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In June COTs dropped sharply from +11,000 to -40,000 but market
continued its rally.
Best regards,
Alex mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
Friday, December 5, 2003, 6:02:05 AM, you wrote:
E> One of my major guides will be the SP COT this weekend. If the commercials have added significantly to shorts I will be more aggressive than if they continue to muddle along at mid levels.
E> The setup in weekly old VIX (VXO) is ripe for a very fast and furious decline of major proportions but one must read from all antennae.
E> Earl
E> ----- Original Message -----
E> From: profitok
E> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
E> Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 9:54 PM
E> Subject: Re: [RT] The Market environment
E> Earl
E> you should not be greedy on this move down
E> all I cold see for now is 50-75 sp points(down)
E> then 1125-1150 is possible,,
E> that is when you should load up on your July puts
E> (down to 975-1000)
E> Ben
E> ----- Original Message -----
E> From: EarlA
E> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
E> Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 12:40 PM
E> Subject: Re: [RT] The Market environment
E> Actually, the last five rallies have held at 127% retracement.
E> Earl
E> ----- Original Message -----
E> From: EarlA
E> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
E> Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 10:23 AM
E> Subject: Re: [RT] The Market environment
E> Just completed final third position of March 1150 Leap Puts. I don't expect that there are more than a few points of gas left in this tank ... perhaps a run to long term open targets
E> clustering around 1078+- but not much more. Look at last three rallies on daily chart and you will see that each rally was contained at 127% retracement of previous decline.
E> Earl
E> ----- Original Message -----
E> From: EarlA
E> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ; canslim@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
E> Sent: Friday, November 14, 2003 7:22 AM
E> Subject: Re: [RT] The Market environment
E> I'm still looking for price to hit my long term cluster of targets around 1078 and am working order to complete my put position. Market never does what is expected, but my best guess is
E> that we'll see a sharp spike high during which SP futures inventory will move from weak bears to strong bears. Market should then drop pretty sharply to something in range of 50% retracement
E> March-November.
E> Earl
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