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Dear Norm,
Great post...I am trying to figure ou its implications since I know you do
not post capriciously.
Tidbits:
My barometer on Bonds is PIMCO Total return. Its price was less than 11 in
oct '02, hit 12 in June and now is around 11.50.
I think the market is in a groping stage...still with some good values.
And man, I sold my China stocks too soon.
I am looking seriously at WM.
Also scuttlebut is WMT is going into the used car business.
Sincerely,
John
>
>
>
>
> Dec. T-Bonds - SPY (S&P 500 Spyders)
>
>
>
>
>
> This is the spread between Dec. T-Bonds and Spyders which is the S&P
> 500 divided by ten. This shows what approximately equal dollars, in
> this case long T-Bonds and short S&Ps has done. Please note the nice
> inverted head and shoulders bottom and that now the market has broken
> out to the upside. This shows that the asset allocaters are selling
> stocks and buying bonds. The chart pattern indicates that this trend
> is likely to continue until the spread gets to a minimum of 12 with a
> good possibility for the 16 - 18 level.
>
> During the past six months, the high was 30 and the low was 1. The low
> occured
>
> the first week of Sept. 2003.
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