Re: [RT] Democratic vs Republican Administrations and The Market

["Bob" <BHEISLER@xxxxxxxxx>]

Another item to consider is that financial bubbles only occur once every generation or longer so that has skewed the data you presented.  Taking office immediately after a bubble has popped is obviously not a good thing either, so as they say, timing is everything.

 

But I agree with you about today.  I expected either a continuation or a vigorous reaction by the bulls but instead we got neither.

 

 

----- Original Message -----

From: <jvc689@xxxxxxx>

To: <Realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>

Sent: Monday, October 25, 2004 3:48 PM

Subject: [RT] Democratic vs Republican Administrations and The Market

> 
> 
> I would not exactly call today the snap back I 
expected and I know nothing
> is absolute in history or the market 
but:
> 
> Here are another interesting set of facts that were sent 
to me...going
> back to 1960 and taking the DJIA close on the last day of 
October in each
> election year. {I know the President's term does not 
start until January
> of the following  year, but after the election 
I think there is a lot of
> influence by  whoever wins.}
> 
> Anyway, I think generally people think of a Republican President as 
being
> better for the markets than a Democrat. But the closing
> 
averages of the DJIA indicate otherwise.
> 
> Here are the 
percentage increases/decreases of the Dow October 1960 going
> forward 4 
years calculated hopefully with little error:
> 
> D-60-64 
+51%
> D-64-68 +9%
> R-68-72 +0.33%
> R-72-76 +0.9%
> 
D-76-80 -4%
> R-80-84 +31%
> R-84-88 +78%
> R-88-92 
+50%
> D-92-96 +87%
> D-96-00 +82%
> R-00-04 -11% roughly to 
date
> 
> The average gain during Democratic terms was 45%. The 
average gain during
> Republican terms was 25%.
> 
> Now if 
you only consider the years in which the previous
> administartion was the 
same party(so you can't blame the previous
> adminsitration so easily) it 
comes out Democratic +46% and Republican
> +43%.
> 
> This may 
not prove anything but I've always wondered why people think the
> 
Republicans are better for the markets?
> 
> There are obviously 
many other things to consider in your vote...so  no
> matter who you 
like(or dislike the least)...I hope everyone gets  out to
> 
vote.
> 
> Sincerely,
> 
> John
> Home of The 
Money Making Machines
> www.themoneymakingmachines.com
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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