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Re: Re[4]: [RT] spx daily



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 A short position used to be considered dangerous when the short position
exceeded 5 days average volume.  For some stocks that is a pretty large
short.


----- Original Message -----
From: "BobsKC" <bobskc@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, May 23, 2003 5:31 PM
Subject: Re[4]: [RT] spx daily


> Short positions never equal or exceed long positions but when they reach
> certain levels, they are considered to be very high based on historical
> information.  Right now, (even with a 10% drop), they are quite high and
if
> you consider this from a contrarian viewpoint, this is bullish.
>
> Bob
>
>
> At 01:14 PM 5/23/2003 +0400, you wrote:
> >Hello Bob,
> >
> >Sentiment  is  what  people  think/feel about market. And most of them
> >bullish.  As  for what they are doing, I can't see how majority can be
> >short  -  there always two side of the market. Do you mean majority of
> >institutions?
> >
> >Best regards,
> >  Alex                            mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
> >
> >
> >Friday, May 23, 2003, 5:06:42 AM, you wrote:
> >
> >B> Again, what is the bullish sentiment?  What people tell pollsters or
what
> >B> they actually do?  If you go by what they are doing, and if you
believe in
> >B> contrarian principals, (which you obviously do), then you would be
long.
> >
> >B> Bob
> >
> >
> >B> At 03:18 AM 5/23/2003 +0400, you wrote:
> > >>Hello BobsKC,
> > >>
> > >>I am short. To me highest bullish sentiment is a sign of near top.
> > >>
> > >>Best regards,
> > >>  Alex                            mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>Friday, May 23, 2003, 3:01:13 AM, you wrote:
> > >>
> > >>B> Bullish sentiment may be high but in fact, shorting is robust and
> > getting
> > >>B> stronger.  So do we go by what people say or what they do?
> > >>
> > >>B> Bob
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>
> > >>B> At 02:52 AM 5/23/2003 +0400, you wrote:
> > >> >>Hello Mark,
> > >> >>
> > >> >>%Bearish today is lowest since 1991:
> > >> >>
> > >> >>http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/streetools/inv_intel.asp
> > >> >>
> > >> >>". High readings suggest excessive optimism, which typically occurs
> > >> >>when buying strength has been tapped out, and low readings
represent
> > >> >>depleted selling strength, and tend to precede market rallies. We
> > >> >>normally view a bullish percentage higher than 55 combined with a
> > >> >>bearish reading lower 30% as bearish for the market."
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>Best regards,
> > >> >>  Alex                            mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>Thursday, May 22, 2003, 9:36:17 PM, you wrote:
> > >> >>
> > >> >>MS> You meant "higher high", right ?
> > >> >>MS> Don't underestimate the bulls....they are wildly optimistic
right
> > >> >>MS> now.....and holding this market up.
> > >> >>MS> Bull-Bear survey ratio now at the highest point in years....
> > >> >>MS>   -----Original Message-----
> > >> >>MS>   From: none [mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> > >> >>MS>   Sent: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 10:40 PM
> > >> >>MS>   To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > >> >>MS>   Subject: Re: [RT] spx daily
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>MS>   Hello
> > >> >>
> > >> >>MS>   I am with you  that  there is a high probability that we make
a
> > >> >>lower high
> > >> >>MS> tomorrow or Fri. and then  collapse
> > >> >>MS>   Ben
> > >> >>MS>     ----- Original Message -----
> > >> >>MS>     From: Rhonda Guilbeaux
> > >> >>MS>     To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > >> >>MS>     Sent: Wednesday, May 21, 2003 7:37 PM
> > >> >>MS>     Subject: [RT] spx daily
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>MS>     Last quarter's candle waist 882.
> > >> >>MS>     right at the 200 dma area.
> > >> >>
> > >> >>MS>     Higher support..at the 898 area.. (near the rising 50dma)
> > >> >>MS>     Wouldn't  be surprised to see this price level tested.. and
> > also to
> > >> >>MS> hold, initially
> > >> >>MS>     anyway.
> > >> >>MS>     if not, 867-882 looks to be a good higher support area.
> > >> >>MS>     Breaking above last weeks highs and more important
> > >> >>MS>     953-955  then I am incorrect in my assessment  that last
week's
> > >> >>MS>     high is "semi" important and perhaps
> > >> >>MS>     a slightly stronger pullback than what
> > >> >>MS>     we've seen thus far coming off the
> > >> >>MS>     March higher low.
> > >> >>
> > >> >>MS>     Tend to think any high made latter week
> > >> >>MS>     will be a lower high than last weeks
> > >> >>MS>     high as
> > >> >>MS>     last weeks low was broken below.
> > >> >>MS>     I do
> > >> >>MS>     Best,
> > >> >>MS>     Rhonda
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>MS>     To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
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> > >> >>
> > >> >>
> > >> >>
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> > >> >>
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> > >> >>
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