----- Original Message ----- 
  
  
  Sent: Thursday, September 29, 2005 8:17 
  AM
  Subject: Re: [RT] Nyse Daily
  
  NYSE    7700 on Sep 30
  NDX    1629 on Sep 30
  SPX     1264 on Sep 30
   
  From appearance of price relative to MOB I would rate all of these as 
  very low probability. Attached is GIF of my NYSE breadth models which do not 
  show the bullish divergences I want to see to support a strong rally.
   
  In my playbook, I have been shorting ES since July 28 ... putting 
  limit orders to sell in at 127% and 162% retracements of declines (rally 
  targets) and taking profits on declines. Topping process can go on for 
  months so I have not wanted to hold shorts on long term basis. I am now 
  starting to work on a longer term short position and am currently lightly 
  short ES mini and watching for opportunities to add to position on rally -or- 
  break of support.
   
  Earl
  
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    
    
    Sent: Wednesday, September 28, 2005 
    10:40 PM
    Subject: Re: [RT] Nyse Daily
    
    where is the mob   in price and 
    time?
    Ben
    
      ----- Original Message ----- 
      
      
      Sent: Wednesday, September 28, 2005 
      8:06 PM
      Subject: [RT] Nyse Daily
      
      Attached is daily chart of NYSE, which has been considerably stronger 
      than the NASDAQ, in what looks to me like a terminal rising wedge. The 
      blue line (very roughly) looks like it has taken enough "hits" to begin 
      failing. The charts don't have quite the same look as they had in 
      late 1999 and early 2000 but the trading feel is quite similar.
       
      Overall, not much in inter-market relationships to 
      equities which I like and the fact that both the dollar and gold are 
      rallying suggests something in that particular relationship is going to 
      break.
       
      Earl
  
  
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