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Re: [RT] Short term



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I would expect the VIX to continue to go lower for 
the next 2-3 months unless the indexes begin to set new lows.  The VIX has 
been at historically very high levels since June '02.  The market seems to 
have levelled off for the time being and now that the hot war in Iraq is almost 
over, we can expect some of the volatility and hedging activity to 
decline.
 
Kent Rollins
 
 
----- Original Message ----- 
From: <A 
title=guilbear@xxxxxxxxxxxxx href="">Rhonda 
Guilbeaux 
To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Sent: Friday, April 11, 2003 11:50 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Short term

Hi Ben,
80% probability of a 
higher high today worked out
nicely.  Here's my daily Hurst chart on the 
VIX. 
Suggests it will tag prior lows.  
Weekly
lower bollinger band is 26.86. 
 
However, if a "key"  reversal day 

in the VIX.. occurs
prior to this time and price area.. 
(larger lower band) then
odds are very high a Major low in 
the VIX
is in. We'll see.. 
Best,
Rhonda
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  <A title=profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">profitok 
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Thursday, April 10, 2003 8:47 
  PM
  Subject: Re: [RT] Short term
  
  My  work suggests that there is better than 80%  
  probability of a higher high tomorrow,
  However
  would not be surprise to see a lower close
  (may even take out   today's low)
  reasons are
  a vix and vnx  are at a 21 day low
  and,,  p/c is not bullish
  the perfect stop loss suggests that if you are long to place 
  your stop at  866.90
  and it goes up  1 point every 15 min,
  take profit on all  longs at   
  878.15
  and after we visit there,  you sell short at  
  866.5
  nice day
  Ben
  home of the perfect stop loss
  (trade station, wave wise, and  metastock 
  compatible)
  <A 
  href="">profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
   
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  >
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    >From: 
    Rhonda 
    Guilbeaux 
    To: <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Thursday, April 10, 2003 11:39 
    AM
    Subject: [RT] Short term
    
    "Possible" short term low forming.<FONT 
    face=Arial size=2> 
    Hurst 4 shows yesterday 
    into today.   Weekly Projected High 900, 
    Projected
    low 858 for this week. 5 plus 858 is 863. 
      Still holding above 858, but 
    
    still consolidating at the lows
    at present.  
     
     If last weeks lows tested 
    and broken obviously
    would become an acceleration in the present 
    downtrend. 
    For now still above  higher support and 50 
    day ma also. 
    Time/Price will tell.
    
    Noted Max Pain BobR  posted at 850 in a 
    previous post; also Ira's and Jim's
    recent posts.    Thanks.  
    
     
     
    Best,
    RhondaTo unsubscribe 
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