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Ben,
There are no option chains for VPHM, but I like the idea. Take a Look at
FORD chart. It is almost exact...and it gradually went to over $20. That
field is far less glamorous but FORD was earnings driven like this one.
Rx news comes out next week and by the AH uptick, I believe good news is
leaking.
I have done too many stocks like this, got scared and scalped and they
ran away [ANTP, BOOM, FORD to name a few]. There is a window here where
VPHM has a monopoly on Vancocin and will have new drugs coming along.If
the one for rhinovirus comes through, it is gangbusters. There are not
many pharmaceutical companies with already good sales and profits with
ongoing potential being suported by Big Pharma milestone payments.
I do not want to come off trying to convince you or anyone else. They are
just the facts as I know them.
Sallie
<tt>
I like the profit margin over 24%<BR>
what I do not like is the 100% increase since Jan of this year<BR>
this should be bought on a pull back<BR>
or if you can sell at 7 take your money and run and replace the position
<BR>
with a spread<BR>
buy the 7.5 calls for sep and sell the 10 calls for sep<BR>
Ben<BR>
----- Original Message ----- <BR>
From: <sg9310@xxxxxxxxxxx><BR>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx><BR>
Sent: Friday, June 17, 2005 11:07 PM<BR>
Subject: [RT] SP500 - pull back times?<BR>
<BR>
<BR>
> Ben,<BR>
><BR>
> Is this backtested for any period of time with results? It is so<BR>
> brilliantly simple that my instincts see much validity just by looking
at<BR>
> a recent chart. I am saving your post to check it out with some
other<BR>
> things and also in reverse. I will eventually get into some futures
and<BR>
> the Indexes fascinate me.<BR>
><BR>
> Thank you so much.<BR>
><BR>
> I remember some posts from you where you mention stocks on pullbacks.
So<BR>
> I take it you are also a stock person.<BR>
><BR>
> I recently took a position in VPHM on a breakout. They bought the
rights<BR>
> and are selling the Lilly drug Vancocin that is still a blockbuster<BR>
> because so many elderly are getting hospital infections that ONLY<BR>
> Vancocin resolves them.That plus other drugs in the pipeline are<BR>
> compelling, at least to me.<BR>
><BR>
> From my calculations VPHM can earn close to $1.00 per share on a
fully<BR>
> diluted basis and is selling around $6.60 or so. Insiders are buying
it<BR>
> and a recent buy was at that price. Debentures are being converted
to<BR>
> stock and investors are taking down the stock as it comes out...the
debt<BR>
> of the company will be drastically reduced. So a strong base is<BR>
> developing with people coming in at these prices. I know there are a
lot<BR>
> of "story" stocks. This one seems real, at leat to me.<BR>
><BR>
> Anyone here I know is sophistocated moreso than I and should do their
own<BR>
> due diligence.<BR>
><BR>
> Sallie<BR>
><BR>
><BR>
><BR>
><BR>
> <tt><BR>
> Hello<BR><BR>
> <BR><BR>
> this is the most profitable way to make money<BR><BR>
> you place 6 buy stops<BR><BR>
> 1 at 2.1% above the lowest low in 89 days<BR><BR>
> another at 3.4% above that low<BR><BR>
> another at 5.5% above that low<BR><BR>
> then at 6%<BR><BR>
> 7<BR><BR>
> and sell all at 8.9% above that low<BR><BR>
> Ben<BR><BR>
> <BR><BR>
> ----- Original Message ----- <BR><BR>
> From: <sg9310@xxxxxxxxxxx><BR><BR>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx><BR><BR>
> Sent: Friday, June 17, 2005 9:23 PM<BR><BR>
> Subject: [RT] SP500 - pull back times?<BR><BR>
> <BR><BR>
> <BR><BR>
>> Jusr a question..... If you folks are so sure that you are<BR>
> pyramiding<BR><BR>
>> shorts, are you also paricioating in the upswimg as it has been<BR>
> occurring.<BR><BR>
>><BR><BR>
>> Sallie<BR><BR>
>><BR><BR>
>><BR><BR>
>><BR><BR>
>><BR><BR>
>><BR><BR>
>><BR><BR>
>><BR><BR>
>><BR><BR>
>>> my short is at 1230sp05u<BR><BR>
>>> ----- Original Message ----- <BR><BR>
>>> From: EAdamy<BR><BR>
>>> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<BR><BR>
>>> Sent: Friday, June 17, 2005 1:46 PM<BR><BR>
>>> Subject: Re: [RT] SP500 - pull back times?<BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>> Yes, however there are still some rather extreme upside
targets<BR><BR>
>> remaining 1228-29. I'm<BR><BR>
>> pyramiding into shorts.<BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>> Earl<BR><BR>
>>> ----- Original Message ----- <BR><BR>
>>> From: Rakesh Sahgal<BR><BR>
>>> To: Real Traders<BR><BR>
>>> Sent: Friday, June 17, 2005 11:27 AM<BR><BR>
>>> Subject: [RT] SP500 - pull back times?<BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>> 1. Retracement level of 886 of prior move reached.<BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>> 2. MACD not keeping pace. Negative Deivergence?<BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>> 3. RSI hugging the 65 level.<BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>> 4. Stochastics also toppish.<BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>> Time for a pull back as opposed to stopping for a<BR><BR>
>>> breather?<BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>> Rakesh<BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
>>><BR><BR>
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