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This is interesting.....
News Analysis
January 13, 2003
a.. Suggestions this week that a war on Saddam may be delayed either to
the summer - reports of US soldiers being prepared for war in hot weather,
or to the autumn with Blair saying that "the UN had a real role to play".
This can mean any of the following:
1.. War is really being delayed and alternative options are being
discussed.
a.. This, however, is for the following reasons:
1.. Military preparations are not only continuing but intensifying. Only
hours after ordering 35,000 extra troops to head for Iraq, the Pentagon
ordered another 62,000 on Sunday. Furthermore, such a large number of troops
cannot be maintained for too long in the region without military action.
2.. Other British and almost all American officials are still saying
that war is the most likely option.
3.. Last week saw some high profile meetings between American and Iraqi
opposition leaders, indicating that preparations for a post-Saddam Iraq are
still continuing.
2.. The US/UK have some hidden evidence that they believe will clearly
show Saddam in breech of the UN and guarantee backing for war from the UN
Security Council, possibly even with another resolution. So they are now in
the process of giving the impression that they want to avoid a war and are
willing to give inspectors the time they need until they release this
information before Blix's January 27th report.
3.. The US has decided to go to war without the UN. To cover its back and
to quell opposition in parliament and the country, the UK government is
creating the impression it wants to avoid a war and would like to go through
the UN, so that when the US announces they are going alone, Blair can claim
he is forced to join the US so to influence and restrain.
a.. Blix's said in his latest report about that his team had not found
"any smoking guns", but that Iraq's 12,000 page weapons declaration "failed
to answer a great many questions". Saddam, in his annual Army Day address,
accused UN weapons inspectors of being spies - possibly indicating that when
he feels he can no longer buy himself more time or when inspectors are close
to finding his weapons he would expel them.
b.. Confrontation with Saddam seems to be very likely within the next
couple of weeks over interviews with Iraqi scientists, and/or more intense
searches by the inspectors, and possibly even the fate of a missing American
pilot from the '91 Gulf War.
New Analysis provided by the Iraqi Prospect Organisation.
----- Original Message -----
From: "dayscalper" <dayscalper@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: "BobsKC" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Monday, January 13, 2003 5:32 AM
Subject: Re[2]: [RT] Iraq
> Hello BobsKC,
> Who is to say we don't have proof. I believe that the proof will come
> right before it is time to act. Not many know it, but this mess with
> N Korea is because Bush confronted N. Korea with 'evidence' that they
> were breaking treaties/agreements. The result: N.Korea disconected UN
> monitoring devices such as camera, radition detectors, etc
>
> Sunday, January 12, 2003, 9:22:56 PM, you wrote:
>
> B> It isn't a non trading thread. If we announce we have settled the
> B> situation without ground troops over there, the markets will breath a
> B> several hundred dow points of relief. Bush wants Sadam out to
> B> finish what his dad left unfinished but without some proof, without
> B> the investigators turning up proof .. I don't see us invading. I
> B> was just speculating on why we would be going full steam ahead even in
> B> absence of said proof and to lift the markets and the White House
> B> economic policies could be one of them. (Besides, we can talk about
> B> sex if we want to as long as you tie it to the markets). **Hemline
> B> signals** :))
>
> B> Bob
>
>
> B> At 05:44 PM 1/12/2003 -0800, you wrote:
> B> Just
> B> finished Khidir Hamza's book: Sadam's Bombmaker - fascinating
> B> reading.
> B> Sorry to follow up on a non-trading thread, but
> B> wasn't it our moderator who started
> B> it?
> B>
> B> Jan Philipp----- Original Message -----
>
> B> From:Mano
> B> Appapillai
>
> B> To:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
> B> Sent: Sunday, January 12, 2003 5:08 PM
>
> B> Subject: Re: [RT] Iraq
>
>
>
> B> This information was new to me :
>
>
>
> B>
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/gunning/interviews/hamza.html
>
>
>
> B> http://www.ceip.org/files/projects/npp/resources/hamzatranscript.htm
>
>
>
>
>
> B> Do you Yahoo!?
>
> B> Yahoo! Mail Plus - Powerful. Affordable. Sign up now
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>
>
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>
> --
> Best regards,
> dayscalper mailto:dayscalper@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
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