Don't say I didn't warn you on these 3
banks!!
Let's see...................On 12/13/07 I said the following:
"PS - IMO, we've seen nothing yet! Wait until you see all those option
ARM's implode! I'll be conservative and say that at least 75% of those loans
were done because the "fake" payment was the only way many were able to get into
a home (CA!!!). Fast forward 1-2 yrs later..............prices of homes down
10-20%, mortgage balance up 10-15% due to negative amortization, original loan
was already @ a 90% LTV/CLTV and no material change in family
income. As Phil Rizzuto used to say "Holy Cow"!!"
Let's see...................On 08/04/08 I said the following:
So to answer your question:
Now what banks did the most Option ARM loans:
IndyMac - 12/13 - 6.64 - Today - Gone
Countrywide - Today - You know the B of A story.
WAMU - 12/13 - 16.06 - Today - 4.87
Downey Savings - 12/13 - 32.98 - Today - 2.11
World (Wachovia) - 12/13 - 40.19 - Today - 17.11
BankUnited - 12/13 - 7.73 - Today - 1.27
Who didn't do ONE Option ARM loan:
Chase - 12/13 - 45.76 - Today - 40.14
Wells Fargo - 12/13 - 30.56 - Today - 30.18
B of A (prior to Countrywide buyout) - 12/13 - 43.05 - Today - 32.62
I'd say Downey Savings and BankUnited will be next to go. WAMU and Wachovia
are just to big! Though WAMU's price is pretty telling!
My money's on Chase!! HELOC's are their main thorn right now.
Not TA but in my line of work : >)
Lenny
September 8, 2008 – 11:13 am
As reported at length by Mr. Mortgage, and more recently, on this blog: WaMu is in deep trouble. CEO Kerry Kilinger
was fired this weekend and today the bank signed a “memorandum of understanding” with its chief
regulator, the Office of Thrift Supervision.
Basically, OTS just put WaMu on notice.
Remember, WaMu has about $120 billion worth of toxic mortgage assets sitting
on its balance sheet. Subprime, Option ARMs, Home Equity Loans, etc.
Taken together, these securities are likely worth 50 cents on the dollar.
It’s not easy deciphering their balance sheet, but WaMu probably has in the
neighborhood of $40 billion of capital backstopping these losses. So if
they actually write down their assets to reflect their current value, it could
wipe them out.
Is it any wonder WaMu is desperate for capital?
With $140 billion in insured deposits, any prospect that WaMu might fail has
to be stressing regulators, especially the FDIC. Remember, FDIC has only $45
billion in its reserve fund, meaning that a failure the size of WaMu could come
close to wiping THEM out.
After Fannie and Freddie, the march of the bailouts will surely continue…
[P.S. OTS also downgraded the "regulatory capital status" of FL's BankUnited late last
week. That's the bank that gave this blog its name. Totally reliant on Option ARM loans, their loan book is in
terrible shape. And they've been unable to raise new capital to repair
their balance sheet. OptionARMageddon is nearly upon them.]
[P.P.S.: OTS also issued a "cease and desist" order to Downey Savings and Loan of
California, another lender that relied heavily on Option ARM
loans....]