At 10,117 (10/19/09 intraday high) I?d 
  say the 1929-1987 SC analog is likely toast.  The close on that day is 
  already exceeded, so depending on the highest high or highest closing high is 
  arguably the drop dead.  You can also argue that a miss by 3 trading days 
  is acceptable (this is the 3rd trading day after 10/16/09 projected highest 
  high).  Just taking note.
  
  Jim