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Rather than absolute levels, I believe Larry Connors compares VIX to its 10
period moving average. When it stretches away from the mean by, I believe,
5 percent, he looks for a reversion to the mean and a price reversal. Some
of his recent commentary posted on another site indicates that the vix is
stretched and the probabilities indicate some sort of reversal is near.
Dan
>From: "Ron Cernokus" <roncer@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>Reply-To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>Subject: Re: [RT] VIX Low
>Date: Thu, 22 Jan 2004 16:25:30 -0500
>
>
>The reason I posted was an old friend that use to be on wall st. years ago
>recently threw out the idea,"When the VIX is Low.....you Got to Go."
>Meaning shorting time is near.
>
>Thanks to all for the feedback it was good for perspective.
>
>Ron
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: EarlA
> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Sent: Thursday, January 22, 2004 2:50 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] VIX Low
>
>
> I think I've mentioned that I watch it closely but do not use it for
>trade entry. It has long been in the territory which would support a short
>entry based on other work. But shorts aren't going to go anywhere until the
>price and breadth momentum die and the COT commercials load up for a trip
>south. With price getting very close to my 1062-1073 target zone, I am
>watching carefully for a reversal.
>
> Earl
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Ron Cernokus
> To: realtraders ; Omega Digest List
> Sent: Thursday, January 22, 2004 11:12 AM
> Subject: [RT] VIX Low
>
>
> Was wondering if anybody has any comments to share on the VIX being
>down to
> 14.
>
> Ron
>
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