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FW: [RT] spx update



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Attached is a copy of an email that I sent to the group last October 26.  I bring it up now because I'm again getting cycle hits for March 9 (next Monday).  Today's S&P low of 677.93 is just 13.23 points away from 664.70 which is a 61.8% (.618034) retracement from the 2007 high of 1576.09 back down to 1982 (the start of the bull market) low of 101.44.  Given the oversold condition of the market, a bounce off of the 665 area is a plausible scenario. 

OR we could have a repeat of what happened on the predicted date of Feb 27, on which we finally broke the November lows and started this most recent leg down.  The next support level in the S&P is the July 1996 low of 605.88.  For those of you who like to play with numbers, the July 1996 low of 605.88 coincidentally happens to be very close to the 602 level which is a 61.8% retracement from the 2007 high of 1576.09 to 0.  


From: plieber@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: [RT] spx update
Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2008 13:44:38 -0400

Because of recent volatility it is tough separating cycles.  As with Ben I get many hits around 03/09, but 02/27 seems to be a bigger impulse date (see attached SP Cycle charts).  As to target price I get about 660 on the S&P (see SP Retracement chart) and 5900 on the Dow (see DJ Retracement chart).  Both charts show a 61.8% retracement from the Oct 07 high to the 1982 low - the start of this last bull run.

Plus I'm still calling for an impulse day tomorrow with a lesser chance of it happening Tuesday (10/28)  -  P


To: TimeandCycles@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
CC: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
From: profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2008 22:50:04 -0400
Subject: [RT] Re: [TimeandCycles] spx update


I have now  (volume cofirms) new low targets
600  sp
time?
3/09
Ben
----- Original Message -----
From: Jim Ross
Sent: Tuesday, October 21, 2008 11:58 AM
Subject: RE: [TimeandCycles] spx update


What’s the time frame for which you’re calling a new bull market?  All time highs forthcoming or is the coming bull a secondary trend?   If a secondary trend or primary trend, have you given any thought to Dow Theory and the recent confirmation of the primary bear market? 

I’d been looking for the elusive ‘c’ that we got 10/10 – 10/14 and I see a higher high above 10/14, but I don’t see anything that resembles a new bull market.  Yet.

Thoughts appreciated as always (if you get time), Jim

From: TimeandCycles@yahoogroups.com [mailto:TimeandCycles@xxxxxxxxxxxxcom] On Behalf Of Roy A. Fellars
Sent: Tuesday, October 21, 2008 10:43 AM
To: TimeandCycles@yahoogroups.com
Subject: RE: [TimeandCycles] spx update

Thanks Ian... I am thinking that might be a wave 2 low area. I am also thinking the SC idea around the 3rd is not going to be a factor.

--Original Message Text---
From: RajaCar
Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2008 07:34:10 -0700 (PDT)



http://groups.yahoo.com/group/TimeandCycles/files/Ian%27s%20Folder/monthly%20SPX.gif



Roy,

the last chance I give the Bears is 10/27 Low, if we make a Higher Low at that time, then I am on your side that 10/10/08 was a Major low. 10/10 had all the requirements for a Major Low, with the Vix spiking, 1X1 Support, the 50% retrace







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Attachment: SP Cycle 1.gif
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Attachment: SP Cycle 2.gif
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Attachment: SP Retracement.gif
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Attachment: DJ Retracement.gif
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