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RE: [RT] SPY Forecast



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Interest rates are rising?  I thought they were stable and have been for months.  The facts are that interest rates are historically very low and money is plentiful.  Many companies are still experiencing good growth and inflation is under control.  I don't believe the future holds a tide to lift all ships but there will be many opportunities this year.  Oil under $70 seems manageable to the economy based on recent history and well, the fundamentals are simply stronger in some areas than they are weaker in others.  It's a stock pickers market.  Not much more we can hope for than that.  Index futures players will need to be nimble and complex to beat what is certain to be a saw tooth year but stock pickers can have a great year if they do their homework. I wish everyone the best of trading.

Bob

At 06:31 PM 3/22/2007 -0400, you wrote:
re: "downturn weak..."
Especially in the face of rising oil AND rising interest rates.
Seems like Goldilocks has arisen from her grave once again.
Once "something" puts that silver stake into her heart, then maybe the bear market can begin.
Until then, the shorts could be bloodied.

 
From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Jim White
Sent: Thursday, March 22, 2007 12:01 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [RT] SPY Forecast
No daily sell signal yet on SPY. Could come tomorrow or Monday (Near Impulse date) Look for 14470 as the high of this move.
Today's downturn is quite weak and should not last the day.
 
Regards,
Jim
 
----- Original Message -----
From: Jim White
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Tuesday, March 20, 2007 2:09 PM
Subject: [RT] SPY Forecast

Tomorrow and Thursday are Near Impulse forecast dates  for SPY and most of the market indexes. These two dates originate from opposite turning points, one from a previous low and one from a previous high. Usually this indicates a very volatile two days with mid-day turns. We are also at price levels which usually terminate the shorter term correction in a longer term bear move. On the positive side I did not get sell signals on today's activity for the indexes or the 200 stocks I follow but tomorrow may yield a sell signal after the Fed announcement.
This is an important two days in the future development of the market. If we get through this without a major bearish impulse and continue up to the bullish reversal areas, it bodes well for the next few weeks. If, however, the reversal occurs , we could see another major leg down. Short term traders be careful and position traders should protect profits with stops.
 
Regards,
 
Jim White
 
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