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by my work the current rally has a good statistical odds of testing 1193-
1194 SPX CASH or higher and should not ideally peak before 4/4/05; after
completion then the probabilities favor a peak and another swing down
to the 1138-1157 region later in April and into early May. if we are
seeing a divergence with the McClellan Summation index as that low is
forming, then we should firm up again for another assault on the highs
into the summer months for a test of the 1270 SPX CASH range or higher
Jim
---- Original message ----
>Date: Wed, 30 Mar 2005 10:29:16 -0800
>From: "mr.ira" <mr.ira@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>Subject: Re: [RT] SPX
>To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>
>
>Ben:
>
>Currently the indu is running in a 66 bar cycle, daily chart. It is
>currently on day 44 of that cycle and day 1 of the 1/2 cycle. There
should
>be downside pressure from time entering soon. Based upon price action
it is
>very unlikely that price will take out the previous high of 11,000+/-
even
>though we are still in the bull move with a target of 11,530.
>
>Even with today's rally the high of the 28th has not been taken out and I
>don't have a buy on any of my charts for the Indu at this time. If you
are
>a daytrader there were a couple of trades to the upside, but they remain
>contra trend trades at this time.
>
>In down moves the high for the move usually occurs during the first half
of
>the cycle and the high for this move occurred on bar 28. The Indu
needs to
>do more work in order to have a positive bent.
>
>Don't know if this is of any use to you or not. Have a good week. Ira.
>
>
>----- Original Message -----
>From: "Ben" <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>Sent: Wednesday, March 30, 2005 9:34 AM
>Subject: Re: [RT] SPX
>
>
>>
>> Can you show vertical Gann time lines so that turn date for the top
is
>> showing?
>> thanks in advance
>> Ben
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> Sent: Wednesday, March 30, 2005 7:46 AM
>> Subject: [RT] SPX
>>
>>
>> > 1060-1061 area could represent support on this 360 trading day Gann
box
>> > drawn off the 8/13/04 low, which offered support at the 1090 10/25/04
>low.
>> >
>> > ----- Original Message -----
>> > From: "Ben" <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> > Cc: "Bob R" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxx>; "Dom Perrino"
<dperrino@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>;
>> > "Jim
>> > Curry" <jim@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>; <Jseaton357@xxxxxxx>; "Mike Burk"
>> > <mirat@xxxxxxx>; "Ned ma" <yarnabus@xxxxxxxx>;
><ntt-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>;
>> > <panda2222@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>; "Ronald McEwan" <rmac@xxxxxxxx>; "vincent"
>> > <bigschmo@xxxxxxxxxxxx>; "Yacov Twena" <yacov@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> > Sent: Tuesday, March 29, 2005 9:32 PM
>> > Subject: Re: [RT] SPX
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > this IS a difficult market
>> > however
>> > game is OVER
>> > tomorrow we make a LOWER low and close up
>> > for until 4/1
>> > 4/1-4/5 should be a low for oil and gold , high for dollar and bonds
and
>> > sp/nasdaq
>> > Ben
>> > ----- Original Message -----
>> > From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> > Sent: Tuesday, March 29, 2005 9:11 PM
>> > Subject: Re: [RT] SPX
>> >
>> >
>> >>
>> >> I might add once everyone is convinced there is a "range" and
consider
>> >> trading the current range . . . it will do something different. Now
>that
>> >> a
>> >> range is defined "and noticed" . . . look out?
>> >> ----- Original Message -----
>> >> From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> >> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> >> Sent: Tuesday, March 29, 2005 7:09 PM
>> >> Subject: Re: [RT] SPX
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> I did not trade it but honestly thought the recovery from the night
>lows
>> >> back to the high was going to be a breakout. Instead chop, chop
chop
>> >> into
>> >> the employment maybe. What is the saying, "don't try to make sense
of
>> >> sideways markets", concentrate on the breakout, up or down once it
>> >> occurs.
>> >>
>> >> ----- Original Message -----
>> >> From: "EAdamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> >> To: "Realtraders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> >> Sent: Tuesday, March 29, 2005 12:31 PM
>> >> Subject: [RT] SPX
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> 5 failed attempts to break above resistance at 1182 and now on 5th
>> >> attempt
>> >> to break below support at 1174. All that was accomplished during the
>past
>> >> 4
>> >> days was to relieve the oversold condition in the oscillators.
>> >>
>> >> Can they try a 6th time? Could be, however Curtis Arnold describes
the
>> >> rectangle as a reliable continuation pattern. 3 price targets lie
>below:
>> >> 1164, 1146, and 1130.
>> >>
>> >> Earl
>> >>
>> >>
>>
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>> -----------------------------------------------------------------------
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>>
>>
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Jim Curry
Market Turns
jcurry@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
www.cycle-wave.com
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