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Re: [MedianLine] Re: [RT] Short Term Bulls & Bears



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sure thing Bob
it is: <A 
href="">jim@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
 
 
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  BobR 
  
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Sunday, April 06, 2003 1:32 
PM
  Subject: Re: [MedianLine] Re: [RT] Short 
  Term Bulls & Bears
  
  Jim, could I have your email 
address?
   
  thanks,
  bobr
   
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  >
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    >From: 
    Jim 
    Curry 
    To: <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Sunday, April 06, 2003 9:08 
    AM
    Subject: Re: [MedianLine] Re: [RT] 
    Short Term Bulls & Bears
    
    hey Bob,
    FYI, I have a 30 day cycle low that is due near 
    expiry. 
     
    a cycle will usually come back and tag a moving 
    average of the same length; the 30 day average is currently near the 
    848-850
    region, which is added weight to your #1 
    assessment below.
     
    Jim
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    >
      ----- Original Message ----- 
      <DIV 
      >From: 
      <A title=bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">BobR 
      To: <A 
      title=MedianLine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">MedianLine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ; 
      <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      ; <A title=swingmachine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">Swingmachine 
      Sent: Sunday, April 06, 2003 11:47 
      AM
      Subject: Re: [MedianLine] Re: [RT] 
      Short Term Bulls & Bears
      
      This is getting to be interesting with the 
      various views.  Here are some additional factors going into next 
      week.
      FUNDAMENTAL
      1. The open interest max pain point(tm of 
      w.ez-pnf.com) for the SPX(cash) is at the 850 strike price.  
      Friday ES close was 878.75 with only a half point premium to the 
      cash.  Going into expiration this max pain point is thought to act 
      like a magnet.  Its been at 850 for more than a few weeks, a month or 
      more.
      SEASONAL
      2. This is pre-options expiration week.  
      If the market has been going up the previous week, then during the 
      pre-options expiration week it isn't surprising to see some pullback until 
      Thursday or Friday.
      3. The so called beginning of month 
      seasonality ends on Monday, i.e. the 5th trading day of the month when the 
      switchers go from stocks back to moneymarkets.
      4. TAX time, remains to be seen which will 
      dominate, revenue raising to pay taxes or an IRA funding week.  Last 
      week jacked prices up to the 200 day SMA on the SPX just in time to 
      facilitate the profittakers and IRA funding public. 
      TECHNICAL
      5. The Gann Swing on 30 minute bars is now 
      pointing downward so the priority is given to the dark blue 
      pitchfork.  Daily Gann Swing is upward.....but it has been making 
      lower lows and lower highs.  Daily mirror line is at 856
      6. 200 day SMA has been resistance for 3 
      days.  The 200 day average is at 884.70resistance, 20 day average is 
      at 856.75support and the 50 day 846.30support.  Since the 200 day is 
      still sloping downward the mode is still considered bearish.  The 
      GannSwing is at 884.25.  
       
      bobr
       
       
       
      <BLOCKQUOTE 
      >
        ----- Original Message ----- 
        <DIV 
        >From: 
        <A title=timothysharp@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        href="">timothysharp 
        To: <A 
        title=MedianLine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        href="">MedianLine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        
        Sent: Sunday, April 06, 2003 12:08 
        AM
        Subject: Re: [MedianLine] Re: [RT] 
        Short Term Bulls & Bears
        
        guess I'll chime in here 
        with another possible view.  
         
        I see the potential for a 
        drop back to the 840ish range, basis the esm03, based on my channel work 
        and the possible diamond formation in the 60-min chart.  
        
         
        Note also that 
        there's a little H&S pattern that developed in 
        Friday's session, with a neckline at the ~873 
        range.
         
        It will certainly be an 
        interesting week to see how these differing views play 
        out.
         
        <FONT face=Tahoma color=#0000ff 
      size=2>--ts
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