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Re: [RT] Multiple Period Pivots



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The previous post used daily data.  This one 
uses 15 minute bars and has the same daily, weekly, monthly pivots and typical 
prices.  All the lines were created with the TS built in tool Custom 1 
Line.  The formulas are on the chart for those not familiar with 
them.  I did this little exercise because the Duffy Pivot Channels on 5 
minute bars seemed to be captuing price movement  and predicting 
support/resistance beyond chance.  It was as though some influential 
players or automatic systems were trading off higher timeframe levels.  
There was a consensus of buying back on 4/16  and again on 4/22 as the 
weekly pivot was a launching pad for rallies.  Now here we are facing 
Monday(Sunday PM) with the SP below the weekly pivot and daily pivot.  If 
the floor and ceiling theory of support/resistance holds, then the weekly pivot 
at 901.1 level should be resistance.  The next higher time frame support is 
the monthly typical price at 887.9.  That of course is just one 
scenario.  The SP could work above the weekly and daily pivot again next 
week at which time it would become support again.....just something to watch 
for.
 
enjoy,
bobr
 
 
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  BobR 
  
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Saturday, April 26, 2003 12:39 
  PM
  Subject: [RT] Multiple Period 
Pivots
  Decided to check out the concept of confluence of pivots in 
  different timeperiods, daily, weekly, monthly.  Intraday on Friday 
  the daily pivot was thesell point based on Thursday's HLC.  Friday's 
  close of 898.6 was below theweekly pivot at 901.  Did you notice on 
  Friday there was a lot of sidewaysmovement below 900 after the AM 
  drop.  Wonder if that had anything to dowith the weekly pivot?  
  The weekly pivot is above the monthly pivot at887.8.  4/23 had a 
  maximum bullish(or contrarily bearish) configurationconsidering the 
  relationship of pivot periods.  That was similar to the lowsin Feb 
  and March.  The March 31st low had a confluence of daily weekly 
  andmonthly before the snp rocketed upward.  March 3rd had a 
  confluence of dailyweekly monthly as it went into sell mode.  The 
  887.8 April pivot will movelower if the snp close moves lower since it is 
  composed of the monthly HLC.There is also a lot of price congestion at the 
  888 level.  That seems to meto be a market logic place for price to 
  end the month.  Also, 890.5 is a 50%retrace of the BC 
  swing.bobr






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