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Re: [RT] SP 3-24-04 Bullish Divergence?



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Eliot Kaplan
ISU, Inc.
eliot@xxxxxxx
http://www.isu.com
Voice: 310.455.3810 x2
On Mar 25, 2004, at 7:02 AM, EarlA wrote:

Yes, 1173
----- Original Message -----
 From: H&M Feld 
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Sent: Thursday, March 25, 2004 7:54 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] SP 3-24-04 Bullish Divergence?

A typo............. I'm sure you meant  SPX 1173 range
----- Original Message -----
 From: EarlA 
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Sent: Thursday, March 25, 2004 9:09 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] SP 3-24-04 Bullish Divergence?

The market is tightly wound, so a lot of energy has been stored. With the bullish divergences, the direction should be strongly up and this morning is proximate to the upper end of the rectangle. The best indication of the market's health will be the quality of any upside breakout. NQ's traded better than the ES yesterday and I would expect that to continue for a bit. The SP COT commercials moved to slightly bullish last week and the ND commercials moved to strongly bullish which is what they did just prior to the 2000 top. The scenario which would really cause some pain would be a sharp rally to the outstanding SPX 1073 range (triple top into March 2002) followed by a major drop however I am not betting that we get to a marginal new high. Any good rally here should be a gift to the shorts.
 
Earl
----- Original Message -----
 From: profitok 
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Cc: Yacov Twena ; vincent ; U. Stuart-Auslander@xxxx Net (E-mail) ; Slawek (E-mail) ; Ronald McEwan ; Ron Miller (E-mail) ; panda2222@xxxxxxxxxxxxx ; Ned ma ; Kate (E-mail) ; Elizabeth (E-mail) ; doroty.h ; Dom Perrino ; DELTA88343@xxxxxxx ; Dan C (E-mail) ; Cyclesman (E-mail) ; ntt-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Sent: Wednesday, March 24, 2004 7:57 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] SP 3-24-04 Bullish Divergence?

Watch for NASDAQ
that is the key,
for 3 days it DID hold 1900 as bottom
it also performed today better than the sp500
if we can break  above 1950  and sp above  1107  than  all the shorts will run to cover,
however
the weekly  Mclullen osc  on volume and  breath  are still bearish
so,
my best guess is a failed rally attempt to  the 20 day m/a and then collapse (1127-1130) sp cash 
Ben
----- Original Message -----
 From: EarlA 
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Sent: Wednesday, March 24, 2004 9:28 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] SP 3-24-04 Bullish Divergence?

We've had bullish divergences in breadth models and momentum measures for days now with no bounce worth mentioning. I think there is significant risk that this thing falls out of the bottom of the rectangle.
 
Earl
----- Original Message -----
 From: delta88343@xxxxxxx 
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Sent: Wednesday, March 24, 2004 6:27 PM
Subject: [RT] SP 3-24-04 Bullish Divergence?

Is there the beginnings of some bullish divergence here?
 
As I stated in my previous email, we are approaching a period in time where the rotation of the points can flip flop.
 
Though we are approaching a projected low, it could be come a high due to an "in between point" which could be the potential low forming now. If we then rise to the pending projected point due 3/30 +/- we would have had an inversion (low point becomes high) and then the remainder of the cycle points should then follow suite (unless we have a double inversion).
 
Is anyone's work projecting a move up over the next 4+/- days. Though stochastics are not totally reliable, we are showing some oversold conditions based on my stoch settings.
 
Time will tell.  


 

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