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Re: [RT] NDX_60m



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"SD"...actually, I'm looking for a bounce tomorrow too. if the swing 
low gets confirmed, we could definitely see some up action for a few 
days...and I will be buying those march puts. if I'm wrong, I'll 
bail. I wasn't really disagreeing with the sentiment picture...my gut 
feeling is just that it is bullish for the short-term and, perhaps, 
prophetic for a more intermediate time frame. while a decline may 
only be 150-200 ndx pts, I DO think it's coming...again, we'll see.

V

--- In realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx> wrote:
> Will it be a contrarian signal right now?  The cliche is sentiment 
preceeds price and for two days now the dollars going into put volume 
is at price bottoming levels, at least for a 3 to 5 day upswing.  
Even on Monday the NDX and NASDAQ 
> UVOL/(UVOL+DVOL) was higher than on Friday, but with a lower low on 
the NDX giving a one day divergence at the tip toe line of  972.34.  
The NDXcone chart shows a pitchfork line at 970 on Tuesday and a 
green probability level at the same price.  So for Tuesday the tiptoe 
line will probably be breached a bit and then if the uvol dvol 
percent is not agreeing, then the NDX may have survived another 
minefield for a short while and respond with a move back above the 
line.  If it plunges through, then the line will become resistance 
and DOM can buy his puts on the rebound.  Its just that a lot of 
qualifiers for an upswing for Tuesday have been met.  
> 
> bobr
> 
> ----- Original Message ----- 
>   From: theGIRLisherenow <thegirlisherenow@xxxx> 
>   To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
>   Sent: Monday, January 27, 2003 8:03 PM
>   Subject: Re: [RT] NDX_60m
> 
> 
>   hey bobr!...yes, but WILL it be a contrarian signal right now, or 
the 
>   rumble before panic selling sets in? I could be very wrong in my 
>   projection of an impending decline...however, major cycles are 
>   turned/turning down, with only the 15-day seen as bullish and 
that 
>   may still give us a little bounce before february...just don't 
know 
>   if it will be anything that will make merlin fall off his 
chair.<g> 
> 
>   I honestly think we have another trip to oct lows/or even lower 
>   before we see an explosive rally...perhaps one that will make a 
>   lot of folks think the bear mkt is over. I think it's coming for 
>   sure, but not for a few months. one extremely significant breach 
(in 
>   my book) came today...we broke below the quarterly waist on 
murrey 
>   math. 
> 
>   anyway, we'll all find out soon enough, yes? (btw, thanks for the 
>   charts earlier today!)
> 
>   your friend.....V
> 
> 
> 
>   --- In realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxx> wrote:
>   > Speaking of October, my sentiment stuff has already reached 
that 
>   seen at the October lows.  Its a screaming buy here from that 
>   standpoint.
>   > 
>   > bobr
>   > 
>   >     -----Original Message-----
>   >     From: Dom Perrino [mailto:acutimer@x...]
>   >     Sent: Monday, January 27, 2003 8:30 PM
>   >     To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>   >     Subject: Re: [RT] NDX_60m
>   > 
>   > 
>   >     Forgot to mention that the outcome, even if we have short 
term 
>   rally,  will be to the downside Below the lows of last Oct. 
>   >     Dom
> 
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