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Hi Dave,
I've been searching for such data for years and
have never found it. The problem is that there are so many data points to
store that no one seems willing to do so. In addition, because of the
nature of options you can not link one series to another (as you can with
futures) and get any meaningful results.
Furthermore you can not take one factor such as
stock (or index) price vs. option price and get any useful result, options
are just to complicated for such simple comparisons. For example, If you
saw a spike in option price, how would you know that it was not the result of a
spike in volatility? I have also seen options spike up in price on heavy
volume without any significant movement in stock price. This usually
occurs prior to a major announcement as volume goes out of the stock (people
just waiting for the announcement) and goes into options (speculating on the
announcement). Dividends also effect the option
price, because they effect the stock price when they are paid
(x-dividend). And there is always the time factor, all other things being
equal, option prices will decline with time (accelerating as expiration
approaches) as the time premium disappears. Finally you cannot
compare option prices from a time when interest rates are very high (the
90's) to a time when they are low (today).
There are six factors which influence an option's
price:
1) Stock price.
2) Strike price of the
option.
3) Tine until
expiration.
4) Volatility of the underlying
stock.
5) Current risk-free interest
rate (i.e. 90 day Treasury bills).
6) Dividend rate of the
underlying stock.
The best way to trade options is to first
thoroughly understand the underlying vehicle (stock, index, etc.) what makes it
move and how it will react. Once you have learned this learn how to
improve your trading and reduce your risk with options.
Good luck and good trading,
Ray Raffurty
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
Dave Lord
To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Sunday, March 16, 2003 12:09
PM
Subject: [RT] Website for historical
options chains and prices
Good morning!Is anyone aware of a website (or other
source) that provides historical optionschains and prices?Thanks
in advance -- Dave<A
href="">zdave@xxxxxxxxxTo
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