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Good observation and good question. Sentiment
has been something I've worked on to better pick the trades than time and
support/resistance and to add positon trading to the daytrading
activity. Here is one chart that might answer your
question about sentiment from a contrary point of view.
Another short setup occurs when the dollar weighted
$C/($C+$P) composite(red line) reaches the 0.7 to 0.75 level as it did late on
Tuesday. Such a level can represent too much bullishness, or the end of
bullishness if it occurs at the end of an uptrend. In either case it
increases the odds of consolidation and or price erosion in the near
future. This level comes after a less than 0.25 ratio low on 12/27.
This also completes a 6 day runup in call premium and rundown in put
premium. Such high levels are seen at index high pivot
points. Its just kinda comforting to know what the environment
is.
bobr
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Kent
Rollins
To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Tuesday, January 07, 2003 2:22
PM
Subject: Re: [RT] setups
I've seen many, many people drawing head-and-shoulders
formations(non-inverted) on daily charts of the last month or so.
Not just in thisforum but also on free and pay sites. Aren't H&S
formations supposed to betopping formations, not intermediate bear market
formations? And if thosesame people tried, could they find and
inverted H&S formation on the currentdaily/weekly charts? What
does this say about market sentiment?Kent----- Original
Message -----From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>To:
<MedianLine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>;
<realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Tuesday, January 07, 2003 2:19
PMSubject: [RT] setupsOK, this is the setup I am looking at
for a long exit/short entry. Todaymarks the 4th day of a positive
NDX net percent up down volume (up -down)/total. A lower high on the
4th bar of a 4 bar set with a higher highon the NDX may be a prelude to a
down day the next day...at least that isthe thesis being examined.
Perhaps it is reinventing the wheel, butdiscovery sure is fun as is the
journey. I had an options system that couldquintuple the account in
5 weeks of OEX trading. It was so boring I quitetrading it, |;-)
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