 504-592-4553 Phone 800-535-7990. Ask about RSI presented by 
> Andrew Cardwell.
> 
> M.R.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> --- In amibroker@xxxx, MLRobb@xxxx wrote:
> > Dimitris,
> > 
> > Here is a closer url: 
> > 
> > http://members.aol.com/stratagem1/infoonco.htm
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > --- In amibroker@xxxx, "DIMITRIS TSOKAKIS" <TSOKAKIS@xxxx> wrote:
> > > Dear MLRobb,
> > > Thank you for your reply.
> > > You missed the reference of Mr Cardwell work. Unfortunately I 
am 
> > not 
> > > informed. If it is available, please forward.
> > > 
> > > Dimitris Tsokakis 
> > > --- In amibroker@xxxx, MLRobb@xxxx wrote:
> > > > Dimitris:
> > > > 
> > > > You have probably a good idea. There was a body of work begun 
> by 
> > > > Cardwell, which observed RSI 14 tending to a 40-80 bull-band, 
> > > > or a 20-60 bear-band: 
> > > > 
> > > > He introduced (I believe) the predictive concept of positive 
> and 
> > > > negative reversals (being inverted divergences of RSI v. 
Price 
> > > > pivots); It had some beneficial predictive results concerning 
> > > > subsequent peak and trough price.
> > > > 
> > > > However, as you indicate, these ranges are not transferable 
> from 
> > > one 
> > > > stock to another, necessarily, or from an index to member 
> stocks, 
> > > etc.
> > > > 
> > > > Rather than manually adjust the RSI value, in attempt to fit 
> > price 
> > > > action into one of the above ranges, you seem to be striving 
> for 
> > a 
> > > > more specific number, which should have good results.
> > > > 
> > > > M.R.
> > > > 
> > > > 
> > > > 
> > > > --- In amibroker@xxxx, "Dimitris Tsokakis" <TSOKAKIS@xxxx> 
> wrote:
> > > > > Oversold and overbought levels are usually selected by 
> > experience 
> > > > and may
> > > > > be not satisfactory for a certain Market.
> > > > > We can change levels in order to give a more reliable 
> > description 
> > > > of the Market.
> > > > > 
> > > > > 1. When we select 30, 70 , i.e. equal distance from 0, 100, 
> we 
> > > have 
> > > > not any reason
> > > > > to do it. Perhaps 24, 70 for example would be more 
realistic.
> > > > > 
> > > > > 2. I have the following idea: 
> > > > > I will examine the oversold time for each stock, I will 
take 
> > its 
> > > > average and so I will
> > > > > define the "mean oversold time (MOT)" for the Market.
> > > > > This will be done for an oversold level which gives MOT >5% 
> of 
> > > > total days, else oversold is meaningless.
> > > > > 
> > > > > 3. Then I will search for a certain overbought level which 
> > gives 
> > > > the same "mean
> > > > > overbought time". I consider this more fair for the Market, 
> > > whereas 
> > > > 30, 70 or 20, 80
> > > > > sounds abritary.
> > > > > In other words, I ask levels which share the time equally 
for 
> > > > oversold and overbought
> > > > > phases.
> > > > > 
> > > > > Any opinion on this ?
> > > > > (The thought behind the curtain is that buyers and sellers 
> wait 
> > > > nearly the same 
> > > > > time interval, until they change the trend.)
> > > > > (formulas are almost prepared, I want to discuss the basic 
> > > thought).
> > > > > 
> > > > > Best regards
> > > > > Dimitris Tsokakis