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RE: [RT] QUESTION ON DEFLATION



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The Fed does not have the tools -- other then really cheap money -- to prevent deflation.
 
Deflation prevention -- which I don't believe is ultimately possible if push comes to shove -- is more in the hands of policy makers.  Federal spending, tax relief, and tax incentives to spend.
 
Regards,
 
Bob Pardo


From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Charles Meyer
Sent: Tuesday, May 17, 2005 11:42 AM
To: REAL TRADERS
Subject: [RT] QUESTION ON DEFLATION

Group-
 
Would someone like to weigh in on the issue of whether the Fed can prevent a Deflationary scenerio?  This has to do with
the velocity of money; or how fast money will be spent once it is put into the economy.  Will the printed money be spent
at all; or would consumers use to it further reduce debt?  The contention is that the government or the Fed can make the money available, but if consumers or business does not spend it, the result will be Deflation anyway.  I've read that while this statement is partially correct; it is not the case of the U.S.  Japan is the example used where Deflation has been ongoing now for about ten years.  However; it is said that Japan has a couple of things going for it that helps them withstand Deflation
which the U.S. does not:  consumer savings and little or no debt.  As the theory goes; the U.S. cannot take a Deflation which is why the Fed guy Bernanke says they will do whatever it takes to prevent that economic scenerio from happening.  The consequences of that action is simply stated as 'inflate or die' and the result would be; well:  a LOT of INFLATION.  The
question is; does the Fed in fact possess the tools and power to PREVENT A DEFLATIONARY ECONOMY? 
Thank you for any thoughts or comments.   
 
Chas

 



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