Re: [RT] sp500 - Historical Perspective, RealTraders Email List Archive

And the long term low? 85? :)

On Fri, Oct 10, 2008 at 2:39 PM, Ben <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

does anyone remember 6 month ago i said 1050 sp

then 6 weeks ago i said 850

well we got it today,

have all ,a nice week end,

feel good as we ARE closer to a low then you think

10/14-10/16 short term low

Ben

----- Original Message -----

From: chaze

To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Sent: Friday, October 10, 2008 11:42 AM

Subject: Re: [RT] sp500 - Historical Perspective

Tks for your feedback Pete. Those comments are very
instructive.
Looks maybe like another rally up then, then the big leg
down.

Chas
-----

On Fri, 10 Oct 2008 11:21:41 -0400
Pete Lieber <plieber@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
> Today's market is reminiscent of the 1973 -74 market
>plunge (see attached chart). In 1973 the DJIA hit a high
>of 1053.21; in 74 it hit a low of 572.60 - a 44.6% drop.
> Today low equals a 44.7% drop from the 2007 high. In
>1973 the SP500 hit a high of 121.27; in 74 it hit a low
>of 60.96 -a 49.7% drop. Today low equals a 46.6% drop
>from the 2007 high. However this time it feels worse, a
>lot worse. In October 1929 the DJIA hit a high of 386.10
>by November it hit a low of 195.35 - a 49.4% drop.
> However from there it rebounded to 297.95 (April 1930).
> From April 1930 the market began its steady decline to
>its eventual low of 40.56 in July 1932.
>
>
> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>From: chaze@xxxxxxxx
> Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2008 07:24:39 -0500
> Subject: Re: [RT] sp500
>
> Hi Ben & Group-
>
> I was wondering if I could get some type of a concensus
> here?
>
> Do you foresee a bounce from current levels? And, is
>this
> the FINAL bottom, or
> is there yet another leg down after a rally?
>
> I am pretty clueless right now. I thought the price was
> maybe right, but maybe
> not the time? How about 777?
>
> Thank you for any feedback.
>
> Chas
> =====
>
> On Thu, 09 Oct 2008 21:22:40 -0400
> Ben <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>> down another 25 at night session!!
>> Japanese insurance co in same shape as AIG
>>
>> Since 1894 we never had , 6 days in a raw ,with more
>>than 2% correction ,or more!!!
>> Ben
>>
>> you must realize oversold does not work here
>> even my forecast was wrong for the week
>> and only 1 component is os/ob
>> even new hi in vix, new hi in p/c
>> no indicator works
>> its all about PRICE
>> cycles has the best chance to work here
>
>
>

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