[RT] Nasdaq - DJ 1928 - Nikkei 1989 Comparison Chart [1 Attachment]

[Pete Lieber <plieber@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

[Attachment(s) from Pete Lieber included below]


Attached is a chart comparing three averages - the DJ-30 of 1928, the Nikkei of 1989 and the NASDAQ of today (1999 to present).  I converted the data of all 3 averages into percentages of their previous all-time highs.  While there is no longer much correlation as to market cycles, there is one glaring conclusion one may draw from the comparison - that this market will probably take a longer time to recover than most people can imagine.

Which path will the market take?  That of the 1929 market, where the lows happened early in the cycle or that of Japan where a new lower low is ahead of us.

An interesting sidelight to the chart, each of the 3 markets hit 50% of their previous all-time high 1877 trading days later.

Attachment(s) from Pete Lieber

1 of 1 Photo(s)

Comparison of DJ 1928 Nikkei 1989 and Nasdaq 1999 Markets.gif

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